Wednesday, 19 August 2026

Bets 20/08/2026

Air Force annoyingly won and annoying missed the price on Henley on Thames at 10s else was backing that. Not sure why I forgot I'd backed Item at 25s antepost and didn't put it up. Anyhow, rain could cause carnage, but let's go.

1.50 - Simmering Sun meets all the trends I want in this and price looks too big when looking at collateral form with likes of Wild Blossom

Simmering Sun 22/1ew


2.25 - Thought really hard about taking on Sun Goddess, but not sure the rain, the draw and a 7lb penalty will stop the win as is so far ahead of mark. Thought about Cox's horses given his record and also Thebestisyettocome and Innichen.

TBC


3.00 - Looking for an improver here and I like the Ian Williams pair. Wouldn't be surprised if Checkandchallenge ran into a place as it best handicapped in race, but hard to go against the typical winning profile. Blue Brother very interesting also.

TBC


3.35 - Legacy Link's course form counts for a lot. 3 year olds do well in the race and watching the RIbblesdale I'm happy to draw a line through it

Legacy Link 14/1ew


4.10 TBC


4.45 - Assuming will be soft by now and Soldier Of The Sea will benefit as whilst early days Blackbeards seem to like soft. On top of this Gentle Hurricane ran pretty well today and Soldier went close to beating it whilst carrying 7lb more. Holds a G2 entry. Revels formlines look good, but drawn 20, not sure.

Soldier of The Sea 18/1ew


5.20 - Again, assuming is soft Caim will benefit and is ahead of mark.

Caim 14/1ew





Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Bets 19/08/2026

1.50 York - I backed The Man at 9/1, but the value has gone. It opened at 14/1 but been tipped by 3 major tipsters. I thought 9/1 was just about okay, but because likes to be held up, being drawn low he will see a wall of horses to get through. At 4/1 I can't put it up.

Stratusnine and Toca Madera come from the Stewards Cup and Toca Madera was very unlucky. Has developed into a very quick horse this year and with a low draw and prominent race style has a great chance to make up for the unlucky run lto.

Apollo One is the best handicapped horse on old form but not in form. Air Force One has a chance, but tough race to finally turn up and win.

Toca Madera 7/1ew


2.25 York - Not a handicap but Gentle Hurricane is interesting. Unexposed and Balding has a decent record in this. Was 9/1 yesterday so hoping stable confidence behind it. I don't like that Haffner lost lto so happy to take on

Gentle Hurricane 13/2ew


4.10 - Interesting race this as can see this being a crawl then sprint finish. I don't have access to sectionals (though been meaning to for a while). Seems like Team Player is the fast finisher. Fireblade was interesting.

Team Player 11/1ew


4.45 - I backed Call Margot at 50s on the exchanges with some loose change but not sure this is the race and also 2lb out the handicap. That said given that Epsom run is probably a stone ahead of mark, but needs to show some form again.

Poatan is a 100+ rated horse. Looked pretty unlucky to me not to beat Words of Truth lto. I just hope there is enough cut in the ground as think this is head of mark. Draw not best but at the price good enough

Poatan 11/1 ew


5.20 - Missed the price on Dancing Pirate and Henley on Thames so can't play these now. Crystal Queen comes from arguably the best 2yr old race and ran better then finishing position. Was staying on strongly and looks ahead of mark. Draw and ped are nagging, but Fahey has won this race before so knows what it takes and gets a decent 3lb claim

Crystal Queen 18/1ew (Can still get on exchanges, but Hugh Taylor tipped so price now gone)



Saturday, 8 August 2026

Bets 08/08/2026

Never too appealing from a betting perspective as 10 runners means less value to be found, but prize money decent enough for there to be triers.


13.35 - Bolo Nights 4/1 won on wrong side over C&D lto. 

14.10 - Dancing in Paris 17/2ew meets my trends. I like the Balding fave and most likely winner, but this race isn't won enough with improving 4 year olds. More plotted and mature handicappers.

14.45 - Night Breeze 7/2. Best form on the table. C&D winner

3.20 - Thunder Call 7/4. Best in race. Maybe should have won lto. I really don't like the price though.

4.30 - Ozat 4/1 - Strong Ascot form. Looked unlucky many times at Goodwood. No surprise to see Two Tribes win if stays, but q is too big for now.







