Friday, 4 April 2025

Bets 05/04/2025 - Dubai WC and Grand National !

Aintree - 

1.20 Aintree - Act of Authority 8/1ew, Shangah Bob 33/1ew 

1.55 Aintree - Lulamba Evs. Basically 19 length headstart at the weights ahead of next best rated horse

2.30 Aintree - Really struggled to make decision on this. Les Milos 11/1ew and Weveallbeencaught 11/ew

3.05 Aintree - Ground will hopefully be good. Top of market many do better with give in ground. Altobelli 25/1ew could love this. Looks an up and coming stayer. The Wallpark would have been the pick but Elliot still on the sidelines for me. Strong Leader 6/1ew

4.00 - Iroko 9/1ew. I'm all over Intense Raffles Antepost, just not sure the ground is suitable now. 

5.00 - L'Eau Du Sud 15/8 - Best rated

5.25 - Storming George 28/1ew Decent debut. Was hampered for like a furlong and finally bolted once clear. Mossy Fen Road 5/1


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Dubai - Buick could have a decent day.

2.10 - Trawlerman 4/1(2pt). Best horse in the race. I didn't back it last year as ran poorly the year before in it. Ran really well in it last year. Maybe should have one. Not sure why Shoemark didn't slam him home. Think got pulled up by stewards on it. I didn't back Dubai Future lto, even though said was best in race. The SBS form stank. Shat in lto on the bridle. I just don't know if will back it up. Al Nayyir also ran a strong race last year. Looks potentially better than last year, but Trawlerman looked good in breeze ups this week and if Buick rides him 20% better than KS did last year this is the one to beat. Double Major probably only other that worries me. I think Trawlerman, Al Nayyir, Double Major and Dubai Future fill the top 4.

2.45 - Peptide Nile 9/1ew(1pt ew). There's going to be some pace in this and this one will close on the pack at the line. I think is a classy G1 Jap horse and top of couple stats for me. I think if Mosafa 9/2(0.5pt) was with Seemar a bit longer would have this done and dusted. Beat the Breeders Cup Classic winner and broke the Gulfstream track record. 

3.20 - If Christophe wasn't riding Isivunguvungu I'd be taking the 25ew, but 0/25 at the track. I see this between Believing and Regional. Regional 8/1ew (1pt ew) has beaten Believing (0.5pt) before so let's assume stays that way. Can't work out the Howdeepisyourlove form, but either way think my picks are better rated at these conditions. I do wonder how Regional will get on with Win Carnelian who will try to blitz this.

4.00 - Looking at ratings, races times and previous videos, I quite like Admire Daytona 10/1ew (1ptew). For some reason was held up and came home very strongly. Christophe PL who usually rides it is back on today and knows how to win here and in fact this race. Given I liked the race times of the pick I'd be fuming if Don in The Mood 9/1ew(1ptew) won so also backing this. 

4.40 - Looks between Tuz and Straight No Chaser. Tuz got the inside line and no other real pace. Is this enough to win? Tuz had a long campaign. Not sure will bet yet. Reassess again in the morning.

5.15 - Be an upset if Romantic Warrior 4/7 loses this. No single. Will acca with others

5.50 - Global trotting super star Rebels Romance 4/1(2pt). Shin Emperor worries me with stall 1. Calandagan arguably the best here, but I think will get stuck too far back even from this draw

6.30 - Be an upset if Forever Young 4/7 loses this. No single. Will acca with others.


Bets 04/04/2025

 Well we knew he was 8/12 winners before coming here....

Bit annoying really as everything he has is now being overbet and value is questionable.

1.45 - Dancing City 7/1ew was going to be the play, but price is now 11/4. hmmm. No interest in Handstand. Cadwell Potter looks decent, but I just can't take on the Mullins bandwagon. Beaten at the Chelts festival before winning at Aintree last year. No reason can't do it again. QDB, the other Mullins horse, is being smashed in. Hmmm.

Dancing City 11/4


2.20 - Blenkisop is really well handicapped based on form prior to the Aintree festival last year. Stepped up massively lto and back to similar form. Daly in decent nick. Good place chance. Wellington Arch also well handicapped but Wade Out who won so easily lto could be a big step ahead of mark here. If I knew Hansard stayed would be main bet at 33s, though I guess is a big price as doesn't stay?! Hmm. Ike Sport at 70s will bounce back one day. Maybe at Sandown later this month.

Wade Out 8/1ew

Small cover on Wellington Arch and Blenkisop


2.55 - Romeo Coolio should win but no touching an Elliott horse until he landed a winner first. Don't see the point in taking on Salvator Mundi who can turn the tables. Did like Jet to Vegas. No Kelso 365 winner has won this in 13 attempts and not looking for a stat breaker

Salvator Mundi 3/1


3.30 - El Fabilio 3/1

4.05 - Blue Lord 7/1, Ginnys Destiny 14/1ew. Jetoile interesting ew

4.40 - Califet En VOl 4/1

5.15 - Celtic Dino 4/1. Small hedge on Jack Hyde and Country Park


Thursday, 3 April 2025

Bets 03/04/2025

 Had planned to avoid Aintree. ROFL. Probably be a waste of time and should be focussing on Meydan....

Playing cautious ews I think. 


1.45 - Croke Park 11/2ew. Elliot form a bit of a doubt, but it's certainly getting there. Last 12 all 147+OR, 4 or 5 previous starts and didn't win lto in pattern handicap. Only Croke Park fits this. Walk In The Park solid stats and Elliot shorter price runners do really well. 

