For the first time in a long time I didn't look at the markets when making my selections. I've been substituting lack of time with checking the markets for clues but clearly based on results that has made me a mug punter again. Yesterday went back to stats for formlines so was good to see Firmament drift to 20/1 and place and Migration win as that form was rock solid. Suspect the problem with markets now is there are so many social media tipsters that move markets and unless you know them all you can't tell a real gamble from a tip. So back to paper like yesterday.
Newbury 2.10 - Habub 11/4 well handicapped with a G1 entry
York 2.25 - Twist and Shake 7/4. Gosden has 50% SR when bringing horses back within 1 week to race. Maqsad form is decent.
York 3.35 - I discounted a lot of these at the top of the market and being too high in the weights. Tough Remedy 14/1ew has been beaten bay solid horses in handicaps (Bowerman and Matterhorn). Dagliesh had some solid winners this week at York and the step up in trip looks the right move for Tough Remedy. Has won on turf so have to hope last run at Newbury was a blip. It was 40/1 so never fancied that day
York 4.05 - Stoute must fancy Accomodate 10/3. Putting the 3yr old into this race agaisnt elders to get it's allowance after windop (Stout 50% SR with runners post wind op). Looks ahead of mark and form is strong as Muchly is now 92 and beat Queen Power at Ascot
York 4.35 - Ryan Moore has been booked to get the job done on Tenax. Could have and probably should have won both of last races and Leondis form stacks up well. Alfie Solomons looks well handiacapped on York form but he looks a better 6f horse. Clearly Tenax is a worthy fave but I like Ustah 7/1 ew. Very well handciapped, a confirmd front runner and Burrows decent record at York
Newmarket 4.45 - Medieval 4/1 ew. Form of fave is suspect. I think Medieval with 6lb pull on Ambient can turn it around. Has better course form, had a bad draw last time and wasnt pushed as hard as Ambient so think enough to turn tables
Newbury 5.30 - Keeper Choice 10/1 ew, goes well fresh, C&D winner and based on race at Sandown still has more to give with cuirrent mark
Aintree 5.35 - Floral Bouquet 12/1ew dropped down weights and at this distance with this ground with the 3lb claim and decent stable form can win. Only runner at track today and 50% SR with jockey
Newbury 2.10 - Habub 11/4 well handicapped with a G1 entry
York 2.25 - Twist and Shake 7/4. Gosden has 50% SR when bringing horses back within 1 week to race. Maqsad form is decent.
York 3.35 - I discounted a lot of these at the top of the market and being too high in the weights. Tough Remedy 14/1ew has been beaten bay solid horses in handicaps (Bowerman and Matterhorn). Dagliesh had some solid winners this week at York and the step up in trip looks the right move for Tough Remedy. Has won on turf so have to hope last run at Newbury was a blip. It was 40/1 so never fancied that day
York 4.05 - Stoute must fancy Accomodate 10/3. Putting the 3yr old into this race agaisnt elders to get it's allowance after windop (Stout 50% SR with runners post wind op). Looks ahead of mark and form is strong as Muchly is now 92 and beat Queen Power at Ascot
York 4.35 - Ryan Moore has been booked to get the job done on Tenax. Could have and probably should have won both of last races and Leondis form stacks up well. Alfie Solomons looks well handiacapped on York form but he looks a better 6f horse. Clearly Tenax is a worthy fave but I like Ustah 7/1 ew. Very well handciapped, a confirmd front runner and Burrows decent record at York
Newmarket 4.45 - Medieval 4/1 ew. Form of fave is suspect. I think Medieval with 6lb pull on Ambient can turn it around. Has better course form, had a bad draw last time and wasnt pushed as hard as Ambient so think enough to turn tables
Newbury 5.30 - Keeper Choice 10/1 ew, goes well fresh, C&D winner and based on race at Sandown still has more to give with cuirrent mark
Aintree 5.35 - Floral Bouquet 12/1ew dropped down weights and at this distance with this ground with the 3lb claim and decent stable form can win. Only runner at track today and 50% SR with jockey
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