Saturday, 15 September 2012

Bets 15/09/2012 - St Leger Festival Day 4

Argh. Just woke up. Time to quickly get Tom Segal bets on:

Doncaster 3.00 - Prodigality 7/1, Steps 16/1
Curragh 6.05 - Massiyn 12/1

Mine later...

12.30pm update...Sir Prancelot got absolutely smashed in the betting before the off and I was very tempted to get involved, but I didn’t. Discipline held, but to my detriment. I changed my punting strategy and hit accumulators with the favourites and although 4 won a few didn’t and that cost me all my accumulators. Had I have stuck with putting my longer shots in e/w folds I’d have been pleased to have had 10/1, 12/1, 14/1, 10/1 all placed. Ah, frustrating hindsight. Glad that the only bet of the week I’ve agreed on with Segal placed as well. Not understood his other bets and they all flopped. Today is clearly all about Camelot. Not a betting proposition, but a chance to rise from the shadow of Frankel.

Doncaster 1.50 – Today is going to be tough. Quick Wit’s form with Highland Colori nearly franked yesterday, Mabait looks well handicapped and has form behind Fulbright, Mia’s Boy is on a very low weight and has won here over C&D in CL2 races on higher weights, and Jake’s Destiny has form behind Chil The Kite last time at Donny, but I think Quick Wit 8/1 and Mia’s Boy 12/1 are the ones I’ll tap up.

Doncaster 2.25 – Dundonnell was my initial thought then Toronado but now I’ve eyed up Tha’ir. Urgh. I’m going Thai’r 3/1 without Dundonnell.

Doncaster 3.00 – Not sure about Segal’s Prodigality pick. Technically up 9lb without the claimer and Soohrab didn’t help the form line. On the other hand I think Steps is a solid place bet. May win, but it’s a huge handicap. Picabo could continue to progress, Captain Dunne a once high class sprinter could bounce back or Kaldoun Kingdom 12/1 in a decent draw decent form and weight could win? Or might Rex Imperator or Mass Rally both of who were unlucky at York? Hmm. Zero Money is the yardstick but really can’t be arsed to work it out today. Steps should be first choice and then probably Kaldoun Kingdom.

Doncaster 3.40 – Hartani is 5/1 for the Irish St. Leger today but was readily despatched by Ursa Major. Clearly nothing should beat Camelot but Ursa Major 13/2 without Camelot will be my bet.           With Gosden having such a strong record in the race it’d be daft not to back one of his. Which one though is really tough. Might flip a coin?

Doncaster 4.15 – I reckon Libranno will be used as a pace maker for Strong Suit 9/4 today.

Doncaster 4.50 – Glory Awaits 16/1 formline behind Fantastic Moon.

Doncaster 5.20 – Martin Chuzzlewit 9/2 to continue form from York. Nanton was behind him that day.  

Chester 2.40 – Modun 6/4

Curragh 6.05 – Fame and Glory has let me down many times after his Gold Cup win, but at 5/2 and with Ladbrokes avoiding all the way I think is value in it.

Curragh 6.40 – I pray Dawn Approach 11/10 wins this. Depending on how the day is going, I might lump later. Serious reputation and form on stake here.

Total Staked £900.01, Total Returned £677.91

£30.00 Thair 3/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Fame and Glory 11/4 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Dawn Approach 5/4 - WIN £60.00
£30.00 Fame and Glory, Dawn Approach N/A - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Martin Chuzzlewit 9/2 - LOSE £0.00
£82.50 Dawn Approach 11/10 - WIN £155.10
£15.00 e/w Massiyn 12/1 - PLACED £60.00
£15.00 e/w Prodigality 11/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Steps 12/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Quick Wit 8/1 - WIN £180.00
£15.00 e/w Mia's Boy 12/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Kaldoum Kingdom 14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Rex Imperator 11/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Mass Rally 12/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Ursa Major (w/o Camelot) 11/2 - PLACED £35.63
£15.00 e/w Michelangelo 9/2 - PLACED £31.88
£30.00 Strong Suit 9/4 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Glory Awaits 16/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Modun 2/1 - LOSE £0.00
£85.00 e/w Trebles, Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00
£107.51 Dawn Approach 4/9 - WIN £155.30

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