13.30 - Echo Point to lead to set the race up for Colour Up who is best on overall numbers. The unknown to me is Midland Money. Best on official ratings but shown nothing at Meydan yet including poor trials, though prob find some excuses.
Colour Up 2/1
14.05 - Union Security best on numbers overall and won fto last year and went into the tracker. Ten Carat Harry best on official numbers but no form here yet. One to watch.
Union Security 7/4
14.40 - Jeyoush and Ghazi Al Hosn ran decent trials last week with similar timings. Oisin rides at a 3% SR and AAAB 0%, so sadly can't back them. Golden Majestic will bolt out and try to make all and considered an ew but hard to know can make top 3 as can't assess most of field. Will leave this one.
No Bet
15.15 - Oddly Inzati is best on all round numbers but looks to be a blip as was raced in a G1 here on dirt. There are a lot of big priced horses here lurking under their best marks but hard to know who'll turn up. The one who is second best on numbers is Qareeb. If you can write off last year and imagine a change of stables brings this on back to life then is way too big. Obviously it's a big if, but a stable change has before done the trick with Qareeb winning 3 times in a season including over C&D first time up. Awesome Fleet in my tracker last year, but didn't do much. Could well have improved as was promise there. Shepperton Lodge and Norato and top of market and likeliest winners, but chancing the bigger price / best value.
Qareeb 18/1ew
15.50 - Brotherly Love is the best horse in race, but it's a handicap and not sure if best chance at weights. That said, been gelded and suspect could have a decent season. Royal Favour not sure if a good mark, Sirocco Winds looks highly progressive and bolted up lto. At the prices Nyaar is interesting, but even with a pull not sure can beat Sirocco Winds.
Sirocco Winds 4/1
16.25 - Backed Na Eem few times last year but just didn't produce. Marsood is best on official ratings and walked home winning very easily last week in the trials. Given the prices and given Oisin's current SR will play a double instead.
14.40 Jeyoush / 16.25 Marsood Double 4/1
5.00 - Quality Humour and Crown Estate best on numbers. Quality Humour best on numbers despite poor SR, if at best can finally win. Crown Estate has run under belt and C&D winner
Crown Estate 8/1ew
Quality Humour 12/1ew
Colour Up, Sirocco Winds, Union Security 28/1 treble
Qareeb, Crown Estate 170/1 ew double
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