Friday 1 November 2024

Breeders Cup - Fri and Sat

9.45 - This Japanese horse looks rapid. Ecoro Sieg 4/1. It's times are unbelievable after only 2 races. Smashed the track record lto and even though that was over 6f, it's first 3f were fire. I take Shareholder 12s and Arizona Blaze 20s, for the tricast.

10.25 - Another Japanese pick for me. American Bikini 4/1. If stays win. Monster ped and most winners of this race are stepping up in trip. Scottish Lassie 3s for the forecast.

11.05 - Lake Victoria Evs. G1 horse. A stone ahead of anything else any horse has produced so far. Must not get trapped from Draw 1. Trust Ryan to sort that out given so much better than the rest. Thought Process and Scythian for the tricast. Totally Justified 66/1ew small 

11.45 - I do like the look of East Avenue but I'm assuming will be bunch of horse fighting the lead and Chancer McPatrick 4/1 will pick up the mess. Gaming and East Avenue to pick up the tricast

12.25 - Henri Mat is the best horse in the race and Ryan has won this race from 14 before. I just can't play this risk. Mentee and Satono Carnaval are the most impressive over 6f and if stay can beat most of these. I'm on the Jap theme tonight so pluck Satono Carnaval 12/1ew. 3 horses have won from stall 1 in the last 7 years. I'm worried about Rachel King's experience but still going in. Mentee, Henri Mat for the tri

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7.00 - Vavha 6/1ew beat Society before but in the last race looked trapped the whole way. Ways and Means still needs to improve to beat Vavha on best form. 

7.41 - Cogburn 13/8 is ridiculous. Surely one of the best 5f US horses of recent times. 

9.01 - Taking on the Euro's with Far Bridge 11/1ew. Don't think is that far off Lux and Emily. Would have played Jayrabe but distance not tried before which a big neg in this race.

9.41 - Fierceness 4/1. Forever Young next. Taking on COT. AoB 0-14 in this race. Is CoT running for Stallion status?!

10.25 - Full Count Felicia 10/1ew to make all and stay out of trouble. Cinderella for the forecast

11.45 - Notable Speech 3/1 if puts best foot forward, just wins. Carl Sparkler is interesting.



Friday 25 October 2024

Bets 26/10/2024

 Champions Day not great, but Kind of Blue finally came through so very happy about that.


2.05 Donny - Ah I was praying Aberama Gold 7/1 was going to be drawn high, but alas. I can't not back it though as is the best handicapped horse in the race by a long way. Blue Storm 6/1 is going to be tough to beat I think though.

2.40 Donny - Royal Playright 14/1ew

3.15 Donny - Promethean 8/1ew

3.50 Donny - We Dare To Dream 12/1ew. Wild Nature/WDTD fc 21/1

4.25 Donny - Baradar 11/1ew, Rhythm Master 22/1ew

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1.10 Chelts - Guard Your Dreams 6/1

2.20 Chelts - Vanillier 20/1w, Kinondo Kwetu 20/1ew

Friday 18 October 2024

Bets 19/10/2024

A lot of caution this weekend. Ground could be a bog and I hate bog betting.

1.20 - Sweet William 10/1ew & Trawlerman 6/1

1.55 - Not sure what will happen with draw. Think pace maybe more lower and historically lower draw on soft does better here. Still gutted about Kind of Blue in the sprint stakes. Would have been some payday. I have this Kind of Blue 20/1 AP, but today I prefer James Delight 12/1ew. Moore/Cox combo is decent. Horse is still improving and should have beaten Spycatcher lto (fluffed start)


2.35 - I want a 3 year old that is still improving and is a proven stayer. 

Content, Kalpana and Grateful are the highest rated 3year olds and with their allowance in effect are top rated. Content ran too poorly to be true last time out and Study of Man (Kalpana mare), doesn't have the best G1 record and offspring yet to win at Ascot so at 3/1 that's a big risk especially as not proven on soft.

Grateful improved maybe half a stone last time out running on soft for the first time over a distance longer than today and would have romped with a clear run. Is bred beautifully and for sure still improving. For me 18/1ew Grateful is a decent ew.

Thought Wingspan could improve further up in trip but Grateful has already proven it.

Smaller play on Content 6/1 as is the best horse in the race.


3.15 - Henry Longfellow 8/1ew. Solid form at Ascot and on soft. Top rated at the weights.


4.35 - I backed Bopedra 12/1ew and Mr Professor 16/1ew, but State Actor 8s, Mexicali Rose 28s all tick my lists


Friday 11 October 2024

Bets 12/10/2024

 Always nice to bang a 25/1 in. Can't believe missed Empirestateofmind. Said was one of best handicapped in Cambridgeshire. Won 18/1 today. Damn.

No time for write ups

2.05 Y - Magico 15/2

2.40 Y - Woven 18/1

3.15 Y - Valiant Knight 10/3

5.05 Y - Austrian Theory 7/1


1.15 NW - Lead Artist 9/4

Thursday 10 October 2024

Bets 11/10/2024

 Small stakes only. Waiting for Meydan to start again really...

1.07 NW - Verse of Love 2/1

1.47 NW - Treasure Isle 8/1

2.25 NW - Miss Fascinator 10/1

3.35 NW - January 13/2

4.10 NW - Imperial Sovereign 18/1


1.30 Y - Naxos 8/1

3.45 Y - Vince L'Amour 25/1


Friday 4 October 2024

Bets 05/10/2024

Ascot 2.25 - Al Aasy 2/1.Trappy race. Best horse on best form is Hamish, but not looked right last two runs. Al Aasy absolutely trounced Al Qareem last time out so no reason to back against this time.

Ascot 3.00 - Vadream 7/1ew. Assuming stays soft best horse over this distance in these conditions.

Ascot 3.35 - United Approach 16/1ew is well handicapped. I was hoping would only get a small rise lto as was giving away 3-4lbs plus 3lb to the winner's claimer. Purely on paper despite the rise is 3-4lb head of mark. The draw could play a big part so I'm sticking with one. Hopeful of at least a place.

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Newmarket 1.30 - La Pasionaria 14/1ew. The Musidora form says this could potentially be very well handicapped.

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Redcar 4.30 - Naepoint 7/2. C& winner. Bethell hot atm. 8/12 with Irish bred 8-10f handicaps at Redcar. Draw good

Friday 27 September 2024

Bets 28/09/2024

I don't like heavy ground betting. I'm crap at it. End of season too, so just did a handful and not that enthused by them

Haydock

1.30 - Flying Finn 20/1. Decent mark, likes heavy. 

Skipper 4/1. Not as well handicapped, but trainer flying and Calyx on heavy in handicaps 3/6 and 6/9 at Haydock. Maybe a 11/1 double with Sir William in the next. Calyx double!


Newmarket

3.40 - Going against trends somewhat this week. I suspect many trainers line up an improving good ground horse for this race. It's been G-GF for the last 14 years so we may find a surprise this year. Or I'm chatting sh1te and we won't. The two best handicapped horses are:

Bopedro - 14/1ew

Empirestateofmind 66/1ew (backed earlier in the week)


4.45 - Granger Bay 7/2