Sunday, 28 September 2014

Bets 28/09/2014

Like I said on Friday I just can't crack Newmarket. Glad reduced stakes!

Musselborough 2.00 - Manshaa 2/5
Curragh 2.45 - Bolger put in good word for Stellar Glow 6/4
Epsom 2.45 - Christophermarlowe 6/5
Epsom 5.05 - Ghany 4/9

Saturday, 27 September 2014

Bets 27/09/2014

I'm heading back down to £50 stakes for the rest of the flat season, except for Champions Day where, on track, I'll be going nuts. Yesterday was really frustrating watching Hughes give Queen of Ice a peach as I was really really heavy on Jordan Princess. E/W thankfully. Apart from that race though I was too far away from the right answer and not following racing for the last two months is clouding my judgement. But won't stop me from trying to win it big....

2.25 Haydock - Loaves and Fishes 5/2

2.30 Newmarket - Sandy Cay 2/1 followed home by Rosalie Bonheur

2.35 Newmarket - After watching Toocoolforschool bolt up I have no choice but to back Nafaqa 6/4

3.05 Chester - Examiner 10/3 good draw and should have won last time

3.10 Newmarket - Most people will be on Tiggy Wiggy here and you can see why. She is class and will take some pegging back. But, I think she might set it up perfectly for High Celebrity 9/2 who is pure class and lightly raced. TW has had a long season and yes is the best 2yr old filly in a long time, but doesn't mean can't be beaten by a horse who will be a big contender for the Guineas next year.

3.50 Newmarket - You could back at least 10 of these. If you watch the Silver version yesterday you know you want to be on the high draw and therefore Cornrow 8/1 is the one I am on. Segal has tipped Maverick Wave 25/1 and for me Gosden has been drawn the heaven draw. Maverick and Conrow both drawn high and next to each other. Maverick will ensure the pace and Cornrow will win :) Easy! Ha.

4.10 Newmarket - Long Awaited 10/1 will have a long awaited win

4.15 Chester - Kinematic 9/4 form behind Ivawood and Charming Thought should be good enough to win this

5.10 Market Rasen - Midnight Shot 10/3

5.35 Newmarket - Suzi's Connoisseur 10/1 has form with Fast Track and Eastern Impact who are rock solid handicappers. Didn't like Donny last time, hampered time before that so hoping for it to drop today. Steventon Star at a huge price was tempting but trainer is not having a good time at the moment


Friday, 26 September 2014

Bets 26/09/2014

I always struggle at Newmarket. I don't know why....

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped two today:
2.10 Newmarket - Jordan Princess 13/2
3.15 Newmarket - Wannabe Yours 11/2

Looks a tough day....

1.40 Newmarket - Belle D'Or is one of those I knew I should have backed last time and I'll probably regret  not backing again. I thought was quite lucky in the end to win last race. Provenance looks decent too and both will no doubt improve further. I still feel though you should always go with the proven class sometimes and so Zibelina 8/1 gets my vote. Top rated and didn't get any light or the pace she needed or the ground so it all may click today!

2.10 Newmarket - The top of the market is pretty much spot on. Queen of Ice is the best horse, but carries a penalty. Criteria is the next best ion Ascot form but poor Newmarket run puts me off. My Spirit's form does not fully add up. Jordan Princess 6/1 ran to 93 RPR at this course on her 3rd race. Really impressive last time with step up in trip last time. Watch the race. It's phenomenal. If she can produce speed like that again will be very exciting.

2.40 Newmarket - Lucida 6/4 has been backed all week for the 1000G. Even more money today. The form is solid and let's hope lands this

3.15 Newmarket - Captain Cat looks really decent against average horses. He may well be Group 1. A horse who is Group 1, in fact a Breeders Turf winner is Outstrip 8/1. Can't believe a the top rated horse and the only G1 winner in this race is 8/1. Something must be wrong with him? After Mr. Balding's death would be amazing if Tullius 6/1 could win and does have a chance and using Toronado as a marker that stacks up against Outstrip. Tempting tricast.

3.45 Newmarket - Surely just a formality for Windshear 13/8 if not damaged by Leger

4.25 Newmarket - 2yr NH Newmarket defaults to SBS. He runs Yamllik 13/2 who has only G1 entry in field.

5.00 Newmarket - If Munaaser 8/1 is drawn on the right side, and is in same form as two races ago has a big chance. I always try to find a gem in races like this an it might be Eurystheus 20/1. Based on last race in a class 3 is about 5lb ahead of mark and also gets a 5lb claim so be interesting. Another is Lacan 12/1. Look at the form with Wannabe Yours, although the rematch with GM Hopkins means GMH ought to win. Hmmm. Tough race.





Thursday, 25 September 2014

Bets 25/09/2014

Lankan Rupee in Auz

2.00 Newmarket - Mohatem 6/4 great late headway last time
2.35 Newmarket - Prince Gargarin 7/2
3.40 Newmarket - Azraff 7/1 good course form looks worthy stepping up in class
4.50 Newmarket - Master of the World 5/1

Wednesday, 24 September 2014

Bets 24/09/2014

Goodwood 2.05 - Frognal Bear 13/2. Step up in favour
Goodwood 2.40 - Dissolution 4/6 will win easily (I hope)
Goodwood 3.50 - Grandeur 8/11 is class act in race
Goodwood 4.25 - Blue Surf 4/1, but Pat Dobbs needs to work this well
Goodwood 4.55 - Parisian Pyramid 8/1 should have won last time, and is a course winner
Kempton 6.20 - Loudly 6/4 has a G1 entry next month. 

Monday, 22 September 2014

Bets 22/09/2014

Kempton 2.40 - Strong Chemistry 4/7
Kempton 4.40 - Perfect Alchemy 4/1


Leicester 2.30 - Viceroyalty 11/8
Leicester 3.00 - Charming Thought 11/8

Sunday, 21 September 2014

Bets 21/09/2014

Air Pilot = happy days. Cannot believe he went off at 9/2 with that form on show. Anyhow, clearly not complaining. I lost a few bob backing maidens again, but another storming flat festival.

4.00 Plumpton - Pricewise has backed Triumphant. Not convinced especially at such a short price in such a tough race. Cool Sky, Purple N Gold and Castlemorris King all have solid form but using Ittraid as a marker I think Castlemorris King 10/1 comes out on top unless PnG was hampered more than I think. If you take last years form then Screaming Brave 25/1 absolutely thumps CK at these weights, but might be tough after such a long break.

4.30 Plumpton - Teak 6/4 looks decent

5.25 Gowran Park - Quartz 11/4