Wednesday 19 June 2024

Bets 20/06/2024 - Royal Ascot Day 3

Urgh Might Erui set off too late. SP 50/1. Shame as had it in a treble with Running Lion 14/1 and Ilinois. 100/1 fc in the last and a large number of ew accas put me miles up. Can't possibly lose RA now.

Think today is AOBs day.

2.30 Norfolk Stakes 

#1 Saturday Flirt 14/ew - This one ran 5.5f faster than some of this field ran 5f on GF. Was a big baby on debut, but looked to have serious gears. Hopefully can improve from that

#2 Moving Force 25/1ew - Fahey's record in this race last few years is insane. He has two, but how can Shareholder be 6/1 and this 25/1 when MF is 7lb better off now. The AoB horse is by far the best in the race but GF in a big unknown risk.


3.05 King George V Stakes 

#1 Gallantly 12/1ew - I remember backing South Pacific £250 22/1ew after Detorri won me £7k after winning first number of races. Haven't backed (from memory another AOB runner in this race, but Gallantly looks well handicapped. Liked it's last race. Quick times. Same route as Secret State couple years back


3.45 Ribblesdale 

#1 Kalpana 11/2ew Had this earmarked for Ascot for a while. 

#2 Port Fairy 10/1ew - Bypassed the Oaks, I assume for this. Only 1 horse has won this before after only 2 starts, hence trying to find something to beat Diamond Rain


4.25 Gold Cup

#1 Gregory 11/2ew. Unexposed at the trip and think will improve massively for it. I think Gosden will have a 1-2 in this race.

#2 Trawlerman 6/1ew - Should have gone much closer in the Dubai World Cup. Will be battle of the Golden Horns.


5.05 Britannia

#1 Qirat 8/1ew - Really impressive lto.

#2 Monkey Island 28/1ew - Massive improvement from 2 to 3. On a good mark but not chucked in. All my fancies are drawn under stall 10 which is not worth the risk

#3 Air Commander 20/1ew - Clearly well handicapped on it's AW race and looking at last couple races think the quick ground will really help. Problem is this is drawn 2 so Ryan Moore I think will have to make all. At the price, given think AOB will have a decent day going for it.

 

5.40 Hampton Court

#1 Portland 12/1ew - Was on this AP for the Derby (Rightly or wrongly) I thought ran really well at Sandown and I hope Moore is prominent with him tomorrow. Only AoB dart in this race which is oftern telling. Only dart for me also.


6.15 - Buckingham Palace Stakes 

#1 The XO 33/1ew - Big eyecatcher for me lto. Hit the front too soon. Hopefully the fast ground will help.

#2 Dark Thirty 33/1ew - Solid consistent handicapper. Hannon won this twice with 4yr olds in last 4 years.

#3 Mostabshir 12/1ew - Just for my own sanity given was in the Sjt James last year running to a mark of 108...


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