It's been clear for a long time that I don't know how to back favourites and yesterday was woeful. One winner. -10.5pts.
The 3.00 was absolute carnage. Darkness came flying from the back faster than anything and Indalo was hemmed in and hampered for the closing part of the race. Ancient Rome who I said was best on numbers finished 4th at 33/1, but I wouldn't have picked the winner.
From being 18pts up on Day 1 to -2.5pts on Day 4 is painful. Final day and sticking with handicaps only.
1.50 - There may be a clue in the Ebor Antepost betting. Valedictory probably needs a rise/penalty to get in. Being nibbled in the antepost market at as if going to win this :) Meets all the trends, but having nightmares about favourites now :)
Incensed's run in the Listed race at Goodwood in May has rock solid form and collateral form makes this one look very well handicapped. Has very good course form.
Valedictory 3/1
Incensed 18/1ew
Rfc 56/1 and 66/1
3.35 - Quite easy for me to pick my two in this. Sondad is on the up and romped a massive handicap lto. On paper Dark Thirty should turn the tables, but won easier than the the margin. Two Tribes, back in form and well handicapped
Sondad 7/1ew
Two Tribes 8/1ew
Rfc 40/1 and 44/1
4.10 - Start Me Up and Naval Light both meet the trends I want. Naval Light has course experience and has been given a couple of confidence boosters before this race. Has a lot in hand if doesn't hang too badly. Once go the hang of it, moved quickly. Start Me Up, I kept an eye on in Dubai. They fancied one day and pummelled the price but didn't do much. Watched it's penultimate race at Chester and really liked the way knuckled down on the straight. Think will step up from that. Ignore last race as was hugley inteefered with at the start.
Naval Light 15/2ew
Start Me Up 18/1ew
Rfc 140/1 and 152/1
5.20 - Spell Master brings decent form and down 1 furlong makes sense. Thunder Wonder is down 11lb since last Glorious Goodwood and despite a poor start finished very well so could be a last race Johnston plot. Money has come for it.
Spell Master 5/1ew
Thunder Wonder 12/1ew
Rfc 58/1 and 62/1
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