1.35 Newcaslte - Lir Speciale 14/1ew. Only neg is trainer form
2.04 Newcastle - Spycatcher 9/2ew
2.15 Newmarket - Celadine 12/1ew. Good draw. Trainer won this before. Foaled early. G1 entry. Kingman good ped for this.
2.35 Newcastle - Legendary Day 16/1ew. 5lb lower than last year with claimer when deffo had a chance.
3.40 Newcastle - Eldrickjones 9/1ew
Chesham
Pentle Bay 9/1ew - Strong trends bet. Decent trainer, jockey and draw
(17/21) Foaled in March or before (means had longer to grow!),
(16/21) Ran over 6f lot (means gets the distance experience)
(14/21) Won last time out
(14/21) Returned 7/1 or shorter. I think will go off shorter :)
Hardwicke
Continuous 13/8 best horse in race. Trying to get it beat but I can't in a solid way.
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Jersey -
Never So Brave 14/1ew
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Wokingham -
Dark Trooper 10/1ew is absolutely chucked in on paper and is one of 5 that meets 7 of the top
Most met the top trends (No more than 4 runs this season, ran within 6 weeks, won over 6 or 7). Then...
(20/24) Age 4 or 5
(20/24) Finished 6th or better LTO
Based on draw this week, would opt for stalls 10 or higher.
This leaves Dark Trooper, Harry Three, Ferrous, Rumstar, Torivega (I don't think will like ground)
I backed Dark Trooper yesterday, but tonight have gone over the trends to happy to see is on the list, so sticking with it as already won a C&D handicap on GF
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Golden Gate -
Approval 8/1 - Chucked in, but not sure about the draw.
Only 1 winner yesterday. Back to reality. Not much time again today/tomorrow.
2.30 Albany -
Simmering 20/1ew - Form is strong with Arabie. Did really well on debut against Arabie who had previous experience.
Burning Pine 33/1ew - Just seen a video of debut. Romple. Pedigree decent. Draw might be a problem.
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3.05 Commonwealth -
Military 25/1ew - I think it's a big advantage to stay further than 6f in this race. Many of the winners won or were tried over 7/8f. Round it down to 4 or 5 horse. One looks at it's ceiling. One is beaten on form with another and so end up with Isherin, Evade and Military Order. Isherin likely winner tbh, Evade beaten by complex formlines lines. So Military. Best race as 2year old was at Newmarket and perhaps if over 6 would have won. Form of that race is decent enough. Improved both runs this season, back to quick ground, maybe can outrun 25/1.
Was going to back Starlust, but blinkers worried me. Form is decent behind Star of Mystery
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3.45 Coronation - I can't pick between 4 horses, so passing.
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4.25 Duke of Edinburgh
Struth 20/1ew - Back to form and well handicapped.
Bague D'or 12/1ew - Looks progressive and seems to be targeting Ebor. Could probably get in off this mark though so not sure should back this. Will check couple items in morning if get time
Kolossal/Mandoob are the best handicapped horses on paper, but both coming back from layoffs. If the market springs either of these from 66/1 may have a small ew
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Sandringham 5.05
Without Words 14/1ew - Chucked in
Indelible 5/1 - Look best handicapped but draw is killer
Cat Ninja 25/1ew - Next best
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5.40 - KE VII - No time to look
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6.15 - Palace Handicap
Sommilier 16/1ew,
Dark Vintage 25/1ew
Airman 25/1ew. TBC
Urgh Might Erui set off too late. SP 50/1. Shame as had it in a treble with Running Lion 14/1 and Ilinois. 100/1 fc in the last and a large number of ew accas put me miles up. Can't possibly lose RA now.
Think today is AOBs day.
2.30 Norfolk Stakes
#1 Saturday Flirt 14/ew - This one ran 5.5f faster than some of this field ran 5f on GF. Was a big baby on debut, but looked to have serious gears. Hopefully can improve from that
#2 Moving Force 25/1ew - Fahey's record in this race last few years is insane. He has two, but how can Shareholder be 6/1 and this 25/1 when MF is 7lb better off now. The AoB horse is by far the best in the race but GF in a big unknown risk.
