Chelts a waste of my life and money, but we have Meydan today!
1.20 - Lady Vega Allen 16/1
2.00 - Valgrand 8/1
2.40 - Dinoblue 6/5
3.20 - Jet Blue 8/1
4.00 - GDC
4.40 - Shearer 11/1
5.20 - Taponthego 10/1 (As its last race chuck two more darts Electric Mason 33/1, Tounsivator 50/1)
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2.05 - Al Arbed 7/2, Shuf Dubai 10/1
2.50 - Story of Light 16/1
3.25 - Alsayef 5/1
4.00 - Wesall 12/1, Rebaatt 20/1
4.35 - Lafthty 6/1
Yesterday reminded me, again, of why stopped punting on the jumps. No idea anymore.
Punts made poolside with pina colodas. Not watching any of it 😅
1.20 Galileo Dame
2.00 Nurburgring
2.40 Bugise Seagull
3.20 Protektorat
4.00 lucky place
4.40 Jagwar
5.20 midnightbour fred
Majborough blundered a win. Kool One was travelling okay till fell, Static outran 50s but lost out on places by 1 and Con Hill fell. One of those days, just glad the last won at 4s
1.20 - Final Demand 7/4
2.00 - Ballyburn 5/6
2.40 - Sandor Clegane 16/1, Might I 40/1
3.20 - The Goffer 20/1, Coko Beach 25/1
4.00 - Win £9k if Captain Guinness manages to wins this, but Solness 9/1ew appeals today.
4.40 - JPR One 12/1, Third Time Lucky 20/1
5.20 - Kalypso'Chance 11/2
1.20 - Kopek Des Bordes Evs
2.00 - Majborough 4/7
I'm going to do a small double (1.20 Romeo Coolio / 2.00 L'eau Du Sud Top 2 Double)
2.40 Changing Man 7/1, The Short Go 12/1
3.20 - Majbourgh 4/7, cover with July Flower 11/1
4.00 - Constitution Hill 4/7
4.40 - Static 50/1ew, Kool One 50/1ew
5.20 - Haiti Colours 5/1, Gericault Roque 12/1
Didn't get a chance to post last week as was at a conference but a cheeky 66/1ew with Al Salt was nice, although I backed it at 16s and was not BOG!
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1.30 - None of these are in particularly good form, nor really well handicapped on paper. If ignored current form, Condor Pasa, Maplewood and Mythical Dancer are of interest. The first two are similar in that ran decent races on last two turf starts but stinkers on dirt since then. Not sure how much more improvement could be from Maplewood, but perhaps Tudhope can eek out some. Condor Pasa is well handicapped on C&D form and now Nass is coming back to form could be interesting. Mythical Dancer is being brought back slowly by Seemar after chunks of time off the track, but put best forward and could win by a few. All 3 are risky :)
Will back both Maplewood 15/2 and Condor Pasa 13/2. Split Stakes. Otn
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2.05 - Likely between the top 2 here, but Faal Khair, we know stays, and has come here instead of the Saudi Derby. Seems to be bit of money for it. Nothing other than this and Royal Favour seeing support at time of writing. Faal Khair 16/1ew
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2.40 - Two horses who run in the UK interest me most. Silver Sword and Padishakh. Silver Sword is really well handicapped on best form but not shown improvement out here and whilst best runs were on fast ground winning at York and Pontefract are not the same as winning at Meydan? Is it? Padishakh made up a lot of ground from the back lto. The race time was quick. If can build upon that race and doesn't get as far back I think Danny can get this home. Loves the fast ground. Emperor's Star is the obvious danger. Was trapped for a fair bit before getting out in the clear but did have his chance to win. Prefer Padishakh 16/1ew over 2/1 for the fave. Small rfc for banter.
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3.15 - Queen Azteca Evs. Can't see anything else winning this, but many unexposed here and up in trip, so nothing to go heavy on.
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3.50 - 5 horse race with a 4/11 fave. No thanks
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4.25 - Thought Book Review was going to hold on for a 40/1 win couple weeks back, but alas. From stall 10 could still get to the front but think stalls 8 & 9 will also try. Be annoyed if wins but leaving it today. Aldhaja won over C& from same stall in Dec with same jock. Stable still winning races. Up 5lb but doesn't look an overly competitive race, that said want to take a gamble on Al Maroom staying 10f. If stays can go really close. If was over 8f I'd be backing this. Such a crap race shouldn't be betting, but splitting stakes across Al Maroom 14/1 and Aldhaja 15/2
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5.00 - Don't think there's much improvement / if any with any of this lot other than Keffaaf, so for me it's about who turns up and runs best and what's the value. If Dubai Future turns up, wins, but not back an SBS horse in a long time. Goya Senora ran okay behind Keffaf but then ran badly lto. Caius wants slower ground. Can't back KoC to break Meydan curse, so leaves Keffaf and Onesmoothoperator. The latter was poor lto, but actually ran lame. Reunited with Connor who is riding well atm and won the northumberland plate on onesmoothoperator. Could be the reason for a poor show was the lame right leg? Let's take a punt on it. Onesmoothoperator 9/1ew
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5.35 - Pipes and Dreams fluffed the start last time and recovered to be second in the home straight still travelling well. Didn't stay. Has a low draw, so if can break cleanly can make all. Klimt Street dropped in trip for the first time I thought ran really well. Has run some decent races here over 7f, so if can apply more speed with a good claim will outrun odds. Pipes and Dreams 10/1ew and Klimt Street 28/1ew
1.30 - Tafreej 20/1ew. Can't make a strong case for any of these. Hopefully Crowley got some confidence back after winning lto. Tafreej can make a suggestion has been unlucky in running last two turf runs. Didn't take to dirt and form before that was decent in the context of running from 85 today. Draw not great but is a hold up horse so can get a wide position to come from the back cleanly or will require a lot of luck in running.
