Always nice to bang a 25/1 in. Can't believe missed Empirestateofmind. Said was one of best handicapped in Cambridgeshire. Won 18/1 today. Damn.
No time for write ups
2.05 Y - Magico 15/2
2.40 Y - Woven 18/1
3.15 Y - Valiant Knight 10/3
5.05 Y - Austrian Theory 7/1
1.15 NW - Lead Artist 9/4
Small stakes only. Waiting for Meydan to start again really...
1.07 NW - Verse of Love 2/1
1.47 NW - Treasure Isle 8/1
2.25 NW - Miss Fascinator 10/1
3.35 NW - January 13/2
4.10 NW - Imperial Sovereign 18/1
1.30 Y - Naxos 8/1
3.45 Y - Vince L'Amour 25/1
Ascot 2.25 - Al Aasy 2/1.Trappy race. Best horse on best form is Hamish, but not looked right last two runs. Al Aasy absolutely trounced Al Qareem last time out so no reason to back against this time.
Ascot 3.00 - Vadream 7/1ew. Assuming stays soft best horse over this distance in these conditions.
Ascot 3.35 - United Approach 16/1ew is well handicapped. I was hoping would only get a small rise lto as was giving away 3-4lbs plus 3lb to the winner's claimer. Purely on paper despite the rise is 3-4lb head of mark. The draw could play a big part so I'm sticking with one. Hopeful of at least a place.
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Newmarket 1.30 - La Pasionaria 14/1ew. The Musidora form says this could potentially be very well handicapped.
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Redcar 4.30 - Naepoint 7/2. C& winner. Bethell hot atm. 8/12 with Irish bred 8-10f handicaps at Redcar. Draw good
I don't like heavy ground betting. I'm crap at it. End of season too, so just did a handful and not that enthused by them
Haydock
1.30 - Flying Finn 20/1. Decent mark, likes heavy.
Skipper 4/1. Not as well handicapped, but trainer flying and Calyx on heavy in handicaps 3/6 and 6/9 at Haydock. Maybe a 11/1 double with Sir William in the next. Calyx double!
Newmarket
3.40 - Going against trends somewhat this week. I suspect many trainers line up an improving good ground horse for this race. It's been G-GF for the last 14 years so we may find a surprise this year. Or I'm chatting sh1te and we won't. The two best handicapped horses are:
Bopedro - 14/1ew
Empirestateofmind 66/1ew (backed earlier in the week)
4.45 - Granger Bay 7/2
Saturday started off really well and then went downhill fast :)
End of flat season junk.
3.55 Beverley - La Boo 9/1ew to make all. Ran over C&D on second start behind horses rated 80 - 106. If runs anywhere close to that is romping home. Reckon improved a stone lto with application of headgear. Trainer has the best SR at Beverley in this race. Is 30% SR in 3yr old handicaps at Beverley in last 4 years. If you fine tune that is 7/17 (41%) in 3yr Beverley handicaps (Aug - Oct) when horse is running in same class or down in class from last race and last run was between 1 - 6 weeks. Got the low draw, so let's go Jo.
4.55 Listowel - Narmar 7/1ew. Gutted. This opened at 14/1 and missed the price. I was really keen on this at 50/1 for the Irish Cambridgeshire and was really unlucky in running not to at least place. Much easier race, obviously and I still think it's chucked in but Henry DB is not in the same form. That said he has a 29% SR here and Carroll is 16%, both the best in the race.
Ayr 1.15 - Mr King 14/1ew. Form with the fave Mirsky can be turned around with the 6lb pull. Ignore lto race. That York race is the one to watch. Came from the back, switched couple times and found some extra gears twice to make up ground. Be very keen if price shortened to single figures.
Ayr 1.50 - Enfjaar 4/1. Varian @ Ayr 7f+ on GS or quicker is 10/20. Forget lto. Ran wide over too short. Should have one the Coral handicap. Is on the up and still unexposed. Varian won this before.
Ayr 2.25 - Tough. Lucky Man 30s on exchange. Won well lto, won of higher marks, trainer in good form and meets a bunch of trend. Its 14s with bookies so have to be very worried about this gap to the exchanges, but fook it. Spencer gone close twice with this race. Summerghand 7/1. Last time I do this :)
Ayr 3.35 - Rohaan 11/1ew. Massive chance. Solid run in the race lto. Lower in weights and comes into the race in better form. Good draw.
Ayr 4.40 - Abduction 6/1ew. Was a NR is the Silver Cup. Must think a good thing for this race if dropping out of that...? Ran well couple races back and now dropped to an attractive mark. C&D winner. Goldie in form. Fingers crossed
Ayr 5.15 - Kitsune Power 12/1ew. Consistent on turf. Easterby knocking on the door for a winner and gone close twice in this race. Back to good ground I think it's the best handicapped horse in race behind Eugen Glen who surely regressive now.
Newbury 1.30 - No Half Measures 8/1ew
Chester 4.15 - Radio Goo Goo 5/1ew
Newbury 5.35 - Retracement 5/1ew Chucked in
3 winners yesterday including a 16/1. 6 blanks.
Wanted to spend time on the cards today, but no chance. Half stakes.
Curragh
1.50 - Strike Red 6/1
2.25 - Purple Lily 5/2 Strong form, still unexposed
3.00 - Red Letter 10/3
3.35 - She's Quality 25/1ew - New tactics worked last time out. Make all and win. Thanks.
4.10 - Henni Mattisse Evs
4.45 - Kyprios 4/5
5.55 - Mashoor 18/1ew
Doncaster
2.05 - Brave Nation 9/2
2.40 - Parbous 9/2. Golden Mind 30/1
3.15 - Topango 12/1. Cell Sa Bella 40/1
3.45 - Hartswood 16/1ew
4.15 - Kings Lynn 15/2ew
4.50 - Young Fire 15/2ew
5.25 - Jump The Gun 40/1ew
