Wednesday, 18 December 2013

Bets 18/12/2013

A few more nice wins yesterday. Slightly peeved ditched Forthefunofit for Cool Sky as would have been a nice treble, but all good.

Newbury 12.10 – May consider backing Dawalan 6/5. A number of Henderson horses have needed their first run and actually the form of that last race is sound and this is a drop in class.

Newbury 2.15 – This is really competitive and probably not worth betting on. Gullinbursti 2/1 has to rate as a worth favourite as on official OR he has 6lb in hand. Hadrian’s Approach will have perfect conditions today to prevail as in fact all the rest do. O’Fs Boy is clearly a danger on Chase debut as was rated the same as Gullinbursti over Hurdles. If pushed would stick with the favourite though

Newbury 2.45 – Tistory and Broomfield probably deserve their place at the top here. The former has to give weight all round as is entered in a G2 in 2 days time, so not sure why is here. Unconvinced maybe? I’m not as close this year to hot juveniles, but I do remember watching Captain Cutter and thinking was pretty decent. On that form, I think Fine Words 22/1 absolutely has to be worth and ew punt. RPR ratings have him down as 4th best, not 8th best.

Kempton 4.20 – Thankyouverymuch cost me a wad of cash but that formline must be the best on show here and so going with Spring Tonic 6/1 ew

Kempton 5.50 – Quiet Warrior 10/11 was hammered in the betting last week before the meeting was canned. Same again today. I’m going to have a big back to lay on Betfair on this one so don’t lose any money if gets close to winning. Travelled very well on debut and has solid chance to win today.

Kempton 6.20 – A very competitive race with loads of C&D winners and hopefully it will be a truly run race with those held up storming home. If they do I have to be with Troopingthecolour 7/1 ew. He takes a long time to get going so reckon could trade at a high price, but that race wime was pretty quick and beating Glorious Protector who is a solid 3 year old is good form.

Kempton 6.50 – Time for a 100/1 ew bet. Swale Star ran okay for about 4.5furlongs before the pace increased against some decent enough horses over 6f here. Is bred to be a 8f horse so there is a slither of hope that might improve after first run and step up in trip and 5lb claim

Total Staked £610.00, Total Returned £662.36
£20.00 Troopingthecolour  5/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 Troopingthecolour (Backed then Laid)  6/1 - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Spring Tonic  5/1 - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Gullinbursti  7/4 - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 Dawalan  10/11 - WIN £38.18
£385.00 Quiet Warrior (Backed then Laid)  10/11 - WIN £624.18
£10.00 e/w Fine Words  22/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Swale Star  100/1 - LOSE £0.00
£42.50 e/w Accs  Accs - LOSE £0.00

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