Decent ew with Supersundae. Only one winner at Meydan last week and week before think was a whitewash. Card no easier this week.
1.30 Heart of Honour has a good chance but not sure can bet at the price. Too many could improve past.
---
2.05 - Trappy race. Story of Light 16/1ew on best form wins but think has likely regressed. 11lb lower than this time last year but I think ran better lto than in a similar race this time last year so has a chance. Magsood 10/1ew might be second string but on paper looks better handicapped than Molaqab who on paper has needed runs after long breaks, but if fit will go very close. Hassim was interesting also, but left it with two.
---
2.40 - Gamekeeper and Welcome Dream will both try to win from the front and the likely winners, but I like Barq Al Emarat 14/1ew. Ran well enough behind Welcome Dream lto and the likely pace could set this up nicely. The problem is Sandro Paiva. Just don't think the jockey is good enough, but at the price willing to punt it. Gamekeeper 3/1 gets a cover.
---
3.15 - Symbol of Honour 6/4, but West Acre also looks solid.
---
3.50 - Made a case for 10 of these so probably should avoid. Arabian Light 13/8 is likely the group horse in a handicap and should just stick with this but of all the others Western Writer 22/1ew(NR) worth a small ew. Alfareeq on best form was the danger, but not sure can back horse steered by Crowley atm
---
4.25 - Surprising to see many of these in a handicap....
At the weights then I expect to see Guns and Glory 4/1 to turn the tables with Mendelssohn Bay, although it's very risky as MB will also likely improve for the last run. Will probably do a MB-GaG fc. If Nevershow Weakness wins at 16s today I'll cry. First Constitution on form years back was tempting but nto sure can back it on current form.
---
5.00 - Everything is in shocking form, but Tawalla 5/2 now has no excuses
---
5.35 - Similar to 3.50 where can make a case for many. Regal Connection 2/1 should win a race like this off this mark and New Comedy 16/1ew who I thought had a solid ew few weeks back gets another chance. Valvida was tempting also.
No comments:
Post a Comment