Friday, 1 August 2014

Bets 01/08/2014 - Glorious Goodwood Day 4

It better not rain today….

1.55 Goodwood - The return of Encke. Would be some training performance but we know does run well here. Songcraft runs well fresh but not convince about his performances at Goodwood. Quest for Peace was solid when winning this race two years ago but looks to have regressed now. That leaves Pethers Moon 7/4 who has rock solid form, noteably behind Cavalryman. Hughes can kick off Day3 in better fashion for his shot at the title with a solid C&D winner

2.30 Goodwood – I’m not fully convinced by the 1000k so cross of Lightning Thunder. Windfast has run well, What About Carlo is solid on fast ground and a C&D winner, Rapproachment could be anything and recorded a 96 RPR on debut which is phenomenal. Hors De Combat won a decent race at Ascot but has a lot to find with Bow Creek now who must have a decent chance. Wannabe Yours could be very good too, but I really think Hughes could double up with Shifting Power 15/8. This is a big step down in class and is definitely a Group horse already and it’ll take something decent to improve passed SP. I just hope Hughes has recaptured his form!

3.05 Goodwood – Not much luck for me in the big handicaps so far minus the blind MJ backing. Ignore Pastoral Player’s 25/1 last run as ground was not right. In previous race was a best of those drawn badly, which means he is back to his best. He is a G3 winner and has run very well at Goodwood before. Morrison is in decent nick and this claimer Charlie Bennett is decent and is one to keep an eye on. From a low draw must have a really good chance. Magic City 14/1 was well backed last time and after an unlucky race did very well to finish second and well clear of rest of field. He loves big handicaps here at Goodwood and Hughes has a really good chance to bring up a treble in the first 3 races. I know I said I’d back Horsted Keynes till he won again, but was so poor on Saturday.

3.40 Goodwood – Fast ground rules out Tropics for me. Kingsgate might struggle to turn tables on Extortionist. I watched Moviesta 7/1 win this last year on course and although was not blown away he is decent on quick ground. Ladies Are Forever could get close but has work to do based on last years race. Stepper Point 12/1 a solid C&D winner looks a danger

4.15 Goodwood – Looks like I’m relying on H/H combo again. Sunset Sail 9/2 looks ahead of mark and can make all today. Son of Africa 12/1 is interesting based on debut.

4.50 Goodwood – Now I’m pushing my luck, but if Manderley 9/1 reproduces her Guineas effort has a huge chance and can bring up the H/H quad? Surely not!. The Gold C 16/1 and J Wonder 8/1 are on my list too and will probably have a nibble, but MJ has said Muteela 5/2 is his best chance of the week.

5.25 Goodwood – Just for consistency another H/H; Cameo Tiara 9/1. Close enough behind Arabian Comet who nearly beat Misunited yesterday suggests CT is ahead of mark.

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5.20 Newmarket – Autumns Blush 15/8
5.50 Newmarket – Day Dreamer 13/8
7.00 Newmarket – Zephuros 13/8
8.00 Newmarket – Cloud Nine 4/5


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