Saturday, 29 November 2014

Bets 29/11/2014

Wanted to head to Newbury today, but alas, work, again. However won't stop me from punting :)

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has only tipped two today:

2.40 Newcastle - Tutchec 7/1
3.00 Newbury - Fingal Bay 8/1

Right lets make some moolah:

Newbury 12.20 - Is Carrigmoorna Rock is the best horse in this but not convinced has progressed and have to take on. I'm not sure how deep the ground is but I fancy Broxbourne 4/1. Will come on for last run and was a decent win, that said Aispas form is rock, but lets stay with the Hendo horse

Newbury 12.50 - Jumps Road 8/1 will be better for the run. Is on a low chase mark and can be exploited today. Has won at Newbury on heavy before too.

Towcester 1.15 - Not overly obvious on paper but King of Glory 4/1 is well handicapped and a little birdie tells me has returned stronger over winter

Newbury 1.20 - Nearly went nuts and back Count Salazar 100/1 as saw only few lenghts behind Caid Du Berlais in the Galway Plate and we know what CDB did! Bailey also has a 50% SR at Newbury with £16+ profit. Not sure it the right answer though. Using According To Trev as a marker Midnight Appeal 6/1 should beat Baby Shine 14/1 but I know BS has won here before and will back them both.

Newbury 1.50 - Hammersly Lake 4/1 could be very talented but I do worry about Home Run 6/1 who I backed last time out who is well handicapped

Newcastle 2.05 - At the weights and marks Aurore D'Estuval 10/3 is the one to be on. Destroyed a listed field last time. Sea Lord 14/1 (if bounces back) could be quids in

Newbury 2.25 - More of That is class but can't back at these odds, but maybe Lac Fontana w/o the fav

Newcastle 2.40 - Lie Forrit 6/1 and Broadway Buffalo 5/1 rightly head the market I reckon

Newbury 3.00 - There's only 3 horses I've been eyeing up all week and they are Fingal Bay 8/1, Smad Place 8/1 and Theatre Guide (NR). Both solid Newbury winners, on winnable marks and both go well fresh. The outsider who worries me is Ballynagour 33/1 who is class on his day and we saw that when thumped Colour Squadron by 8 lengths and Johns Spirits by 15 lengths and only lost the Melling to Boston Bob by 4 lengths.

Newcastle 3.15 - Island Confusion 5/1 on best form if back to best wins this

Newbury 3.35 - Monetaire 11/4 well ahead of mark if can get jumping sorted

Friday, 28 November 2014

Bets 28/11/2014

12.25 Newbury - I'm a fan of Golden Doyen and the fact Karezak 8/11 beat GD hopefully means is a good thing. Def one of Kings's better juveniles

1.10 Musselburgh - Hopefully the ground is good and we will be Reaping the Reward 8/1 as should have won last time

Run out of time to look at anything else. Damnit

Thursday, 27 November 2014

Bets 27/11/2014

1.10 Taunton - Chapel Garden 5/1 on this ground could be decent

1.25 Thurles - Max Dynamite 5/6 decent prospect

2.10 Newbury - Southfield Theatre 8/11

2.45 Newbury - Ned Stark 7/4 looks decent and progressive


Monday, 24 November 2014

Bets 24/11/2014

Bragging about Fridays results led me to an awful Saturday....

12.50 Ludlow - Jack Frost 1st , Father Edward 2nd
1.05 Kempton - River Maigue 1st, Fayette Country 2nd

Double forecast 10/1 only bet putting on today

Saturday, 22 November 2014

Bets 22/11/2014

Solid 11/1 and 5/1 winners yesterday from 5 punts put me over the £2k mark for the jumps seasons so good start.

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped:

2.25 Haydock - Oscar Rock 14/1, Upswing 12/1
3.15 Ascot - Brick Red 11/2


My go....

12.25 Ascot - Ballycoe will be a better chaser and stayer in time. Parish Business 7/2 is a decent prospect and might take this. Hunt Ball is running but not sure what has happened to him.

12.45 Haydock - Wellforth 10/1 a CD winner of this mark and trainer thought was good enough to enter Grand National trial

1.00 Ascot - Polisky has been targeted at the race but the extra 5lb might be hard for him. Nicholls is quite bullish but I think and I hope Minella on Line 11/4 is better handicapped as I really rate the horse that beat him last time

1.05 Gowran Park - Tell Us More 1/4 is very exciting but too short to back

1.15 Haydock - Emral Silk - Trainer likes this one and 2m4f looks right trip. If runs to best could be seriously well handicapped based on one race beginning of this year, but likelyhood is one of those prominent in the market will win.

1.50 Haydock - The New One 2/5 too short to back and actually not sure conditions perfect for him

2.25 Haydock - Not sure can back Katkeau again just yet despite being well in and looked poor at Haydock last time. Uncle Jimmy needs a real test and might get that today at big price. Trustan Times 20/1 and Vieux Lion Rouge 12/1 very interesting, but this a is tough race

2.40 Ascot - Faugheen is likely winner but not backing at these odds

3.00 Haydock - Most of these will be primed for today. Reckon last year's winner Cue Card 4/1 is the one to be with. Dynaste. Medermit ran a blinder last race and looks close to back to best and Menorah is def back to his best so could be a huge threat. SC is just an enigma and I reckon will travel really strongly into the race and then flop again. Might put a huge lay in running at low odds. TDS could also have a say. Hard race to call

3.20 Gowran Park - Wounded Warrior 4/1 went up against a decent one last time, but hopefully his turn today

3.35 Haydock - Lackamon is one for the Durham National so maybe not today. Masters Hill 4/1 looks seriously well handicapped and looks like he only ever runs well on first start of season but Shotofvodka 8/1 could win too based on form from May

3.50 Ascot - No No Manolito 11/8 looks a really good horse and one to follow

Friday, 21 November 2014

Bets 21/11/2014

1.20 Haydock - Always have to take on a short price fave in a 4 horse race and Third Intention 5/1 who has rated in 150's a goes well fresh has to be the one to try it with

1.30 Ascot - Killala Quay 9/4 - Longsdon likes this one and could be one for Chelts festival

1.55 Haydock - The Brock Again 7/4 should win at the weights

2.30 Haydock - Nicholls reckon's Nickys' Golden Hoof is the one to beat but I reckon Grand Vision 7/1 who likes Haydock might pull a rabbit out. He clearly had a crap year last year, but if you go back two years he was a class act and may well find that form again?

3.15 Ascot - Grandad's Horse 11/1 takes a big step down in class and he has won a few C3 Handicaps of this mark before so should have a chance again today despite top weight


Monday, 17 November 2014

Bets 17/11/2014

A few today at Leicester Nyanza, Three Kingdoms and Miles To Memphis. £100 treble 7/1