Friday, 31 July 2026

Bets 01/08/2026

 It's been clear for a long time that I don't know how to back favourites and yesterday was woeful. One winner. -10.5pts.

The 3.00 was absolute carnage. Darkness came flying from the back faster than anything and Indalo was hemmed in and hampered for the closing part of the race. Ancient Rome who I said was best on numbers finished 4th at 33/1, but I wouldn't have picked the winner. 

From being 18pts up on Day 1 to -2.5pts on Day 4 is painful. Final day and sticking with handicaps only.

1.50 - There may be a clue in the Ebor Antepost betting. Valedictory probably needs a rise/penalty to get in. Being nibbled in the antepost market at as if going to win this :) Meets all the trends, but having nightmares about favourites now :)

Incensed's run in the Listed race at Goodwood in May has rock solid form and collateral form makes this one look very well handicapped. Has very good course form.


Valedictory 3/1

Incensed 18/1ew

Rfc 56/1 and 66/1


3.35 - Quite easy for me to pick my two in this. Sondad is on the up and romped a massive handicap lto. On paper Dark Thirty should turn the tables, but won easier than the the margin. Two Tribes, back in form and well handicapped

Sondad 7/1ew

Two Tribes 8/1ew

Rfc 40/1 and 44/1


4.10 - Start Me Up and Naval Light both meet the trends I want. Naval Light has course experience and has been given a couple of confidence boosters before this race. Has a lot in hand if doesn't hang too badly. Once go the hang of it, moved quickly. Start Me Up, I kept an eye on in Dubai. They fancied one day and pummelled the price but didn't do much. Watched it's penultimate race at Chester and really liked the way knuckled down on the straight. Think will step up from that. Ignore last race as was hugley inteefered with at the start.


Naval Light 15/2ew

Start Me Up 18/1ew

Rfc 140/1 and 152/1


5.20 - Spell Master brings decent form and down 1 furlong makes sense. Thunder Wonder is down 11lb since last Glorious Goodwood and despite a poor start finished very well so could be a last race Johnston plot. Money has come for it.

Spell Master 5/1ew

Thunder Wonder 12/1ew

Rfc 58/1 and 62/1


Thursday, 30 July 2026

Bets 31/07/2026

 Lion of Alba was far too left field. Apparently Call Margot found ground too quick and was found lame, so we'll never know. I very keen on chances. I'm most gutted about My A'Ali Baba, no space, hung a bit and then massively hampered and not recovered. Would have at least placed. Donna Beauty, may have placed if wasn't so free and hanging all over the place but either way -8 for the day which is never nice, but that's the danger of playing on big prices!

1.50 - I think it's quite hard to find anything confidently to beat Valiancy. Ran super well at RA from a poor draw.

Valiancy 11/4


2.25 - Talk of New York is very short, but rightly so. 7lb clear and rock solid form. Deffo acca uplift job


3.00 - Ancient Rome is best on numbers but looks regressive now. I have little doubt O'Meara is working Darkness's mark back down. 6lb down now since a decent run at Haydock. Three rides at York an all poor, including the last two, which helped 4lb....Loves conditions over C&D here and feels big to me. Tribal Chief and Indalo are strong on trends so can't be ignored. Both are drawn low, Tribal Chief can fluff lines but Indalo is 2lb well in and so worth a play

Darkness 40/1ew, Indalo 6/1ew


3.35 - Couple of 3 year olds with a good chance in this with Spicy Marg and Aspect Island, but I like Night Raider more. Spicy Marg looks out of form and not as good over 5f as Night Raider even with 3yr old allowance. Aspect Island will have to improve a lot, so sticking with Night Raider who was done by the draw at RA.

Night Raider 3/1


4.10 - Haatem and Galen are joint top on numbers, but course form edges it for me

Haatem 5/2


4.45 - Jaijai 14/1ew, Sky Secret 16/1ew


5.20 - Into The Light 11/4


Valiancy, Talk of New York, Night Raider, Haatem, Into The Light 5 fold 300/1... Played 4 folds also (Total 1pt). For example if 1pt = £25, £5 on the five fold + 4 x 5bets on the four folds = £25 total






Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Bets 30/07/2026

Draw hurt Sir Garfield today. Was quite keen on it. Very close with Under The Starlight, but anyway only a couple points down as Pershaada won at 4/1.

