12.55 - No trends given only second renewal. Likely want a horse whose not had a long season and whilst Arapaho Gold has produced best numbers at this distance, Dods is 0/30 atm so no chance can back it. Night In Vegas is a decent C&D winner, but not sure can beat Satellite of Love again carrying 6lb more. Inner City Blue ran fairly flat lto. As per the ew Cox double I'm set on Satellite of Love. Won a listed race pretty easily last time out and likely a 110+ horse
Satellite of Love 13/2ew
1.30 - Three year old haven't won this before. Caballo meets trends but maybe had a tough race only 2 weeks back? Has been going all season so fair play if wins. Also is he as could over 2m vs further? Gregory on the other hand lightly raced and looked back to best lto. Course winner, distance winner and whilst 3rd best on numbers I thought would be favourite. Queenstown probably like the step up but not won over 1m6f yet so enough for me to leave.
Gregory 7/2
2.05 - I was really keen on Coppull months ago for this race, but having looked at the goingstick I have big problem:
1m to 3f: Stand side 8.2 Centre 8.0, Far side 7.8
3f to finish: Stand side 8.6, Centre 8.4, Far side 7.7.
Looking at this if you're not drawn high you're done for. It may miraculously change by tomorrow like Ascot does but I'm keen to play one one of the higher drawn horses also. I'd have considered Great Wish if drawn higher but I landed on Samangan. Like the ped. Stays bit more than 6, which is great for Ascot. Graffard is flying. High draw. A nice strongly run race and loves this time of the year.
Samangan 12/1ew
Coppull 20/1ew (Antepost)
2.40 - I hate getting caught up in draw stats, but hard to ignore that in this race bottom half of draw won twice vs top half ten. 2 v 10. No time to look at the horses ground, etc of those previous runs, but the two horses I liked were Kalpana and Johanna Walsh. Kalpana is best on numbers, but I see also only one 5year old has ever won this? I think be quite fitting for Minnie Hawk to bounce back to form to win before retirement. Meets all the trends.
Minnie Hawk 7/1ew
3.20 Up until the going stick came out was still keen on Ten Bob Tony. Not sure now with the potential draw bias. Either way it's hugely competitve on numbers. behind Gstaad who is clear on numbers. Ten Bob beat him lto, but you can make a strong case for half a dozen of these so I'm not following up on any more.
Ten Bob Tony 12/1ew (Antepost)
4.00 Calandagan is best on numbers, followed by Ombudsman.
Calandagan 2/1
4.35 - Bullet Point will make all up the favoured part of the track. Scoville will track and pounce. Won so easily lto, I want to take him on but frankly it's foolish given how much got left in hand. Indalo, Hickory, Ebts Guard and Bullet Point to fight it out for places.
Scoville 4/1
Did a few multis
Satellite Of Love / Coppull ew double
Calandagan / Scoville / Gregory ew treble
Graffard (Calandagan / Rayif / Samangan ) ew treble