Tuesday, 5 November 2013

Bets 05/11/2013

Exeter 1.50 – Sea Wall ran a pretty decent race before being hampered last time out. 12/1 is a touch big purely on Nicholls record here. McCoy will be backed all day in all of his races and Flemenson (imagine related to Flemenstar) and Champagne West (imagine related to Champagne Fever) are probably worthily towards top of market.

Exeter 2.20 – Incredible that Nicholls and Hobbs have won the last 9/10 runnings of this. Nicholls reckons Doctor Harper is the one to beat, but the market says it’s Broomfield. The fav has won this 10/11 times too so will follow the market and Nicholls.

Exeter 2.50 – Kumbeshwar is running from outside the handicap and the only one I’d rule out without a concern. We saw Grands Crus struggle to concede weight yesterday, but Cue Card 11/10 could have conceded two dozen pounds last year and still won. Somersby has been dropped 6 pounds which I think is a bit mental but is better right handed so just about rule him out. Not seen enough from Fago to back him at this level and might want to protect mark for PP GC. Module looks decent but so does Williams Wishes. Tom Segal has tipped him up at 5/1 today, but I going to stick with Cue Card. He has to be the one to beat even with this massive amount of weight

Maisons – Laffitte 2.55 – Catcall Evs


Exeter 3.20 – Purely through formlines of the betfair hurdle Dark Lover wins this. But now we are over fences and Balder Success rated 145 would have beaten Dark Lover. At the weights therefore Claret Cloak beats Dark Lover. I also think Manyriverstocross 4/1 was a better hurdler than Claret Cloak and with the 5lb reckon worth at chance

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