Going wild today. 

1.50 - Going left field with this. I found holes with most I liked so rather look for a bigger priced one. Step up in distance should be fine.

Lion of Alba 20/1ew 


4.10 - Anyone who followed me on Call Margot at 25s at Epsom will remember how unlucky we were. Just like that race I have no idea why is so big at 20's today. Goodwood and Epsom are pretty similar and Call Margo once again is going to get Nana's Shadow helping to set the pace like at Epsom. Call Margot should have beaten Nana's Shadow easily and this time gets a 17lb pull with the decent claimer included. 17lb!!!

 Wasn't a huge amount of money for it at Epsom, so not worried if drifts and I put a line through lto on slower ground. If Call Margot doesn't get too keen, surely has a huge chance. Stable in good form, draw is fine, pace is fine, numbers are good. Fingers crossed. 

Call Margot 20/1ew


4.45 - I liked Cash Cove in this, but his draw means shouldn't play with fire. Another big price that has some value is My Aali Baba. Got course form under belt and the winner of that now has a G1 entry. Gelded before last race and well enough. Should come on again. I like jockey booking and A'Ali is 23% in 2yr old handicaps....I think the Supreme King would have won today if drawn the other side (Sir Garfield was also impacted), but means think stable form is good too.

My A'Ali Baba 22/1ew


5.20 - Yes it's a 2year old non-handicap (not by speciality), but So Lovely and Avalon Queen set the standard, but I think there's a space for a big ew. Only 3 others have race course experience. 8/10 winners all ran 1 race before winning this. Starspangledbanner 2year olds are 29% here at Goodwood. Johnston's have always loved this meeting and throwing her straight into a decent maiden at the guneas meeting must mean they thought something of her (came back lame), so why not play a huge long shot of 50/1 with Donna Beauty. Note I wouldn't do this if wasn't 14 odd points up.

Donna Beauty 50/1ew

5.55 - Might post one tomorrow.

I put a treble on Flann Sunna, Enceladus an Friendly Soul 25/1





Bets 29/07/2026

18 points up for Day 1.

Naff day for big handicaps. Last two races are big fields but they are class 3 and class 4 races. i.e. Naff.


1.50 - 9 runners and can make a case for a few of them. You'd expect the KG form to shine through but Hatteen also looks ahead of mark. No bet.


2.25 - No betting opinions as Wild Blossom is fave and best on numbers. No bet


3.00 - Flora of Berumda is top on numbers, but Zanthos is decent. Can make all today. Ignoring last two runs due to draw.

Zanthos 5/1ew


3.35 - Another non handicap but I had Pershaada marked down post Ascot and think has a fave's chance and at 4s happy to play.

Pershaada 4/1


4.10 - No betting opinions. No bet


5.00 - I don't follow formlines for C3 and below so it's much harder for me to assess a field like this. Under The Twilight is best on numbers and nearly won at Glorious Goodwood last year. Worthy fave on paper, but Sir Garfield beat Amazing Journey two races back and Lipsink was close enough to Twilight Calls lto and they bring the best formlines. Born Slippy is dangerously handicapped but first run back and I think better with cut in ground.

Sir Garfield can front run from a good draw and go close and Under the Twilight is best on numbers

Under the Twilight 7/1ew

Sir Garfield 12/1ew


5.40 - You could back many of these with good rationale, and there will be so many plot jobs that you can't see on paper. Bobby Bennu drops in class and should be winning a race like this. Problem I have is this race 90% of the time goes to an exposed horse dropped to a winning mark. Yesterday in haste I did put an ew double with Bobby Bennu and Pershada, but I have to follow trends and numbers Rhoscolyn is best on numbers by a long way, even on GF, but surely needs softer ground? DivineLibra second best on numbers. The Fingal Raven is on my tracker and I think is going to win soon, but not sure in right form atm. The Liffy went from 98 to 86 and now won 4 of last 5 races and clearly a stinky job from a good draw. Goldmoyne brings the best c3 form here and with prominent racing style can go close. Pelitory ties in with this formline but will stick with Gold due to draw.


Divine Libra 20/1ew. 

Goldmoyne 9/1ew