Bets 28/02/2013

Meydan 2.45 – Kassiano 6/4 beats Elderly Paradise on the Jamr form and also beats Bay Willow on track times. I like this horse especially as has landed me victory last two races.]

Meydan 3.20 – Should not get involved in big handicap sprints, but at the weights from the last G3 race Dubawi Sound 7/1 has to be worth a pop with Spencer who has an insane sense for big flat races.

Meydan 3.55 – Elleval 9/4. This horse grew wings down the home straight last time out and looks smart

Meydan 4.30 – Kinglet has a real dodgy draw again and although his style is to come from the back not sure I’d risk it. Producer 9/2 probably has the best form on offer based on last C&D but at a bigger price Mufarrh 16/1 should not be dismissed. Last time ran in a handicap won by over 4 lengths and has decent non-handicap form

Meydan 5.05 – This is basically a rerun of the UAE 1000 Guineas. I’ve watched that race a few times and Lovely Pass looks solid, but the Godolphin jockeys have been switched around and tactics will win it. Feel another G’Dog 1-2-3

Taunton 2.10 – Helium 9/1 has no excuses now in a Class 5 Sellers Race. Technically 18lb lower than when ran in a listed race 22 lengths behind Petit Robin

Taunton 4.10 – Thunderstorm 4/5 looks to have at least another half stone in hand.

Taunton Treble – Couple horses tentative about but don’t want to miss out so Come On Annie in last, Jupiter Rex and Thunderstorm 14/1 acc.

Southwell 2.20 – Kabbaa 4/6 produced that quickest time over C&D out of these without really trying. Hopefully will improve to win on handicap debut

Southwell 3.20 – Mullen/Appelby are 5/5 here and have Miako who is a see of blue on oddschecker. However this looks like it will be a vigorous pace throughout and La Sylphe 11/4 is proven over C&D and in a race of this nature.

Southwell 5.20 – Our Ivor Evs looks like he can rack up another win

Southwell Treble is 12/1

Total Staked £510.00, Total Returned £1,491.59

£15.00 e/w Dubawi Sound 9/1 - PLACED £39.94

£30.00 Elleval 9/4 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Kassiano 6/4 - WIN £75.00

£15.00 e/w Mufarrh 12/1 - WIN £255.00

£30.00 Producer 7/2 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Helium 7/1 - PLACED £36.00

£30.00 Thunderstorm 4/5 - WIN £54.00

£30.00 Kabbaas 8/13 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 La Sylphe 5/2 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Our Ivor Evs - LOSE £0.00

£75.00 e/w Accs N/A - PLACED £576.75

£30.00 e/w Combination Tricast N/A - WIN £454.90

Bets 27/02/2013

Bangor 3.20 – Corrin Wood 9/4 has solid claims on form. Down in class, McCain and Maggy also team up to a 29% strike rate here and they have won this the last two years.

Bangor 4.50 – Is Violin Davis really a 133 rated horse? I don’t know. Difficult to tell. Even if was 120 rated Tara Rose 11/4 would be lbs ahead of the handicapper based on last run and even on penultimate run. Issue is the fact that TR was thumped off 120 in a handicap and the BHA has not changed the rating. Still, worth the punt.

Wincanton 2.30 – Boom Boom. Admiral Boom 6/1 down in class and couple pounds ran well in a decent race last time over C&D. Slighlty more speculative and the market has brought this in from 16/1 into 8/1 is Boomtown Kat 8/1. 27 lengths behind Ely Brown, but between them was Holywell, Hada Men, Hollow Tree amongst others and has very good C&D form

Total Staked £240.00, Total Returned £202.50

£30.00 Corrin Wood 2/1 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Tara Rose 11/4 - WIN £112.50

£15.00 e/w Boomtown Kat 9/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Admiral Boom 6/1 - LOSE £0.00

£90.00 Corrin Wood (Insurebet 3 places) 11/10 - PLACED £90.00

£15.00 e/w Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00

Bets 26/02/2013

No time to trawl today but fancy a quick gander at Lingfield (Shouldn't really :))

Lingfield 3.40 – Random race to tackle, but Purley Queen 8/1 had a poor start over C&D last time after and is now effectively 9lb lower with claimer. Titan Diamond 12/1 is creeping back into form and goes well here. Small r f/c.

Lingfield 4.10 – I know I shouldn’t do this, but Storm was 11/2 this morning. An unraced horse and is now 7/4. Someone must know something? Or a bookie trap?