3.05 King George V Stakes
#1 Gallantly 12/1ew - I remember backing South Pacific £250 22/1ew after Detorri won me £7k after winning first number of races. Haven't backed (from memory another AOB runner in this race, but Gallantly looks well handicapped. Liked it's last race. Quick times. Same route as Secret State couple years back
3.45 Ribblesdale
#1 Kalpana 11/2ew Had this earmarked for Ascot for a while.
#2 Port Fairy 10/1ew - Bypassed the Oaks, I assume for this. Only 1 horse has won this before after only 2 starts, hence trying to find something to beat Diamond Rain
4.25 Gold Cup
#1 Gregory 11/2ew. Unexposed at the trip and think will improve massively for it. I think Gosden will have a 1-2 in this race.
#2 Trawlerman 6/1ew - Should have gone much closer in the Dubai World Cup. Will be battle of the Golden Horns.
5.05 Britannia
#1 Qirat 8/1ew - Really impressive lto.
#2 Monkey Island 28/1ew - Massive improvement from 2 to 3. On a good mark but not chucked in. All my fancies are drawn under stall 10 which is not worth the risk
#3 Air Commander 20/1ew - Clearly well handicapped on it's AW race and looking at last couple races think the quick ground will really help. Problem is this is drawn 2 so Ryan Moore I think will have to make all. At the price, given think AOB will have a decent day going for it.
5.40 Hampton Court
#1 Portland 12/1ew - Was on this AP for the Derby (Rightly or wrongly) I thought ran really well at Sandown and I hope Moore is prominent with him tomorrow. Only AoB dart in this race which is oftern telling. Only dart for me also.
6.15 - Buckingham Palace Stakes
#1 The XO 33/1ew - Big eyecatcher for me lto. Hit the front too soon. Hopefully the fast ground will help.
#2 Dark Thirty 33/1ew - Solid consistent handicapper. Hannon won this twice with 4yr olds in last 4 years.
#3 Mostabshir 12/1ew - Just for my own sanity given was in the Sjt James last year running to a mark of 108...
Decent enough yesterday. Short of time yesterday so didn't complete all checks when punted them. Looks a tough day though.
I've listed in preference.
Queen Mary 2.30 - Smaller stakes on the 2yr olds. Darts only.
#1 Mighty Erui 20/1ew - Bought by Qatar, looks rapid. Cromwell loving RA
#2 Amestris 20/1ew - I like that Newmarket maiden form. Can argue Miss Rascal (who many are tipping) was the best of those but with the draw I think can do better. Bell states is better than two fillies he has sent to this race who finished 2nd!
#3 Kassaya 12/1ew - Solid profile.
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Queen's Vase 3.05 -
#1 Illinois 5/2 - Hopefully won't turn into a cliff horse. Backed for St Leger also. Form best on show.
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Duke of Cambridge 3.45 -
#1 Running Lion 14/1ew. Rogue is the best horse in the race on all known form, but Running Lion 3/3 over 1m and so can bounce back and go close
#2 Sea the Lady 12/1ew. Head has brought 1 to Ascot and won, so taking note of this at Ramaetuelle later in week. He seems keen on her.
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Prince of Wales 4.25 -
#1 Alafalia 9/1ew. Could have beaten AR lto if didn't fluff start. Runs well fresh. Runs well at Ascot and GF.
#2 Lord North 25/1ew - I know this is not the right thing to do. It's an emotive bet. However at peak form this is the best horse over distance, ground and course. Form behind Charyn is strong on a ground which was too soft and distance too short. Ran better in Dubai WC than suggests.
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Royal Hunt Cup 5.05 -
#1 Crack Shot 28/1ew - Really tough and I could back 5 or 6 so this is tough. Stuck with 4 year olds proven on quick ground and looks to have improved a ton from 3 to 4. This one ticked my boxes
#2 Coeur d'Or 12/1ew - Won the Irish Cambridgeshire Trials. Warm up this season over much shorter and was coming home strongly. Love a Weld horse at RA
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Kensington Palace Stakes 5.40 -
#1 Ahazara Palace 14/1ew looks to have improved couple stone over winter and form is working out. SDS had a solid day and booked for this.
