Another fandabydosy day yesterday. Even landed my first ever
placepot with 4 winning lines. Segal is adamant there has been no draw bias. I’m
totally not convinced by that. When the clerk waters one side of a field after
the first day, he knows there was a bias and then having over watered it the
other side hacked up. Either way he has had 19 bets this weeks and no winners,
but he knows far more than me and I won’t stop following his bets. So today Pricewise
from the Racingpost has gone for:
Mutashaded -3.05
Ascot -1pt win at 12-1 with Boylesports (10-1 with Paddy Power)
Siyenica -3.45 Ascot
-1pt win at 12-1 generally
Fattsota - 4.25 Ascot
-1pt win at 16-1 generally
Campanology -5.35
Ascot - 1pt win at 22-1 with Hills (20-1 generally)
Dream Tune - 5.35
Ascot- 1pt win at 14-1 with bet365 and Paddy Power
Let’s hope for another few winners today and one big acc J
Ascot 2.30 – Albany –
Deano reckons this tipster knows his stuff. He also tipped Elidor like me
yesterday so maybe he does!? Anyway he has gone for Lucky Kristale 25/1. I
really don’t know how to choose between these and as much as I like Sandiva I
just have to back the Frankel line; Joyeuse as I can now get 9/2. Going totally
against the market with this, but meh. Feck I’ve accidently backed this random
tip twice. I did that the other day with One Chance 100/1 and it paid off.
Maybe an omen! Ha.
Ascot 3.05 – King
Edward - Everything I read says take on Derby horses I this race. It was a
tough one, but Battle of Marengo is rated 14lb higher than anything else in
this. Hmmm. I genuinally don’t rate that Derby form to be top drawer so I will
take on with Tha’ir 16/1. He ran a decent race one first effort back last time
out and although another step up in trip we know he goes here as won the
Chesham last year. The only off putting thing is that Hoarding got thumped a
couple of days ago so the form takes a hit but at best he was up there with
Olympic Glory and Toranado over a shorted trip.
Ascot 3.45 – Coronation
– Ahhh Just The Judge, Sky Lantern and my other contender Rehn’s Nest are all
drawn out wide. The JTJ for has stood up all week at Ascot and I’m not
deserting it. This has to be the hardest Group race to call all week. Purr
Along was blinding last year but yes had injury setback, Viztoria is rated the
same as JTJ and Lynam’s last 3 runners have all won, including Sole Power,
Lovely Pass is also solid based on C&D and form against Shuruq, Stoute is a
genius and the fact supplemented Pavlosk could be very meaningful and then you
also have Siyenica. Bloody hell. Urgh. Right if the draw is not a factor then
JTJ 5/1 but if it is then you have to be on Big Break 6/1. Form with JTJ, will
improve after first run and Weld has an amazing record with 3yr old fillies.
Ascot 4.25 –
Wolferton - Pyman has written up a
decent case for Albasharah 5/1 and although he been hiked up the weights the
form of the previous stacks up and to listed level too. All the stats say 4
year old have a good record in this, but our 4yr olds are butters. Gosden has won
the last two years and although has not yet hit top form chance taken with Dick
Doughtywylie 10/1. Don’t think he’s massively well handicapped, but has a good
draw and has sound place chances at minimum
Ascot 5.00 – Queens
Vase - Ladbrokes have opened up mega short on Leading Light 2/1 and it looks
daft to take on. However in the betting without market worth backing Royal
Skies 7/1. Wanted to back him yesterday but was a NR. Only a few trainers can
surely train a young horse to this distance so stick to the Jumps trainers,
Johnstons, Obriens and Stoutes of the world, I reckon
Ascot 5.35 –
Loving Spirit 16/1 has to be backed based on last race. Looked short of room
and ran on really well but draw concerns me. So another to looked at is Nassau
Storm 20/1. Belgian Bill franked form, has a good low draw and decent form here
at Ascot. I’d be daft no to back the favourite Enrol 7/1. Form is
rockadoodlesolid. Whothecatz landed me a solid 14/1 the other day with that
form.
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