Saturday, 21 December 2013

Bets 21/12/2013

Funny how you can be up £700 after days of good wins and then back to even after 2 bad days! Maybe Tom Segal can help. He has picked:

Haydock 2.05 – Wicklow Lad 16/1
Ascot 3.35 – Kaylif Aramis 20/1, Willow’s Saviour 16/1

Main focus on Ascot, but a few elsewhere too.

Haydock 1.00 – As I am 10/3

Ascot 1.15 – Easter Day 5/4 has good form course form and a trainer who has won this race last 3 years

Ascot 1.50 – Pendra looks awesome, but this is a handicap, but clearly is better than 139 so ought be winging this. Lots of C&D winners but the one I fancy is Gus Macrae 12/1. He won a listed handicap chase here last November of 128 within enough in hand and today he is 122. So it’s a winnable mark and no excuses. The price is 12/1 largely based on average current form so if hits form which is always does at Ascot has a good e/w chance.

Haydock 2.05 – Can see why Segal has picked Wicklow Lad. Was running of much higher mark but does have something to prove for me. Loch Ba, Tartak, Triptico and Night Alliance all on the shortlist. Hmm. Will go with Triptico 16/1 who ran a decent race here in March behind Cedre Blue and Night Alliance 14/1 who is still ahead of the handicapper.

Ascot 2.25 – Surely between the top two and At Fishers Cross 4/7 was a long way ahead of Reve De Sivola last time before mistake cost him maybe even the race. No excuses today. Cost me a heck of a lot of cash last time out!

Haydock 2.40 – More of That’s formline points to Special Catch 11/8

Ascot 3.00 –Houblon Des Obeaux 4/1 loves Ascot and heavy ground! Was nearly tempted by Cedre Bleu.

Ascot 3.35 – The horses that win this aren’t world beaters but they are decent handicappers. Sounds obvious I know, but just like to remind myself. I went through each horse trying to find a reason they coulnt’ win and I was left with City Slicker 11/1, Chatterbox 9/1 and Willows Saviour 16/1. City Slicker bolted up last time pretty much on the bridle and it’s likely the huge hike will still underestimate him. Interestingly the sponsors are shortest about a few horses in the betting City Slicker and Chatterbox both only 6/1. Chatterbox is much more effective on softer ground and I was peeved when we beat MTOY, but having had first run of season will be close at the finish as still only on 143 which might underestimate him. Willows Savoiur is simply a progressive looking horse who likes Ascot. Segal has picked him so adds to the confidence.

When you bet on 8 races, have 5 winners at 16/1, 12/1, 4/1, 11/8 and 5/4 and 2 places at 12/1 and 4/1 you really ought be be making more than this...FUMING...

Total Staked £646.00, Total Returned £934.66

£10.00 e/w Wicklow Lad (Segal) 14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£5.00 e/w Willows Saviour (Segal) 16/1 - WIN £110.00
£10.00 e/w Kaylif Aramis (Segal) 20/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Accs (Segal) Accs - LOSE £0.00

£5.00 e/w Willows Saviour  16/1 - WIN £110.00
£20.00 e/w City Slicker  8/1 - LOSE £0.00
£78.00 e/w Accs  Accs - PLACED £263.16
£20.00 Special Catch  11/8 - WIN £47.50
£20.00 Houblon Des Obeaux  3/1 - WIN £68.00
£10.00 e/w Triptico  14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Night Alliance  12/1 - WIN £170.00
£10.00 e/w Chatterbox  9/1 - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 e/w Accs  Accs - LOSE £0.00
£20.00 As I Am  4/1 - PLACED £0.00
£20.00 Easter Day  5/4 - WIN £45.00
£5.00 e/w Night Alliance  12/1 - WIN £85.00
£150.00 At Fishers Cross  4/7 - LOSE £0.00
£10.00 e/w Gus Macrae  12/1 - PLACED £36.00

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