1.30 - Raddad Al Wathba 8/1 0.5pt ew
2.05 - If cheekpieces make the difference, and is a big if given current form, this one is the best on numbers.
Inner Wisdom 10/1 0.5pt ew
2.40 - Not convinced War Hawk wants ground this fast. Daamiss maybe unlucky not to win lto, but not convinced of that race formline now, which rules out Silver Sword too. If Native Spirit runs I may back it as looks well handicapped on paper. City of Delight is back on turf on quick ground over 10f which is defo best conditions. Didnt take to dirt and actually ran okay lto. The winner was a group horse in a handicap who'll be in pattern racing nto.
City of Delight 9/1 1pt ew
3.15 - Tricky one. Nothing stood out. Backed Laasudood last two races for decent ew returns but too short today. Ever chance Gun Carriage can make all to win, but can not get a handle on Cunha runners. Taking a risk on this pick today: Army Ethos nearly won the Covcntry in '23. Had a couple low key runs this season and improved lto. I think 8f on dirt is going to be very interesting as long as not held up too far back.
Army Ethos 10/1 0.5pt ew
3.50 - I wouldnt be surprised to see an Appelby 123 in this. Hassallan seems big at 25s. However, English Oak is a pain in the arse having beaten my selection lto and not won the last maybe 5 times in UK I backed him. On his day super talented and looked in great form lto. Fingal Raven next best for me, but shorter distance and harder draw make it trickier today.
English Oak 13/2 1pt ew
4.25 - Elusive Trevor 11/8 1pt win
5.00 - Not as an exciting 6f line up as have seen in previous weeks and popping for couple long shots. Odai squeezed out lto but ran on strongly into 4th and Condor Pasa who can deffo win off this mark over C&D, but has a poor jock. That said all he has to do is break and run. Can make all. Nothing fancy needed.
Odai 16/1 0.5pt ew
Condor Pasa 20/1 0.5pt ew
5.35 - Trappy race. Chance on Road Bloc
Road Bloc 20/1 0.5pt ew
Elusive Trevor / City of Delight 0.25pt 20/1 Double