Bets 11/10/2013

A few days away in the sun will hopefully have revived my selection process as last Saturday was a travesty. Like many can’t believe didn’t back Treve in the Arc. I got my money back on Orfevre (e/w) and lost some AP bets too, but landed a ridic bet by Willhill about a foreign horse winning the Arc 5/1 so about even.

Deasi jnr has been nailing the jumps in last week, so will take him up on the Letterpress and Kangaroo Court 15/1 double.

Was not going to bet today but Fats has convinced me without trying….I’ve ignored draw but either way this is SERIOUSLY tricky for a Friday!

York 2.00 – A mental race to try and pick a winner. Makin the Rules 8/1 is clearly consistent handles York, the distance, the ground and gets a decent claimer so has a decent chance. The Hooded Claw 8/1 is MILES ahead of the handicapper based on effort in listed race last time out, but there’s no market confidence and didn’t handle York last time, so I have to bet but only a small saver. Bahamian C 25/1 could be well handicapped based on first race but recent form not great and the only one at a big price is Mr Matthews 25/1. Handles York, form is pretty strong.

York 2.30 – Pearl Blue 8/1 is an obvious pick as was a comfortable winner in this race last year and only 3lb higher. Lady Gibraltar 16/1 ran out of her skin in a Listed race last time out and if this race is not too soon is certainly in with a shout as goes well here and with Kieran onboard Jarvis must think has a chance. Pabusar 16/1 runs out of skin every time he runs at York as if the first time headgear sharpens him up and the ground is not too soft then has a great chance. I’ve leaving Above Standard out as Pabusar ought to turn the tables now.

York 3.05 – Graphic is clearly the likely winner but surely too short. Haggas is still in good form and has an immense record at York. There are a few at interesting prices though as a result of having a strong favourite. Justonefortheroad 20/1 is 16lb lower (with claimer) than when 3.5lengths behind Navajo Chief in a Listed handicap over C&D. In first time blinkers to get him back on track. Brae Hill is slightly tempting as is hit and miss but goes well at York and finished very strongly in the same race. Another in the same who might have a sneaky chance is Andereigo 16/1. No surprise to see him bounce back to form with Fallon onboard.

York 3.40 – I think I’m being stupid but I really don’t get why City Zen 9/4 is not the favourite here. The form is best my a mile and ran a blinder here at York behind Hot Streak who won a G3 by 5 lengths last week?

York 4.15 – Wow too many formlines for me to really solve but Martin Chuzzlewit 14/1 has to be up here. Runs very well here, decent form and the drop in trip might be the answer today. Another with decent form, course form and down in the weights is Saptapadi 20/1. Elhaame is tempting but the only other I’ll got with is Lahaag 10/1 in the hope can see out the trip.