Thursday, 11 July 2013

Bets 11/07/2013

Oh dear oh dear. I am in horrendous form. No excuses yesterday. Just got beat.

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped 3 today:
Newmarket 1.40 - Boite 15/2
Newmarket 3.15 - Red Avenger 12/1, Matrooh 4/1

I hope I've not gone too far from the obvious today:

Newmarket 1.40 – I’ve got Dare To Achieve in my tracker but I Feel Like Dancing 7/2 (Skybet) and celebrating a Gosden hatrick in this race. Actually, hmm, feck I don’t know. That Remote form is strong, distance is strong, my tracker is strong and Dare To Achieve 5/2 (generally) must be the stronger bet?

Newmarket 2.10 – I make Canyari 7/1 (Willhill) the top rated based on average improvement and what Legend Rising has gone on to do. However, Sir John Hawkins is 11/8 with Ladbrokes. They always avoid short price favourite Obrien winners. Next best price is 15/8 so they are very very short on this. Do they know? Is this a lump job?

Newmarket 2.40 – 4 year olds have a decent record in this. Not convinced this is the best trip for Cavalryman despite being top rated. Wigmore put in place by Universal, but that race was dictated by Universal and I just pray they don’t let him do the same again but Universal 9/2 does look the one to beat. However, I’m a huge huge Ahzeemah 9/1 fan and as long as Barza doesn’t leave it too late. He has put horses like Imperial Monarch and Saddlers Rock well in their place.

Newmarket 3.15 – Maputo is attracting bunce and with Johnston handicappers coming into form I know why. RP videos aren’t working properly which has pi$$ed me off so have to go on comments and that Space Ship 8/1 is a better handicapped horse using Number One London as a marker. Soviet Rock 14/1 is another I keep following. Interesting to see whether will battle Maputo for the lead

Doncaster 4.15 – Reve De Nuit 16/1 looks a big price after a close 2nd to Nanton last time out. That form is decent enough

Newmarket 4.25 – Montiridge 8/11. Am nervous about Ashdan, but Hughes likes this one

Newmarket 5.00 – Fratellino 10/1 (managed to get this yesterday) is 9lb lower rated on turf and must have a huge chance. Is now 5/1 generally. Gutted didn’t get on Doctor Parkes 9/2 and Williams has a great record with sending winners out again within 7days. Avon Breeze has some decent form but surely will struggle with weight hike, class up and quick ground? Hopefully will – sorry Frankie.

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