#2 Aurora Dawn 10/1ew - Another Walker horse. Looked pretty unlucky lto
#3 Cell Sa Beele 33/1ew is a big risk as have to ignore lto. If you can then beat Breege at Ascot now a G3 winner. On paper got whooped in Sandringham but was top 3 on wrong side of track. First was Magical Sunset who also a G3 winner. So is potentially well handicpped here.
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Windsor Castle Stakes 6.15 -
#1 Gabaldon 16/1ew. Ran a very quick time over 5f on debut. Faster than Crimson Advocate before that won here last year.
#2 Ain't Nobody 8/1ew - Last race of day. Simply following some money.
2.30 - Queen Anne.
Maljoom 14/1ew. Has to bounce back. That's the big risk which is obviously a big concern, but if can, is the best on GF. Should have won the St. James couple years back. Haggas has a decent record in the race. 4 runners. 1 winner. 2 placed
Witch Hunter 40/1ew. Won the Buckingham at 50/1 after being slow away. With the likely pace could coming flying home
3.05 Coventry.
Andesite 8/1ew. Decent debut. Son of Chesham winner and half bro to Queen Mary winner. Royal Ascot blood. Not sure how draw will play out but is enough pace either side.
Ya Mo Be There 11/1ew battled it with Andesite lto. Think they could go h2h again.
Symbol of Honour 8/1ew to replace Andesite.
3.45 Kings Stakes.
Big Evs could be such a silly price here but for some reason I am still stuck between.
Asfoora 8/1ew - Hard to weigh up but potentially on best form is better than the field. Think will try make all.
Rogue Lightning 10/1ew. Wathan bought this for million bucks so I assume they think it's decent.
Markarova 33/1ew - Ran well lto. If can avoid being keen an hanging I think 5f GF Ascot is really going to suit.
4.25 St James Palace
I have Henry Longfellow Ap with City Of Troy in a 20/1 double. Tough race to win for HL, but I don't want to back anything else as so many have a chance. Hannon says Ros is best he has ever trained.
5.05 Ascot Stakes
Zannzabad should have maybe won Chester Cup. Divine Comedy bolted in lto and probably better on faster ground. Nurset and Amulhit are very interesting.
Divine Comedy 8/1ew
The Grand Visor 25/1 ew. Not sure why such a big price. 10lb than last year when could have been close to winning this. Definitely not 10lb a worse horse. If gets a clear passage can go close on this grond
5.40 Wolferton.
Israr 7/2. Best horse in race and probably ran a CB lto.
6.15 Copper Horse
Naqeeb 16/1ew. If the pieces work has a massive chance
Alkasib 7/1ew.
Sandown 3.15 - Star Style 5/1ew
Sandown 4.25 - Get The Music On 7/2
York 3.00 - Klondlike 3/1
York 3.35 - The Coffee Pod 25/1ew
York 4.45 - Orbaan 16/1ew
Spent no more than 20 mins on this. Pretty crap racing. Ascot soon, although 4th child soon may scupper it all this year and for the next couple :/
1.50 Haydock - Pink Crystal 18/1ew
2.25 Haydock - Struth 8/1ew
3.00 Haydock - Sea Theme 6/1ew
3.35 Haydock - Quinault 12/1ew
4.10 Haydock - Tourist 14/1ew
4.45 Haydock - Tinto 12/1ew
5.20 Haydock - Gressington 5/1ew
Not bad. Not great. Should have backed Persica even though missed price. Shouldn;t have changed mind on Roschlyn. Ended up backing Dream Composed as saw a fair amount of money for it. Wagyu being chinned was painful CoT 7/1 was lovely. Should have listened to ped on Runnin Lion. List goes on :) Was in the right place mostly.
5.10 Hamilton - Kings Lynn 15/2 ew. Form boosted massively by Dream Composer and Misty Grey.
Put a small double on with Diego V in Chantilly
