Bets 17/01/2025

 Decent Meydan last week inc a 16/1 winner (albeit had a r4).

Meydan

2.05 - Mount K unlucky not to win last week. Has form on turf so can go close again today. Poster Paint looks so obvious on paper but worried about the blow out Seemar had last week. Age of Baroque flopped lto, but potentially well handicapped. Athan interesting. Ajwad is surely too old now to be at peak, but at peak would win this. Trappy so I split 1 bet across all three.

Mount K 6/1 win

Poster Paint 10/1win (sml)

Age of Baroque 25/1win (cover)

2.40 - Can't back any SBS horses until see winners. Bold Style and Regheeb likely winners but willing to take two outsiders who can excel over C&D. 

Tamborrada 16/1ew

Al Salt 40/1ew

3.15 - If Seemar's horses run well in earlier races I'll back Ranchero 12/1ew. If not nothing else I like in this.

3.50 - Al Arbed 4/1

5.35 - Castlewarden is Laurel River brother and interesting to see in a handicap first up. Doesn't look well handicapped but if have the class of LR, well then it's game over. Mubakker and Meshakel can go close on best form, but El Nasseb is running off a good mark based on last run

El Nasseb 11/4

Mubakker 16/1 (sml)

6.10 - Another difficult one to call. Based on penultimate runs:

Delorean 12/1

Shamran 16/1

Bets 10/01/2025

Decent ew with Supersundae. Only one winner at Meydan last week and week before think was a whitewash. Card no easier this week.

1.30 Heart of Honour has a good chance but not sure can bet at the price. Too many could improve past.

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2.05 - Trappy race. Story of Light 16/1ew on best form wins but think has likely regressed. 11lb lower than this time last year but I think ran better lto than in a similar race this time last year so has a chance. Magsood 10/1ew  might be second string but on paper looks better handicapped than Molaqab who on paper has needed runs after long breaks, but if fit will go very close. Hassim was interesting also, but left it with two.

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2.40 - Gamekeeper and Welcome Dream will both try to win from the front and the likely winners, but I like Barq Al Emarat 14/1ew. Ran well enough behind Welcome Dream lto and the likely pace could set this up nicely. The problem is Sandro Paiva. Just don't think the jockey is good enough, but at the price willing to punt it. Gamekeeper 3/1 gets a cover.

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3.15 - Symbol of Honour 6/4, but West Acre also looks solid.

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3.50 - Made a case for 10 of these so probably should avoid. Arabian Light 13/8 is likely the group horse in a handicap and should just stick with this but of all the others Western Writer 22/1ew(NR) worth a small ew. Alfareeq on best form was the danger, but not sure can back horse steered by Crowley atm

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4.25 - Surprising to see many of these in a handicap....

At the weights then I expect to see Guns and Glory 4/1 to turn the tables with Mendelssohn Bay, although it's very risky as MB will also likely improve for the last run. Will probably do a MB-GaG fc. If Nevershow Weakness wins at 16s today I'll cry. First Constitution on form years back was tempting but nto sure can back it on current form.

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5.00 - Everything is in shocking form, but Tawalla 5/2 now has no excuses

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5.35 - Similar to 3.50 where can make a case for many. Regal Connection 2/1 should win a race like this off this mark and New Comedy 16/1ew who I thought had a solid ew few weeks back gets another chance. Valvida was tempting also.

Bets 05/01/2025

 1.55 Naas - Not impressed with Jasmin's jumping. Form looks good but at this price keen to take on. Butch Cassidy interesting. Last year's winning Reading Tommy by Authorized was the Mullins outsider. Supersundae 25s the Mullins outsider also by Authorised looks a decent ew. Authorized decent record with stakes hurdles here. Ran a decent race in the Supreme over too short. Down in class lto but romped even though keen. Could see at furlong pole gave couple taps and then was off. So will have the stamina for a battle tomorrow. Half brother to Supasundae who is a G1 Hurdles winner over 2m4f also. Seeing lots of money. Managed to get 25s yesterday. Money either confidence or the syndicate is getting giddy.

