This time last year I cleaned up; 4g of the good stuff. I’m
not in form this time round but that’s not a prevention mechanism. I’m lumping.
I slapped on a £100 e/w @ 10/1 straight after last year’s festival on the horse
I said I won’t have beaten last year; Long Run. Though oddly and fortunately I
backed the late Synchronised. Right let’s see what my current saviour has to
save.
Chelts 2.05 – Princeton Plains 20/1
Chelts 2.40 – Our Vinnie 14/1
Chelts 4.00 – Galant Nuit 33/1
Chelts 4.40 – Village Vic 12/1, Bridgets Pet 33/1
Chelts 1.30 – JCB – Seriously, tough one. The favourite Our
Conor is likely to be backed heavily after Flaxen Flare won, but that was in a
handicap which he was uber lowly rated and the rest in that race Blood Cotil
and Runcana didn’t go all that well in that race. Brave but I’ll take him on
despite the Irish roll. Nicholls massively fancies Far West and there are
obvious claims. I backed Lac Fontana 16/1 Antepost before Segal put it up and then his price went up and also
Hidden Justice 16/1.
Chelts 2.05 – O’Brien County – Wow. The handicaps just get
harder and harder. I’m taking 1 wild punt only – not throwing my money away
again. Nicholls handicap hurdlers are actually doing pretty well this time
round and I think Brampour 50/1 looks shockingly overpriced. His last 3 races
were too far for him. Read the form below and you can’t not be impressed. In
fact in the Greatwood ’11 Handicap over C&D he was a solid winner of 149.
He’s technically on 147 because of the claimer, but that’s the only thing that’s
putting me off. I’ve never heard of James Cowley but he’s been placed in nearly
half his races; albeit only won 2 this year.
Chelts 2.40 – Albert Barlett - Our Vinnie 14/1 has a serious chance in this. His
form has been massively boosted by Rule The World. However the thorn clearly is
At Fishers Cross 5/2 who beat The New One, but again The New One was far from
his best on that ground that day, but At Fishers Cross did show brute force up
the Cleeve. R f/c.
Chelts 3.20 – The Gold Cup – As above I have £100 e/w on
Long Run @ 10/1. That was my confidence on him this time last year. I still
think he has a decent chance and I’m very hopeful of him placing at the least.
If Silviniaco Conti had won a race at Cheltenham I’m sure he’d be odds on after
having beaten Long Run and routed The Giant Bolster. I’m on a recent fan of him
and if he hacks up, which many people have an inclining he might, we’ll all
kick ourselves, but the hill has to remain a worry. I was all over Sir Des
Champs for this before the race and I’ve backed him all season long to win
this. I can’t do it though. Firstly because poor Old Boy Davy has someone bust
a lung and it’s a farce that McCoy has wangled his way onboard but secondly I
already have £200 on Long Run. I don’t rate Cape Tribulation. Maybe I’m being
harsh, but that’s my choice. Wayward and Monbeg surely can’t finish in the
money. I think The Bolster is out of his depth in this field. Captain Chris has
a squeak of a place but his horses are just not game at the moment. And then
there’s my boy Bob’s Worth. What a freaking hero. However, I genuinely believe
his lack of a prep race might do him. After all this I’m still with Long Run. I
think a tricast is in order though with The Henderson 2 and Sir Des Champs.
Chelts 4.00 – Foxhunter – Flip a coin between top 2 in the
market; Chapoturgeon and Salsify. Baring no accidents full expect them to finish it out at the end again,
but my hunter chase knowledge is 3/10.
Chelts 4.40 – Martin Pipe – There is one stand out in this
for me. Kells Belle 33/1. Either there is something wrong with her I don’t know
about, either I’m being really stupid or the 6 lengths behind Quevega and hack
up in higher grade handicap over C&D were both flukes. Make your own minds
up! Art Professor 28/1 who ran a blinder in this last year coming from the Williams
yard off the same mark as last year also looks far too overpriced for me. Also
in great form winning last race; albeit luckily.
Chelts 5.15 – Johnny Henderson – Bloody hell. Where to start.
Tetlami 18/1. Goes at Cheltenham, higher mark over hurdles, must have a chance.
The other one I just have to go with is Shooters Wood 18/1. I know Nicholls has
not bagged a chase win in a LONG time here but he must have a chance on current
form and at the weights with French Opera is the better value.
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