Total Staked £150.00, Total Returned £30.00

£15.00 e/w Purley Queen 8/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Titan Diamond 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Storm 7/4 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Top Smart 4/1 - PLACED £30.00

£15.00 e/w Acc N/A - LOSE £0.00

Bets 25/02/2013

Dear, oh dear. Right refocus session needed! Lessons learned:

1) Don't freaking lump on short price favourites. Maximum bet has to be double bet only. (e.g. Vago Col, Mike De Hag)

2) Don't leverage a day's worth of punting on one horse (e.g. Lac For, Vago Col) - especially when it's hype and not proven. Utterly daft

3) Don't base form on 3 or 4 runners races. They are generally tactical and don't account to much.

4) Change my mind on form lines I thought were solid. Re-programme brain.

5) Don't punt on trainers in bad form. Obvious.

6) Don't put short price favs in accs! (e.g. Puffin Billy). No need

7) If you have a hunch, don't weeny out. No point doing half bets (e.g. Rocky Creek, Far West).

To summarise, don't heavily back or put short odds on horses in accs, keep up to date with proven true form lines and trainers, and finally don't let one horse to make or break your day.

To contradict all of this, I've put a £30 acc on the 1st four favs at Plumpton today, pretty blindly. Will incorporate these lessons learned into Chelts. I  have to. All  I'm really doing is reverting back a few months to how I used to punt. Discipline appears to have deserted me. Come back.

Total Staked £180.00, Total Returned £898.64

£30.00 Accumulator N/A - WIN £868.64

£150.00 Jupiter Rex (Lay) 4/5 - LOSE £30.00

Bets 24/02/2013

No explanation for the hammering I am taking. Can't find an excuse either. Just have to suck it up. Only one bet today and if this gets beat I WILL NOT back any more odds on horses in Ireland this season.

2.30 Naas - Mike De Hag 8/15. Have emptied my StanJames account onto this; nearly a ton.

Total Staked £97.15, Total Returned £0.00

£97.15 Mikael D'Haguenet 8/15 - LOSE £0.00

Bets 23/02/2013

I am having a ‘mare with the horses at the mo. No, not have a foal but having a foul time with punting. I genuinely thought yesterday would bring home a couple of winners, but in the end nothing did! There are some serious formline plays today and will be crucial fro Chelts. Although as I feared it’s likely to be better than good at Chelts with the weather drying up and will be reversals in form all over the field.

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped up:

Newcastle 2.55 – Chac Du Chadran 5/1 – I agree

Kempton 3.50 – Same Difference 9/1, Quinz 16/1

BetVictor and Bet365 have gone non-runner no-bet for all Chelts races. I know what I will be doing tomorrow! I’m limiting my punting today to a dozen bets, but do fancy a Nicholls acc too.

Kempton 2.05 – Irish Saint 6/4 just

Kempton 2.40 – Molotof 5/2 just

Kempton 3.15 – I’ve backed Lac Fontana for the Triumph 20/1 so will back him today @ 7/4 as reminds bit a little bit of Zarkandar. I don’t know why and most would say, really? But, lots of money for him and might be a double bet.

Kempton 3.50 – I have to be brave here and stick my neck out with Wyck Hill 7/2 based on Katenko form. Rolling Aces would have been next.

Kempton 4.25 – I will give Katkeau 9/4 another chance. Sort your freaking jumping out!

Newcastle 2.55 – Chac Du Chadran 5/1. If Master Overseer wins I can’t tell you how angry I’ll be! Backed him twice, he pulled up, purposely avoided him twice, won twice.

Newcastle 3.30 – Corrin Wood back down in class and trip

Fairyhouse 2.35 – I called our Quito De La Roque 16/1 last time out as he had to bounce back at some point. Shame didn’t back it! I’m on Prince De Beauchene 6/4 for the National already and he won this last year so why not again

Lingfield 2.30 – Farmleigh House 2/1. Top OR, quickest times, more to come

Total Staked £443.34, Total Returned £75.00

£33.34 Lac Fontana 2/1 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Farmleigh House 7/4 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Irish Saint 6/4 - WIN £75.00

£30.00 Molotof 5/4 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Wyck Hill 3/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Same Difference 7/1 - LOSE £0.00

£45.00 e/w Accumulators N/A - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Prince De Beauchene 6/4 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Lac Fontana 9/4 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Corrin Wood 11/10 - LOSE £0.00

£40.00 e/w Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00

Chelts - NRNB - Bet365 11pm Tonight

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