Bets 15/02/2014

What a ridic bookie trap that was yesterday! And thank you for it as Waving went out to 5/2. Bosh.

Segal has gone for four today all at shortish prices for him so could be in for a decent day with him:

2.55 Haydock – Our Father 7/1

3.15 Ascot – Two Rockers 8/1, Kaylif Aramis 10/1

3.50 Ascot – Cloudy Too 10/1

Straight to Meydan for me…

3.10 Meydan – Some formlines not familiar with but one that stands out is Genuis Step 9/4. Deserves the 5lb rise but reckon can shrug it off. In his last win Innocuous is a decent scalp at this level and Rafeej even better as he has gone on to decent things here. Hoping he has some improvement left in him and that Glenleven is just not quite good enough to beat him.

3.45 Meydan – Horses like Odooj 10/1 taking a step down in class like this should be walking fields like this. I guess Mooqtar’s mark is hard to assess, but willing to chance it’s not great and Desuetude has to worry you as ran okay last time after a long break and was once rated 21lb higher, but I’m not sure that rating was ever right on this surface

4.20 Meydan – Too many have a chance. Have 8 on my shortlist. Al Razi has no claimer so has to shrug off a huge rise else would have been the pick. Global City would walk this on old form but something has happened to him. Hmm, anyway sod it, next race…

4.55 Meydan – Oasis Dancer 5/1 has been creeping up for not winning but I feel have to give one more chance. Or do I. If there’s a horse that will either win or come last today it’s Now Spun 40/1. Over C&D has no more excuses unless something genuinely wrong with him. Lehaaf might be better in these conditions. Maraheb nearly took my eye, but think better on Tapeta. The biggest chance has to go to Alhebayeb 14/1 though. Massive step down in class and decent form on show.

5.30 Meydan – Seen Filfil form here. Makes me smile. Still can’t believe was a 40/1 winner as was pretty easy to pick out. Conccordat 20/1 has better form on synthetic that turf. Seems is good form and although that’s not Tapeta form could outrun his price. Tied in with that recent form Udbaa 10/1 ought to go close and

Back in the UK a few decent looking favs, I think?

1.30 Ascot – Un Temps Pour Tout 10/11 is a worth fav on all known form and ratings.

2.20 Haydock – Again at the weights Celestial Halo 5/4 ought to win although Nicholls is not overly confident

2.50 Lingfield – Drive On 13/2 can enhance his C&D record

2.55 Haydock – Well Refreshed 12/1 has not had condtions to suit for a while except for last race in which he was travelling pretty well until hi a fence pretty hard. Nuts and Bolts, Hawkes Point and Merry King all on shortlist but best stick with one.

3.15 Ascot – Should stop betting in races like this as I have a bad track record this year, but you know me – Like Minded 8/1 has best form on paper (surely)

3.35 Wincanton – Zarkander 2/1 wins on ratings. His form with Annie and The New One has to be far better than Melodic R. Not sure why MR is fav.

3.50 Ascot – Riverside Theatre reached 170, and no reason why couldn’t bounce back but Captain Chris 11/10 is the worthy fav

4.45 Wincanton – Nicholls says Fascino Rustico 11/8 is the one to beat.