Wednesday, 20 November 2024

Bets 20/11/2024

 4.30 - Hello Miss Lady 8/1ew

8.30 - Celtic John 16/1ew

Sunday, 17 November 2024

Bets 17/11/2024

 3 faves won . planned paradise might have won if ridden more prominent and jumped the last better.

1.10 - Naff race, but probably Ace of Spades

1.45 - A race in which so many are unexposed and so can't know what many would do. Take a chance on Bob Bob Ricard 12/1ew. Seem to be going well enough before hampered like time out over C&D. Assuming Guard Your Dreams 12/1ew  is not regressive can also go very close.

2.20 - Naff race, but probably Matata

2.55 - Hyman and Abuffalosolider are the two clear improvers in the field, but this race doesn't always go to improvers. Monbeg Genius 16/1ew was a big priced AP bet for the Ultima last year and gutted didn't quite make it, but if comes back to form(might need 1st run) can go really close. Does He Know 6/1 is running off same mark that won the race off 2 years agi

3.30 - Fiercely Proud 16/1ew. unlucky to fall lto. has potential to win off this mark and meets all the key trends. Teddy Blue 18/1ew doesn't meet too many race trends but Derham is horse transformation master and Teddy Blue ran crackers in the Betfair Hurdle and Swinton last year so does have the class

4.00 - Minella Hollow

AoS, BBR, Mat, DHK, TB, MH


Friday, 15 November 2024

Bets 16/11/2024

 urgh the jumps :)

12.35 - East India Dock 5/2 - Best horse in the race.

1.10 - The Newest One 6/1 really stepped up lto and like Chelts when good ground. 

Planned Paradise 20/1ew was given a crap ride lto from the back. When races more prominently does a lot better and got some gears on a good day.

1.45 - L'Eau Du Sude 10/11 - Best horse in race

2.20 - In Excelsis Duo 12/1ew. The Chelts handicap race on good in April earlier this year is why picking this. Ginny's D is the big danger of course

2.55 - Thanksforthehelp 6/1 - If bounces back to form just wins.

3.30 - Hamsiyann 11/4 - Couldn't pick between the top3 in this race so went with Martin steamer. 

4.00 - No idea. Darts for dun. St Irene 18/1, Riveria Walk 28/1 on peds. 

Thursday, 14 November 2024

Bets 15/11/2024

Chelts 1.10:

1) Plaisir Des Flos 5/1 still improving and fits a lot of trends.

2) Phamtomofthepoints 11/1 also started improving again, just in time for a race Pipe loves to win. Also only one of two with a G3 entry.

Double Powerful for the other place ;)

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Chelts 1.45:

1) Resplendent Grey 9/2 Looks a massive improver and think step up in trip will bring even more. Buddy One is rated 16lbs better but on the face of it looks a better hurdler. Hyland is prob the biggest threat, but happy to take the outsider in a 4 runner rave.

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Chelts 2.20:

1) Jonbon but no bet. Chelts is the place to take Jonbon on, but not sure with this small field it's worth the bother

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Chelts 2.55 - Conflated 7/2. Most of these are out of the weights, and with Conflated getting a 7lb claim I'll back it. 3rd in the gold cup and if takes to this discipline and back to form (not asking too much :)) can win

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Chelts 3.30 - Valgrand 6/4. Brushed aside 135 and 127 horses by 17 and 23 lengths respectively lto at Chelts. Potters Charm really had to work for it last time out but Valgrand races times when cruising in comparison means I'm going for Valgrand. Took some 50s for the Supreme on the Ex.

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Chelts 4.00 - Letterston Lily 6/1ew is going to fly up the hill. Bowen better position it properly.


Wednesday, 13 November 2024

Bets 13/11/2024

Bang 12.25 - Tanganyika 11s win, 6/4 top4 - Williams targets this race and could be massively unexposed over fences. Williams also generally smashed chase races at Bangor. Couple big dangers though so played 25% win 75% place. I'm doing this a lot atm.

Bang 12.55 - You Wear It Well 9/4 - Chelts winner. Runs well fresh. Trainer in good form. Jockey loves it round here. Top rated at this distance. Shecouldbeanything literally could be anything as is progressive with a g1 entry, but has a penalty and YWIW has been aimed at this race.

Bang 3.35 - If Aston Martin 11/2 bounces back to form wins and same story for Cheddleton 25/1

Friday, 8 November 2024

Bets 09/11/2024

3.30 Wincanton - Mofasa 11/2, Lord Accord 4/1

3.45 Donny - Waxing Gibous 14/1ew, Beamish 40/1ew back in trip could be very very interesting....

Bets 08/11/2024

 2.05 Meydan - Costa has once again started the season well, but is triple handed. I have zero interest in this race but Costa did state he thought La Yetal would go well this season, so just for fun to kick off Meydan

La Yetal 12/1ew

NR - So now backed Daayyem 11/2

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2.40 Meydan - Elyabi 7/1 was a massive 40/1 winner for me last year. If manages to front run without too much bother can win from the front. Elraaed 7/1 looks a likely improver and that race over 7f suggests will improve for step up in trip.

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3.15 Meydan - Followed Morning off a cliff last year. No doubt will step forward this year, but keen to see if fixed stalls issues first. Also think 7f might be a better trip. Meshakel likley best handicapped but not improcing any more. We all love Kafoo, but Mojeyrr 9/2 can easily reverse form based on weights. Magic Petition 40/1ew is overpriced on best form.

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4.00 Meydan - Quartier 8/1ew was 3rd in the 2k guineas. Started last season well, trainer in decent nick so if puts up a similar performance to the 2kg, just wins from a decent enough draw. Al Jaddaf and Meshtri were close up but stuck with Quartier

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4.35 Meydan - Nothing appeals to me. If Million Doro was drawn better would have considered it

5.10 Meydan - Ezaj wins from a better draw but at 9/2 can't do it. Might win today and I'll cry but pass either way.