2.40 - Symbol of Honour will put into an acca with Arabian Light in the 3.50. Top rated. Can't find anything on paper that might improve passed it. Form is rock solid.
3.50 - Silent Defence 50/1ew. Has been running really well in defeat. Might have been 9 lenghts of first conquest but it doesn't tell the story at all. Couldn't get out of traffic. Last off the bridle. Made headway and then hampered and pretty much pulled up. Ran well enough over 6f. Back to 9f it's s decent ew.
Sean 22/1ew been following closely and if money for it will have a dabble.
4.25 - Thunder of Niagara 8/1ew looks back to near his best. Tawalla is a decent marker for handicap at the moment and actually ties in with Silent Defence form above. Will need to be kept close the pace.
Silkie Wilkie 28/1ew. Was really keen on this couple races back. If this shortens across the board will have a dabble. Is deffo well handicapped but ran two horrific races out here so had to play it.
5.00 - First Constitution 22/1ew will try to make all here. Was running in G1 over C&D couple years back. Blinkers back on, and ran a much improved race lto. If can step up again from that will have a decent chance.
Book Review 28/1ew always wins one a season. Not sure if will back it yet. Again will watch for some cash confidence. WIll try to make all with FC. Been running poorly of late and no sign of perking up, but last year wasn't either and pooped in a 20/1 win
5.35 - Assail 16/1ew will be one to watch. Looks progressive. If fit can win this.
Intricacy 40/1ew shouldn't be 40/1ew. If gets a decent pace and clear run can place at least.
Actually turned out okay on the ews last week. Probably a faves day
R1 13.30 - Tough race with no stand outs. Backed Fall of Rome 11/1ew last time. Got a good break and tried to make it from the front as I expected and just started to hand under pressure, but held out for the place. Drop in trip to a distance has won at before and willing to punt at this price. Not much else can make a case for other than Mayaadeen, but Watson is 0/16 atm.
R2 2.05 - Can't see passed Mountain Breeze on paper, but not at 4/9 for me. Pocket Phone is probably overpriced at 100s but I'm just leaving this race. MB into an acca.
R3 2.40 - Estmar Evs wins on paper, with Undefeated big danger
R4 3.15 - These prices are not fun for me but again Romantic Style should win on paper. That said I'll take this on with Emaraty Ana 8/1ew Sure getting older now, but actually ran pretty well last week. Got too far behind and stormed home in similar times to the impressive West Acre. If doesn't get too far back might, just might upset RS. Haasim is a big price. Will think about it.
R5 3.50 - Another average handicap and again hard to make a case for much. If Magic Petition 14/1ew runs to the same level as two races ago will go close. Gamekeeper and MP will both try to win it from the front from their lows draws, so is a risk set it up for something else, but can't work out what. I like Welcome Dream but again, with Watson form can't do it. Could be Gamekeeper and Magic Petition 1-2 if no one catches them
R6 4.25 - First Conquest was mighty impressive time out, but willing to punt See Hector 13/2ew to turn the tables with a 7lb pull. Asassi looks like a weapon so a fun combi tricast with First Conquest, Asaasi and See Hector
R7 5.00 - Guns and Glory 2/1 just needs to win today. Can't have any excuses today. Tacitcal Bound has produced the best historic form but hasn't produced anything since was lame few races back
R8 5.35 - Al Qudra should beat Hallasan but I maybe might back the forecast or back Hallasan 3/1 at the price to come flying home late. TBC. Out of time to think.
Decent last two weeks in meydan. Card looks amazing today, but not my cup of tea. No handicaps :(
I'm playing small stakes looking for ew plays incase the obvious faves don't deliver but I shouldn't really play today :)
2.48 Gowran Park - Nick Rockett 4/1 and Macs Charm 25/1ew. 8lenghts of winning last year 6lb lower. Opened 66/1 couple days back....
Decent Meydan last week inc a 16/1 winner (albeit had a r4).
Meydan
2.05 - Mount K unlucky not to win last week. Has form on turf so can go close again today. Poster Paint looks so obvious on paper but worried about the blow out Seemar had last week. Age of Baroque flopped lto, but potentially well handicapped. Athan interesting. Ajwad is surely too old now to be at peak, but at peak would win this. Trappy so I split 1 bet across all three.
