Bets 19/06/2012 - Royal Ascot Day 1

Nooooooooo. Segal has tipped 6 horses today. I don't know what to do. That's £120 I need to consider against my fancies. Hmmm. I know what will happen if I don't back his choices, so without further ado for Day 1 at Royal Ascot, Tom 'Pricewise' Segal from the RacingPost has selected:

Ascot 3.05 - Wizz Kid (6/1)
Ascot 3.45 - The Nile (14/1), Fencing (12/1)
Ascot 5.00 - Elyaadi (9/1), Western Peal (16/1)
Ascot 5.35 - Parliament Square (12/1)

My thoughts just before lunch...

12.16pm update. Some wide open fields today. Ground and therefore draw might play a telling role and need to keep an eye for tomorrow, although if the ground changes, then it's back to square one.

Ascot 2.30 – Anyone dare to take on The Frankel? I think not. If I had to have a bet in this race, it’ll be the tricast Frankel, Excelebration and Strong Suit.

Ascot 3.05 – A number of interesting ones here. Masamah is 33/1 which is shocking on his best form behind Deacon Blues and with a solid C&D win behind him and the Straight Course Specialist Spencer on-board might be the value in the race. Sort of acts on GS but draw might hinder. Looks game over for Sole Power with the ground as it is. This is a step up in class for a number of these including Ponty Acclaim, Amour Propre and Stone of Folca and those stepping up in class to Group 1’s don’t have a great record. I’m a big Bated Breath fan but I just don’t know with the ground and didn’t necessarily have the best race here at Ascot. Last years’ winner Prohibit doesn’t seem to be in good order. Whiz Kid has been picked out by Tom Segal and was 12/1 a few days ago and would be my number 1 bet I think! Hoping Margot Did doesn’t perform as reason to think she might but the only other I back in this race and must have a good chance is Ortensia.
(3.00pm UPDATE - Might half bet Spirit Quartz or Ortensia if market keeps moving)

Ascot 3.45 – Segal has tipped Fencing and The Nile, neither of whom I would have otherwise bet on. I’ve been let down twice now by Most Improved and Born To Sea and I’m wondering whether this is where I need to go. Power has treated me well a couple of times, but I’m just not sure. Ladbrokes don’t seem too fussed about Power, so might let it go.

Ascot 4.25 – Those in the top 5 in the market dominate this race. Hannon 2 yr olds are flying. I’ve already backed Sir Prancealot antepost and both Hannon and Hughes really like this one. “Serious horse”. There is a wonder whether another Hannon horse will pop up, but I’ll stick with the yard’s number one. If you watch the race you will be massively impressed and just hope the ground doesn’t do anything to upset him and let’s hope nothing else in the Hannon yard pops up! Englishman has massive form lines from previous race including a Listed win by Cay Verde who finished 5^th in that race. Must be a threat? Stats reckon you can sack off any horse who have run 3 or more races. All the money is for Sir Prancealot.

Ascot 5.00 – Segal has tipped Elyaadi (who finished 2^nd 2 years ago 4lb higher) and Western Pearl. Last year’s winner may well struggle with a 7lb rise as ground will be heavier. Stats indicate backing Pipe and other jumps trainer horses, but I can’t see one I like. Maybe Fiulin?

Ascot 5.35 – No real interest in this. Segal has tipped Parliament Square, but again not sure how anyone can pick a winner in this. Lyric Ace looks like a good favourite e/w?

Total Staked £557.93, Total Returned £625.02

Antepost Bets:

£222.93 Frankel 1/5 - WIN £267.52

£10.00 e/w Medicean Man 28/1 - PLACED £92.50

£10.00 e/w Sir Prancelot 5/1 - LOSE £0.00

Today's Bets:

£10.00 e/w Wizz Kid 5/1 - LOSE £0.00

£2.50 e/w Margot Did 22/1 - LOSE £0.00

£2.50 e/w Spirit Quartz 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£5.00 e/w Ortensia 5/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 Sir Prancelot 7/2 - LOSE £0.00

£10.00 e/w Most Improved 9/1 - WIN £132.50

£10.00 e/w Most Improved 9/1 - WIN £132.50

£10.00 e/w Fiulin 16/1 - LOSE £0.00

£10.00 e/w The Nile 14/1 - LOSE £0.00

£10.00 e/w Western Pearl 16/1 - LOSE £0.00

£10.00 e/w Elyaadi 8/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 Fencing 12/1 - LOSE £0.00

£5.00 Frankel, Excelebration, Strong Suit Tricast N/A - LOSE £0.00

£10.00 e/w Lyric Ace 4/1 - LOSE £0.00

£10.00 e/w Parliament Square 12/1 - LOSE £0.00

£25.00 e/w Doubles, Trebles, Accumulators N/A - LOSE £0.00

P&L @ 19/06/12:
£2,784.81
AntePost P&L @ 19/06/12:
£1,672.48
Total P&L @ 19/06/12:
£4,457.29