Bets 17/11/2013

Hit some decent e/w accs yesterday including Colour Squadron, John’s Spirit, RIH, Shutthefrontdoor, Bradley, Southfield Theatre and Cross Kennon. If Segal would have hit the double I’d be oh so happy, but still am. The man is on fire, as were the bookies yesterday. Tom Pricewise Segal's picks make total sense to me and were on the shortlist...

Chelts 3.15 – Redera 40/1, Flaxen Flare 12/1

Another good card today to work through!

1.00 Chelts – Hobbs lot ran well yesterday and the form of Sausalito Sunrise’s 5/1 last race has not been bad at handicap level (using Aaim To Prosper as a marker). L Miller clearly a danger

1.35 Chelts – Sea Lord 5/4 is rates 20lb more than Lac Fontana who was one of my disappointments last year.

2.10 Chelts – My Bro S too much weight, The Cockney M doesn’t look good enough. Raya Star was arguably a better hurdler than Dodging Bullet but is 2 years more his senior and the reason I can’t back him was his only run at Chelts was pretty poor. So I’m left with Dodgin Bullets 7/4 and Ted Veale 11/4. Hmm which way to go?

2.15 Punchestown – Clearly not taking on Hurricane Fly, but can’t back him at 1/7. When Jezki was still in this he was 5/6 and I was happy to lump, but missed the boat.

2.40 Chelts – Sire De Grugy 5/6 can concede weight all round and win again.

3.15 Chelts – I just saw Jezki in the formline and saw it was Flaxen Flare 12/1 who walked a race in the festival. Flaxen Flare is in a formline with Redera 40/1 who looked a little unlucky in the VOB a couple years ago looks a decent price. Clearly Cash And Go goes well fresh and is on same mark as last year when a decent second. Henderson’s lot aren’t going that well so it’s a tough ask to back when other trainers are in blinding form. Court Minstrel romped home in the Scottish Champion Hurdle but again stable not in good form and up 11lb since then. The horse behind him that day was Sametegal 10/1 who won last time out over C&D and Nicholls hurdlers seem to be going pretty well!

3.50 Chelts – Carningli 9/2 had form franked by The Govaness who won the Listed NHF race here yesterday. And the form was from over C&D so has be to backed. Clearly a number of dangers with shed load of unexposed horses with other good form, but will stick with this one.

Fergal O'Brien has Dark Energy (1.00), Arthur McBride and Gunner Fifteen (3.50) running today.