Saturday, 13 April 2013

Bets 13/04/2013

Really really quick write up.

Tom Pricewise Segal has tipped:

Doncaster 2.20 - Gabrial 4/1
Doncaster 3.30 - Move In Time 10/1, Yeeoow 14/1

Hopefully I'll find some time later to have a go, if not, GL!

12.40pm (Bali time) update...

2.20 Donny - Stick with Segal

2.55 Donny - Chance that Merchant of Dubai 20/1 will bounce back to form. Best handicapped horse in race, but Goldie reckons he'll need this run.

3.30 Donny - I can't seem to back Jack Dexter when he wins! think ground is too quick and surely can't win this off top weight. Hats off if he does! This needs a comb through but I don't have time. I reckon it's worth a chance on Colonel Mak 25/1 to repeat last year's victory.

2.30pm (Bali time) update...

4.05 Donny - I thought I'd found a peach with Albaqaa as RP estimated it to be 10/1. Gutted to find it was 8/1 yesterday but only 4/1 now. No value left but still worth a punt

4.40 Donny - I like Lewisham. Not sure what is doing hanging around in this company. Ought to hack up.

2.05 Kempton - The first 5 in the draw all ended up on my shortlist without draw being a factor. Gona go for the biggest price one Brave Echo 16/1 despite liking Glen Moss & Head of Steam nearly as much!



Bets 12/04/2013

This is written post event....

Even though SWG didn't win, I think I called the race out well. The form of SWG now doesn't look up to Group level. Had 3 quick bets but fairly blind based on what I know of form as no desire to scan through form in this weather!

Being lazy and pasting in pic so can update in P&L later.



Wednesday, 10 April 2013

Bets 10/04/2013

It's going to be hard for me to keep on top of form for the next 2 weeks whilst in Bali, but I'll try :)

3.10 Notts - Spirit Quartz Evs is miles ahead on OR, form and has had his warm up in Meydan and hopefully not too exhausted from overseas.

3.40 Notts - On OR Testosterone has this in the bag but he was pretty average last year. Dunlop reckons he is back in the game but it has to be a risk. Earth Amber may be underestimated based on form of Les Beaufs as has has won a G1 and a Listed race both by 4 lengths. However the two to focus on has to be Cavalerio, but more importantly Sir Graham Wade 5/4. I don't think SGW is a banker in this but I definately want to be on him today. Cavalerio could potentially so him as SGW has a penalty but the trainer is massively bullish about the progression of SWG so will stick with him

Saturday, 6 April 2013

Bets 06/04/2013 - Grand National

I've not looked at the cards. I'm getting married today, so have an excuse.

I already have Cappa Bleu 25/1 Antepost.

I'm gona punt fairly blindly on:

  • Imperial Commander 16/1
  • Always Waining 33/1
  • Segal - Chicago Grey 14/1
  • Segal - Quiscover Fontaine 50/1


I probs won't be bloggin for a couple weeks now. Later....

Good luck

Friday, 5 April 2013

Bets 05/04/2013 - Aintree Day 2

No time to bet today so only Pricewise picks from Mr Tom Segal:

Aintree 2.30 - Sea of Thunder 11/1
Aintree 3.40 - Last Time D'Albain 25/1, Mister First 50/1


Thursday, 4 April 2013

Bets 04/04/2013 - Aintree Day 1


Ah 2 days before the wedding at there is hot hot racing. No time to look in detail, but have to have a cheeky punt. Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has picked two today:

Aintree 2.00 – L’Unique 14/1
Aintree 4.15 – Anquetta 20/1

My picks. Short and punchy. I think I’m going to have a ‘mare with the no research angle, but here goes…

Aintree 2.00 – Irish Saint 3/1 to reverse form with Rolling Star on better ground. Has been targeted for this.

Aintree 2.30 – Nicholls again, with Silviniaco Conti 10/11. Miles clear on ratings too.

Aintree 3.05 – What a race. Wow. I heart so many of these. I still think Grandouet 4/1 has serious potential. Taking on The New One is brave though.

Aintree 4.15 – Astracad 10/1

Aintree 4.50 – Captain Conan 13/8

Monday, 1 April 2013

Bets 01/04/2013

I’m starting to do the right things again, but still doing daft/risk taking things too, so I’m not really going anywhere with profits. I’m certainly not going to be banned by anyone anytime soon. One of the boys kindly pointed out I should change the site to allowjaydesai. Fair play. I’ve done a quick scan on P&L since I’ve last updated and it’s not pretty reading, but I’ll get it updated soon.

There are over 60 races today. No intention of hacking through them all. I have over 60 items on Wedding to do list for next Saturday so need to crack through that. Won’t stop me having a handful of cheeky punts though.

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped up a couple today in the Irish Grand National:

Fairyhouse 4.50: Carlingford Lough 14/1 and Home Farm 14/1

Wow, where to start:

I really want to smash into a couple at Fairyhouse, but I’ve just had a stinker in Ireland. Few of them on paper look the best, e.g. Tennis Cap, but they had tough races at Chelts, so I’m just swerving clear.

Fairyhouse 4.50 - The Irish National – Would be rude not to punt in this and although Segal has already punted on too, I’m keen on Panther Claw 12/1. Decent stable, decent enough jockey, decent form, likes the track, ground no problem, distance no issue. Won last time despite taking longest route round (twice). Good chance. And a totally totally wild punt on Liberty Counsel 66/1 based on old form on good ground.

Fakenham Treble – Harry Tricker, Penmore Mill, That’s The Deal (odds 4.32)

Newcastle 4.55 – Bygones of Brid 11/1 has a long absence to overcome but is by far the best in the field and is well handicapped. The favourite drops is trip which is odd so if McLintock who had a winner yesterday has got this one ready to 80% reckon still would win it.

Newcastle 5.25 – Blazing Diva 9/1 should not be this price in comparison to Dingo Bay. At the weights BD can reverse the form but Ryan Mania will need to get the jumping in fluent motion.

Argh, run out of time now, so can’t punt no more!