Friday, 29 November 2024

Bets 30/11/2024

 And back to normal with the jumps yesterday.

12.07 Newbury - Listentoyourheart 15/8 - Other than Sansrisk nothing has produced much close to Listentoyourheart who is also full of improvement after a total romp lto.

1.15 Newbury - Califet En Vol 15/8. Hendo farms this race and this one cantered in last time.

1.54 Newbury - Lac De Constnace 9/1ew handicapped to win based on lto despite falling. Skelton won this twice before. Still unexposed.

2.25 Newbury - Jeriko Du Reponet 13/2ew. Ignoring last two runs as Hendo was having a 'mare last year. Assuming resumes progress after Supreme trial can win this. Dual C&D winner. Aston Martini bodged me lto...

3.00 Newbury - Galia Des Liteuax 10/1(back on better ground) and Colonel Harry 10/1 (assuming stays) potentially handicapped. 


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2.10 Newcastle- Sir Gino Evs



Thursday, 28 November 2024

Bets 29/11/2024

 A decent 7/1 winner yday.

Newbury 12.15 - Hendo farms this race albeit with short price horses (under Evs) in the last 3 years. Just on this race record along having a small ew on Fernado (10s on exchange)

12.45 - Asta La Pasta 7/1ew

1.55 - Captai Teague 5/2

2.30 - Galonp De Chasse 5/2 looks best handicapped to me

3.30 Muss - Lydon Red 7/1ew

Bets 28/11/2024

 1.35 Musselburgh - Just Gino 7/1 ew

McCain 23% at Musselburgh, Hughes 22% at Musselburgh. McCain couple winners in last few days and couple big priced places horses. McCain Musselburgh Novice Handicap Chases over 2m4f+ under 3 chase runs 8/15 wins 11/15 places. It's Gino ped is one of the better ones for going, class and distance. Only slightly neg is 0/2 at course, but it's a small sample so willing to ignore this. It's drifting in the market but was enough promise in that Warwick run before slipped for me to back this.


3.20 Musselburgh - Top Man Tom 7/1ew

Thompson 18% at Musselburgh, Mania 21% at Musselburgh. Though Thompson not hit form yet, this is prime time for him usually operating around 17%. If bounces to form is well handicapped on previous form. Was also winning 3m PTPs so step up in trip no worry. Thompson won the race couple years back also.







Friday, 22 November 2024

Bets 23/11/2024

 2 happy winners at Meydan. Back to jumps though :(

2.05 Ascot - Fortescue 7/1ew. Daly in decent form. 10lb (+3lb with claimer) than last winning mark. A course winner and his handicap form off this mark in fields under 12 has 5 wins from 7 although all wins were at 3m. Kitty's light never won when carrying such weight

2.30 Haydock - Catch Him Derry 13/2ew. Aimed at the race. In decent form. looks to have more up the sleeve. Durrell/Skelton combo is solid at Haydock.

3.20 Ascot - Marator 2/1 can win again with the claim

3.05 Haydock -  Gold Tweet 14/1ew. Won the Cleeve in Jan. Reckon is a 160 horse over fences.

3.40 Haydock - Credo 8/1ew. Ran a blinder in this race last year. 2lb lower. Ran very well lto n ground probably slightly quicker than ideal. Honeyball in decent form.



Bets 22/11/2024

 2.40 Meydan - All the better chances are drawn high which is frustrating. Tawalla and Fall of Rome are both drawn really well but no C&D form to really assess. Tricky race but plumping for Tolmount 15/2ew. If can get pushed to the front, given non of the 5 inside are typical front runners, can go close to winning again today.

3.15 Meydan - Gaassid looks the sort to progress to a group horse. Guns and Glory is decent on day but not at this trip. Moonshiner looks decent also. Killer Collect 9/4 is proven, the best horse in the race on all known form and has the experience to win this. I put a tiny cover on Moonshiner at 14/1

3.50 Meydan - Walk of Stars nearly completed a massive trixie for me on world cup night with Laurel River and Tuz. Walk of Stars 13/8 is the best horse in the race, but it's tricky. Meshtri is blinkered now and if that sharpens him up could return to form

4.25 Meydan - Go Soldier Go is the best handicapped in the race. Is a listed winner over C&D and if puts up a similar performance wins this. However, Nass not firing yet and there are some race fit horses here. Lahresh 5/1ew is the one I prefer. Has come back over the break much improved and if keeps on improving can win. Ran a decent race lto especially once got into top gear and hopefully with fitness onside and trainer now in decent nick can turn the tables with Lion's Mane. If Shamikh doesnt bounce after a long time off is a huge danger.



Wednesday, 20 November 2024

Bets 20/11/2024

 4.30 - Hello Miss Lady 8/1ew

8.30 - Celtic John 16/1ew

Sunday, 17 November 2024

Bets 17/11/2024

 3 faves won . planned paradise might have won if ridden more prominent and jumped the last better.

1.10 - Naff race, but probably Ace of Spades

1.45 - A race in which so many are unexposed and so can't know what many would do. Take a chance on Bob Bob Ricard 12/1ew. Seem to be going well enough before hampered like time out over C&D. Assuming Guard Your Dreams 12/1ew  is not regressive can also go very close.

2.20 - Naff race, but probably Matata

2.55 - Hyman and Abuffalosolider are the two clear improvers in the field, but this race doesn't always go to improvers. Monbeg Genius 16/1ew was a big priced AP bet for the Ultima last year and gutted didn't quite make it, but if comes back to form(might need 1st run) can go really close. Does He Know 6/1 is running off same mark that won the race off 2 years agi

3.30 - Fiercely Proud 16/1ew. unlucky to fall lto. has potential to win off this mark and meets all the key trends. Teddy Blue 18/1ew doesn't meet too many race trends but Derham is horse transformation master and Teddy Blue ran crackers in the Betfair Hurdle and Swinton last year so does have the class

4.00 - Minella Hollow

AoS, BBR, Mat, DHK, TB, MH