Bets 03/01/2025

1.30 - 15 runner turf handicap. happy days. Endless Victory likely winner. Looks unexposed and if tries to make all, I'm not sure anything is likely to go with it. Could hack up. Given the likely lack of pace from anything other than Endless Victory, Blue Trail who broke the track record could try to come from stall 15 and sit behind Endless Victory. This could make things very interesting... For all that I'm not sure on reason was sold etc and why bottom of the market.

Silver Sword is very interesting on best form. Intricacy is also very interesting back to 10f. Was a really impressive win from off the pace and if in the same form could give Endless something to think about.

Likely winner: Endless Victory 7/4

Solid E/W: Intricacy 16/1ew

Wild Shot: Blue Trail 25/1ew

Not decided how will bet the race yet :)

2.05 - Smart thing to do here is follow the form of Imperial Emperor. Leaves you with Laasudood and Khanjar. Imperial Emperor ran faster when beating Khanjar, who also looked a bit difficult in the home straight, than when beating Laasudood who has now also gone up 5lb since. I like neither jockey so assuming they both run to their best going for the bigger priced one as first bet.

Khanjar 12/1ew

Laasudood 5/1

2.45 - Silky Wilkie's price looks too big on best form. Will that form translate to Meydan, not sure, but no reason why can't especially with Burke in decent form.

Silky Wilkie 9/1ew

3.55 - Something about Ottoman Fleet and Meydan doesn't work. Even though OF beat Poker Face in the Sefton many years back I think at 1m, Poker Face is better.

Poker Face 11/2ew

4.30 - Tuz just wins.

5.05 - Hallasan should just win.

5.40 - Assuming King of Conquest stays should just win

No singles on the last 3. Only playing a treble. 

Bets 20/12/2024

2.05 Meydan - Bilhayl 13/8. Small cover Ponntos to beat Bilhayl

3.15 Meydan - Danyah 2/1 best horse in race, but only on best from and not consistent. If Ehraz 40/1ew were to recapture form would be a decent ew play. August 23 was last time ran on GF and could have won a decent big handicap

3.50 Meydan - Artorius 15/8 best horse on paper. 

4.25 Meydan - Measured Time shouldn't lose this. Sean 10s and Alfareeq 25s might be worth doing something with

5.00 Meydan - Autobahn 2/1 is best horse on show and should win, but it's one of those races anyone could pull something out like Nevershow Weakness at 16s

5.35 Meydan - If Flying Honours bounces back to form of 2 years back wins. Otherwise New Comedy 20/1ew is a massive ew shout based on best runs over C&D. Royal Power may just hack up but on paper not massively well handicapped even though will continue to improve.

6.10 Meydan - If Takeed 22/1ew gets an uncontested early lead could kick on

Boring faves in pattern races so tried to find some big ews, but two handicaps are interesting for bigger prices.

Bets 13/12/2024

 2.40 Meydan - Market looks right with Kibo, Aldhaja, Fall of Rome.

Fall of Rome 13/2ew. Went of fave lto. Always runs a stinker fto and improves for next run. Think step up in trip will be fine. Aldhaja backed lto and I worry about drop in trip. Kibo running well but doesn't look on paper massively well handicapped. Meqdam and Classic City were interesting at massive prices, but stuck with FoR.

3.25 Meydan - Weak looking race and the form race is the one won by Onight last week. Fuming as pipped gamekeepe.

Matloob 11/2ew. Going to go very close from the front.

3.50 Meydan - Imperial Emperor 4/7 shouldn't be beaten

4.25 Meydan - Surely just between Tactical Bound and Cupid's Dream. 

Tactical Bound 11/8 clear on ratings but trainer in poor form. Dubawi farms Meydan so high hopes for Cupids' Dream who ran a cracker on debut behind a now 102 rated horse, but I bet Cupid's Dream 2/1 w/o TB

5.00 Meydan - Strobe 5/4

5.35 Meydan - Killer Collect 11/8

Boring fave picks today

Bets 06/12/2024

 2.05 - Razeen Dubai 4/1ew to try to make all

2.40 - Gamekeeper 5/2

3.15 - Aldaja 4/1ew

3.50 - Tuz is miles clear but a joke price. Morning 16/1ew is the big improver.

4.25 - Age of Baroque 10/1ew