Mount K 6/1 win
Poster Paint 10/1win (sml)
Age of Baroque 25/1win (cover)
2.40 - Can't back any SBS horses until see winners. Bold Style and Regheeb likely winners but willing to take two outsiders who can excel over C&D.
Tamborrada 16/1ew
Al Salt 40/1ew
3.15 - If Seemar's horses run well in earlier races I'll back Ranchero 12/1ew. If not nothing else I like in this.
3.50 - Al Arbed 4/1
5.35 - Castlewarden is Laurel River brother and interesting to see in a handicap first up. Doesn't look well handicapped but if have the class of LR, well then it's game over. Mubakker and Meshakel can go close on best form, but El Nasseb is running off a good mark based on last run
El Nasseb 11/4
Mubakker 16/1 (sml)
6.10 - Another difficult one to call. Based on penultimate runs:
Delorean 12/1
Shamran 16/1
Decent ew with Supersundae. Only one winner at Meydan last week and week before think was a whitewash. Card no easier this week.
1.30 Heart of Honour has a good chance but not sure can bet at the price. Too many could improve past.
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2.05 - Trappy race. Story of Light 16/1ew on best form wins but think has likely regressed. 11lb lower than this time last year but I think ran better lto than in a similar race this time last year so has a chance. Magsood 10/1ew might be second string but on paper looks better handicapped than Molaqab who on paper has needed runs after long breaks, but if fit will go very close. Hassim was interesting also, but left it with two.
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2.40 - Gamekeeper and Welcome Dream will both try to win from the front and the likely winners, but I like Barq Al Emarat 14/1ew. Ran well enough behind Welcome Dream lto and the likely pace could set this up nicely. The problem is Sandro Paiva. Just don't think the jockey is good enough, but at the price willing to punt it. Gamekeeper 3/1 gets a cover.
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3.15 - Symbol of Honour 6/4, but West Acre also looks solid.
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3.50 - Made a case for 10 of these so probably should avoid. Arabian Light 13/8 is likely the group horse in a handicap and should just stick with this but of all the others Western Writer 22/1ew(NR) worth a small ew. Alfareeq on best form was the danger, but not sure can back horse steered by Crowley atm
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4.25 - Surprising to see many of these in a handicap....
At the weights then I expect to see Guns and Glory 4/1 to turn the tables with Mendelssohn Bay, although it's very risky as MB will also likely improve for the last run. Will probably do a MB-GaG fc. If Nevershow Weakness wins at 16s today I'll cry. First Constitution on form years back was tempting but nto sure can back it on current form.
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5.00 - Everything is in shocking form, but Tawalla 5/2 now has no excuses
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5.35 - Similar to 3.50 where can make a case for many. Regal Connection 2/1 should win a race like this off this mark and New Comedy 16/1ew who I thought had a solid ew few weeks back gets another chance. Valvida was tempting also.
1.55 Naas - Not impressed with Jasmin's jumping. Form looks good but at this price keen to take on. Butch Cassidy interesting. Last year's winning Reading Tommy by Authorized was the Mullins outsider. Supersundae 25s the Mullins outsider also by Authorised looks a decent ew. Authorized decent record with stakes hurdles here. Ran a decent race in the Supreme over too short. Down in class lto but romped even though keen. Could see at furlong pole gave couple taps and then was off. So will have the stamina for a battle tomorrow. Half brother to Supasundae who is a G1 Hurdles winner over 2m4f also. Seeing lots of money. Managed to get 25s yesterday. Money either confidence or the syndicate is getting giddy.
1.30 - 15 runner turf handicap. happy days. Endless Victory likely winner. Looks unexposed and if tries to make all, I'm not sure anything is likely to go with it. Could hack up. Given the likely lack of pace from anything other than Endless Victory, Blue Trail who broke the track record could try to come from stall 15 and sit behind Endless Victory. This could make things very interesting... For all that I'm not sure on reason was sold etc and why bottom of the market.
Silver Sword is very interesting on best form. Intricacy is also very interesting back to 10f. Was a really impressive win from off the pace and if in the same form could give Endless something to think about.
Likely winner: Endless Victory 7/4
Solid E/W: Intricacy 16/1ew
Wild Shot: Blue Trail 25/1ew
Not decided how will bet the race yet :)
2.05 - Smart thing to do here is follow the form of Imperial Emperor. Leaves you with Laasudood and Khanjar. Imperial Emperor ran faster when beating Khanjar, who also looked a bit difficult in the home straight, than when beating Laasudood who has now also gone up 5lb since. I like neither jockey so assuming they both run to their best going for the bigger priced one as first bet.
Khanjar 12/1ew
Laasudood 5/1
2.45 - Silky Wilkie's price looks too big on best form. Will that form translate to Meydan, not sure, but no reason why can't especially with Burke in decent form.
Silky Wilkie 9/1ew
3.55 - Something about Ottoman Fleet and Meydan doesn't work. Even though OF beat Poker Face in the Sefton many years back I think at 1m, Poker Face is better.
Poker Face 11/2ew
4.30 - Tuz just wins.
5.05 - Hallasan should just win.
5.40 - Assuming King of Conquest stays should just win
No singles on the last 3. Only playing a treble.