Impaire Et Passe been hammered in the market but Croke Park beat this by 5 lengths lto. Mullins though is 8 wins from last 12 runners. Hmmm

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2.20 - Only looking at the Fred Winter form here. The question is will either Murcia (13lb pull) or Wendrock (6lb pull) turn the tables on Putyourhandstogether? The winner romped, so hard to know how much more improvement. Urgh. Hate backing jumps favourites so backing Murcia with a 13lb pull

Murcia 5/1ew

Small hedge fc Puthands, Murcia (5/1)

Small fun tc Puthands, Murcia, Wendrock (35s) and Murcia, Puthands, Wendrock (64s)

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2.25 - Spillanes Tower all the rage in the betting. Going for the horse that has form of PU, PU, F. Ahoy Senor loves Spring and loves Aintree.

Ahoy Senor 8/1ew

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At this point Im putting on a Impaire Et Passe, Putyourhandstogether, Spillanes Tower Treble (20/1)

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3.30 - No bet. Flip a coin between Constitution Hill and Lossiemouth I say

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4.05 - Famous Clermont 15/2ew winner of this two years ago. Milan Forth looks to be one to keep an eye on in future if keeps improving as is. Small hedge on Lifetime Ambition probably biggest threat

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4.40 - Rath Gaul Hill 8/1ew. Could back loads of these. Put small hedge on Primoz

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5.15 - Charisma Cat 6/1ew



Tuesday, 1 April 2025

Bets 01/04/2025


Lingfield 2.02 - Charlie Mason 4/1
Lingfield 3.02 - Zariela 7/2
Lingfield 3.38 - Upepo 3/1
Lingfield 4.48 - Urban Sprawl 5/2
Lingfield 5.20 - Coolagh Magic 11/1 (Needs to break clean)

Played a place acca today instead of win acca. Interesting...




Monday, 31 March 2025

Bets 31/03/2025

 Decent from Dark Thirty. Thought was going to get screwed on the line again. Did get screwed with Stressfree though. Was a solid double with Dark Thirty foiled. Good Lincoln meeting. Best in many years.

Wolves 4.55 - If Banana runs to form of last race is well handicapped. Only looked at cards this morning. 20/1ew last night would have been decent value. Into 9/1. Still think has best chance. Jockey has best SR in field (27%). From Stall 1, if breaks well can make all.

Banana 9/1ew

Wolves 6.00 - Willing to take on market leaders. Cosmos Nights 10s , Ciotog 17s, Harlem Night 16s on the exchanges all have chances. Will split stakes with the first two. 

Cosmos Night 10s

Ciotog 17s


6.30 Wolves - Mr. Baloo can go in again. Hannon is spanking form and won this race before

Mr Baloo 2/1


7.00 Wolves - 

Antelope 6/1ew


7.30 Wolves - 

Kanghai 6/1


8.00 Wolves - 

Big Narstie 7/2


8.30 Wolves - 

Sir Lawerence Graff 3/1



Saturday, 29 March 2025

Bet 30/03/2025

Two decent winners, but man Iberian and The Cursor both should have won for a cracking day. Over thought the handicaps.

3.40 - Trilby 16/1ew, Dark Thirty 11/1ew

4.15 - Stressfree 6/1. Crimson Road not the worst 33s you'll see


Too tired for any more.






Friday, 28 March 2025

Bets 29/03/2025

Doncaster

1.15 - Ahead of Fashion 66s, Archibald Ives 10s , Justice Twice 25s  from trainers who do well with 2year old at Doncaster with decent prices, but in big races like this where a Hannon horse opens fave I'm happy to blindly back it, especially as this one with Amo and the ped is strong. Keen to see how Lope Harswell runs. First runner from Lope Y Fernandez. Was 66/1 when opened. Had some coins on it.

Norman's Cay 11/4


1.50 - Tough one. No strong opinions either. Look Back Smiling could win b2b renewals but looking at stablemate One Night Thunder, if this bounces back to form, is going to be chucked in. Money come from 66s into 22s already, so is this a bullish sign? The better the ground, the better the chances for sure.  I think there will be a lot of pace down the middle and looking for one that has that extra distance form. Looking back at most winners they all had a go over longer. Bit of a dart but Deborah's Dream maybe the one that makes all and holds on. Again the better the ground the better then chance. I thought about Promethean but drawn 22 (1 in 27 wins)

One Night Thunder 22/1ew

Deborahs Dream 25/1ew


2.25 - I really want to back Spycatcher. On best form this one wins. 7 years old though and Burke form in pattern class at Doncaster not too appealing. So, looking for a 4 year old who still improving. Potentially it's James Delight but plumping for Iberian. Wind Op looks to have worked a treat and solid course winner

Iberian 13/2


3.00 - I thought about Checkandchallenge. If the ground was Good, I'd have gone in. Tough to split the top in market, but Dancing Gemini is taking step down in class. 2nd in French Guineas. Think ground will still have soft in it. Teal back in the winners enclosure yesterday.

Dancing Gemini 7/2


3.35 - Easy to get carried away with this race. I backed Thunder Run AP, but looking at trends, shrunk the list to Godwinson,  Native Warrior, Alpha Crucis, Dashing Darcey, Old Cock. Olivers is 6lb well in so on paper big chance. Native Warrior looked progressive last year and willing to ignore last race. Wootton Bassetts all good at Donny (4/13 in 4yr+ handicaps).

Native Warrior 10/1ew


4.10 - The Cursor 10/1ew

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Curragh

2.15 - Go Athletico 20/1ew. If recaptures previous form back at former stable can outrun odds for a place minimum.