Friday, 2 November 2012

Bets 02/11/2012

Had a few days off from the horrendous battering I was taking. Was something like a 5% strike rate! Ekk. I've still not had a chance to update the P&L, not because there’s little incentive to do so, and there really isn't  but just haven’t had the time. I will tonight whilst watching some Breeders action! I had a torrid Breeders last year so everything will be half bets. There are 2 Listed races which I’ll have a gander at too.

Wetherby 2.00 – Bless The Wings 13/2. King is flying at the moment and he was one of my Cheltenham Festival flops, but I would have backed him for a reason. The Tiger O'Toole form took a hit for me when Merrion Square flopped.

Newmarket 1.40 – Pearl Sea 5/1. Proven over C&D and form looks solid if you ignore York.

Breeders thoughts later this afternoon…and beware Pricewise is not Tom Segal today.

6.45pm update.. “Lasix does not allow a horse to perform beyond its peak natural ability. It alleviates, but does not eliminate, a condition that hampers peak performance”. According to this it’s then down to the trainer to get performance sorted. We’ll see. Might be worth backing a combo of those used to it and those who have never had it.

8.06 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint – Don’t know the effect of not tanking US horses up with Lasix will be but on paper nothing should trouble Merit Man 5/6, but if you want value then surely Hazardous 9/1 is it looking at the C&D times pretty much the same as Merit Man

8.48 Breeders’ Cup Marathon – Fame and Glory ran well in last race and first time blinkers could do the trick. I’m not the biggest of fans but this horse has got proven class and almost a step down with the potential conditions to suit. I really don’t know where to turn with this but my longshot is Juniper Pass 20/1. C&D winner and Dettori onboard can’t be the worst thing with his experience around here. Will have to bounce back though.

9.28 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf – Sky Lantern 11/4 is one of my favourite 2yr olds and the biggest danger has to be Spring Venture 6/1. This horse has cruised to win some decent races.

10.08 Grey Goose Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies – Executiveprivledgde 7/4 looks hot property. Clearly I have no basis on form but blitzing an G1 over C&D by 6 lengths works for me

10.48 Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf – The Fugue 11/4. Back to fast 10f is going to be perfect. Come on girl.

11.30 Breeders’ Cup Ladies’ Classic – How do you call this? Wow! Questing 9/2 to take advantage on 3yr old allowance?

Few accumulators with Excelebration tomorrow...

Total Staked £430.00, Total Returned £51.00


£15.00 e/w Juniper Pass 20/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Pearl Sea 5/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Include Me Out 12/1 - PLACED £51.00
£30.00 Merit Man 4/6 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Fame and Glory 5/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Sky Lantern 11/4 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Questing 9/2 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 The Fugue 15/8 - LOSE £0.00
£80.00 e/w Doubles, Trebles, Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Executiveprivledge 6/4 - LOSE £0.00

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