Bets 20/12/2024

2.05 Meydan - Bilhayl 13/8. Small cover Ponntos to beat Bilhayl

3.15 Meydan - Danyah 2/1 best horse in race, but only on best from and not consistent. If Ehraz 40/1ew were to recapture form would be a decent ew play. August 23 was last time ran on GF and could have won a decent big handicap

3.50 Meydan - Artorius 15/8 best horse on paper. 

4.25 Meydan - Measured Time shouldn't lose this. Sean 10s and Alfareeq 25s might be worth doing something with

5.00 Meydan - Autobahn 2/1 is best horse on show and should win, but it's one of those races anyone could pull something out like Nevershow Weakness at 16s

5.35 Meydan - If Flying Honours bounces back to form of 2 years back wins. Otherwise New Comedy 20/1ew is a massive ew shout based on best runs over C&D. Royal Power may just hack up but on paper not massively well handicapped even though will continue to improve.

6.10 Meydan - If Takeed 22/1ew gets an uncontested early lead could kick on

Boring faves in pattern races so tried to find some big ews, but two handicaps are interesting for bigger prices.

Bets 13/12/2024

 2.40 Meydan - Market looks right with Kibo, Aldhaja, Fall of Rome.

Fall of Rome 13/2ew. Went of fave lto. Always runs a stinker fto and improves for next run. Think step up in trip will be fine. Aldhaja backed lto and I worry about drop in trip. Kibo running well but doesn't look on paper massively well handicapped. Meqdam and Classic City were interesting at massive prices, but stuck with FoR.

3.25 Meydan - Weak looking race and the form race is the one won by Onight last week. Fuming as pipped gamekeepe.

Matloob 11/2ew. Going to go very close from the front.

3.50 Meydan - Imperial Emperor 4/7 shouldn't be beaten

4.25 Meydan - Surely just between Tactical Bound and Cupid's Dream. 

Tactical Bound 11/8 clear on ratings but trainer in poor form. Dubawi farms Meydan so high hopes for Cupids' Dream who ran a cracker on debut behind a now 102 rated horse, but I bet Cupid's Dream 2/1 w/o TB

5.00 Meydan - Strobe 5/4

5.35 Meydan - Killer Collect 11/8

Boring fave picks today

Bets 06/12/2024

 2.05 - Razeen Dubai 4/1ew to try to make all

2.40 - Gamekeeper 5/2

3.15 - Aldaja 4/1ew

3.50 - Tuz is miles clear but a joke price. Morning 16/1ew is the big improver.

4.25 - Age of Baroque 10/1ew

Bets 05/12/2024

Lol. 11/1 and 9/1 winners on the flat. Jumps rubbish as always. Going to keep trying with jumps. I used be good at them, though was just the main festivals tbf :)

Stats plays.

12.45 MR - Viyanni Evs. Derham won this last year. Has a crazy stat with horses who have joined him from another yard on first run. 65% in C2 below. Derham 38% at course and only trainer with a winner in last 14 days. OBrien the best jockey in the race at this course with 21%.

2.25 - Leicester - Johnny Mac 10/3. Sheppard 50% at course and currently 38% SR. Does well with gelding at Leicester in C4 and below 57%. Horse won off higher mark, C&D winner and going back RH. Stan Sheppard has won on the horse before and is 29% at the course.

2.28 MR - Zmiinyi 6/4. Bailey 27% course and current SR is 33%. Best in race on both. Also 65% win 6/7yr old Geldings under 7/1 in MR Chases.

20/1 Treble

4.10 Chelmsford - Star Pupil 6/1ew. If it's held up forget it, but if prominent is going to go very close. On paper it should anyway....

Bets 04/12/2024

Not expecting any returns today. Waiting for Meydan...

#1 Lingfield 11.20 - Monsieur Beaulieu 9/1ew finished really strongly over 6f lto. Extra furlong will do the trick.

#2 Haydock 12.40 - Left field punting. CEst Quelquun 50/1ew. IF rediscovers form from Sept '23 when ran over this distance on soft could blow this lot. It's a big if, but Hamilton horse usually come alive about now. Hamilton is 29% here and Doyle is 25%. In fact none of the other jockeys have ever won here. Topkapi Star was interesting but trainer in dire form.

#3 Lingfield 2.55 - Grey DArs 25/1ew chucked in on old form. Was winning earlier this year. First run back a potential blow out.

#4 Kempton 5.10 - Clyonite 11/1ew

#5 Haydock 5.18 - Another wild pick. Pacini 100/1ew. Another from the Hamilton stable. Another Gordon Elliott castaway and another who if finds the form from Feb this year when ran 11l behind Bottler'secret in a G3 could also blow this lot. Same again though BIG IF.

#6 Dundalk 5.00 - Big flat nursery handicap :) though it's Dundalk.

Temps Leve 25/1ew. Draw good. Looks fiddled to me. Ran okay over 7f at the track and was staying on well, then dropped to 6f to get a mark. Didn't fool the handicapper being given 69. Ran poorly over 6f again and then was actually unlucky lto. Had to switched maybe 6 times before got clear and once clear wasn't losing ground on the winner. With the claim now 10lb lower over C&D again. JOB nearly won the race last year. If Your Call makes the cut then big danger.

#7 Kempton 6.40 - Bernaldo 20/1ew