Monday, 8 July 2013

Bets 08/07/2013

Ayr 4.00 – Muharrer looks to have the best form on show but just doesn’t look likely to see this trip out. Peters out towards the end and think Cosmic Sun 11/2 can have him again as only 1lb difference. Am concerned cheekpieces aren’t back on, but 11/2 is far better value than the 2/1 on Muharrer. Forrest Flyer has done okay at C5/6 but might find C4 too much.

Ayr 4.30 – Kingscroft 6/4 is annoyingly short. Could have backed him at 7/2 yesterday but I just enjoyed the sunshine too much. Still think he’ll win this, but only a short margin as is on a tough mark but 170yards back in trip on fast ground looks ideal.

Ayr 5.00 – I know the danger of 4 horse races but Normal Equilibrium 11/8 is another Cowell rocket. I know his horses aren’t at peak but NE beats Storm Moon at weights twice and the rest don’t look good enough.

Windsor 7.30 – Drew a few form lines around Ajjadd and Asian Trader and got Angelito 9/2 to beat Waseem Faris 8/1

Ripon 8.20 – Jillnextdoor who beat Jadanna comfortably in Listed race at Ayr last time got thumped by Piper’s Note in a handicap here couple of weeks ago so there is no reason to think Jandanna is well handicapped. Having watched Piper’s Note’s 5/2 last two races I don’t believe 7lb is enough for Line of Reason to turn it around, despite rock solid form. However what might be the difference is Fallon against Chaloner, but there are a lot of front runners so hopefully this will set it up for Piper’s Note if the breaks are there. Think will need to be ridden earlier today though. 

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