Very good day on Saturday. An interesting lesson for me too. In the 14 races I attempted to crack, in the 9 races I only nominated one horse in a race I had 11/1, 7/2, 5/2, 11/10, 10/1 winners, 2 places, 1 NR and 1 unplaced..... Think that's a pretty telling story....i.e. don't bet when you can't pick 1 horse!
No decent racing today, so most of this is half bets and pretty speculative except first race.
3.30 Ayr - Cosseted is a decent handicapper yardstick. The fact this is a C5 race suggest MJ wants to show Maracuja 6/4 how to win as a confidence boost as has got close a few times. Top rated in field as a 3year with a phat allowance means should take this.
5.50 Lingfield - Willow Creek 7/4 - Haggas 2yr olds decent this year and enough money to suggest fancied to win
6.20 Lingfield - Chesil Beach 17/2 won here on the AW which could be key to this race. It's one of those tracks where the proven are worth following. It's hard to know why flopped the next time out, but by beating a 72 rated horse I think much more easily than on paper could be a few pounds ahead especially if has improved with the stables form.
7.00 Windsor - Here's an interesting angle. Dark Angel's kids; Estidhkaar, Heavens Guest and Bronze Angel all won decent races on Saturday. In form Charlton has one more of DAs today; Star Fire 16/1
7.30 Windsor - Hearbreak Hero 10/11 was beaten by a very good horse last time who finished behind Ivawood at weekend! Anything that beats this should be kept in mind for future races and reckon Accra Beach, Skate, Able Mate are all dangers so no banker here.
7.20 Lingfield - Tyrsal 4/1 who bolted up last time, has a decent claim to overcome the penalty and looks like has best form on AW. I wonder whether Marmarus 14/1 who looks very well bred will finally improve from debut because is on a low mark. This might be the conditions he needs?
8.00 Windsor - Joys of Spring 13/2 back to 1m
8.20 Lingfield - Desai Jnr is hot on the trail of Charlton who has 3 winners on the bounce. He hit a massive Charlton Double on Saturday. Therefore Old Guard 10/11 might be the one to be on. Again lots of money for this one, so why not. Not sure if he has seen that Chamins has also won 3 on the bounce as he saddles Perfect Outcome 40/1!
8.30 Windsor - Back to that Cossetted formline - Tears of The Sun 9/4
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