Bets 13/02/2014

Meydan 2.45 – Tough start to the day. I was really really angry with Per-Anders for blowing Plantagent’s chances last time @14/1. Buick on board this time and has a chance again at 12/1. Per has switched to Manchester and if had a better draw would be all over him, but stats show has little chance from here. Shanshaawes could be decent but not yet proven on Tapeta. Tha’ir is one of my favs but not proven on Tapeta and tough draw. Layali Al Andalus has been very unlucky twice now, but has been given very good rides and will need another to get close. Tentatively pass on him. Start Right has been getting closer, but on form lines probably not good enough to win today’s race. Energie Davos is really tempting me, but the form of last race has only really worked out on turf and not tapeta, so currently difficult to assess as Cat’O’M romped that race so distances flattered the rest. Again tentatively leaving him. You can’t not back Busker 12/1 after he ran on the bridle most of the way over last C&D win. BUT surely Winterlude 3/1 is going to be another SBS superstar in the carnival looking at form on AW.

Meydan 3.20 – On ratings it’s tight between the top 4 and 3yr olds. Aussie horses always do well here and on that basis the top rated Long John has to go close to winning. But, no tapeta form and on the 2k trial over 7f you have to back Safety Check 10/1 who was travelling the best and was produced too late. Buick again can win it!

Meydan 3.55 – Hmm. If this was on dirt Forjatt would be a strong bet, but a suggestion not as good on turf. Hope don’t regret this thought. I reckon if Gabrial 6/1 can reproduce effort can get in again. The way he came through traffic last time was Spencer magic and he is a mast of that. I worry it’s Fallon onboard this time. At the weights El Estruendoso shouldn’t be able to turn the tables on Gabrial and again hope don’t regret that!

Meydan 4.30 – Similar to Long John, Variety Club on paper could be very strong, but no tapeta form. Therefore I get to back my big disappointment horse Mars 10/3. I thought he’d be special but has not fulfilled that on Turf. Back to synthetic he could now do that! At bigger prices Haatheq 12/1 looks the biggest danger looking at form with Soft Falling Rain. Think remember this one being aimed at the big one in March so looks tasty at 12/1. Empire Storm 18/1 might not be out of it either.

Meydan 5.05 – United Colour 5/1 has a better draw than last time he readily held of a number of these. He was a nice winner for me last time and fingers crossed can do it again. Tamaathul on paper beat UC last time they raced but UC lost a shoe that race and seeing as he turned the table on others no reason Tamaa should be a threat. Fingers crossed Bello doesn’t turn out to be a superstar!

Meydan 5.45 – Argh – the hardest race of the day me thinks.  Songcraft 10/1 has won over C&D and off a higher mark but do have to have faith has not regressed looking as previous runs. Topclas 12/1 was beaten by Certerach (another of my winners) and I think that form is decent. Meandre 11/1 could be a massive blot here running of 113 with surely optimum conditions lined up today. Zip Top has to prove stamina. Vasily is 4^th on my list, but have to stick with 3 horses else ends up being costly. Not fully convinced he will stay.