Friday, 18 July 2025

Bets 19/07/2025

Not bad from Northern Ticker yesterday at a big price.

Tread carefully with the rain....Part of me is thinking DO NOT BET.


2.00 Curragh - Greek Flower 16/1

Big Gossey is a decent place prospect. At 8 I just don't know if can eek out more improvement to win. It's also putting a few of these out the handicap including Greek Flower. Greek Flower's draw is annoying to me as hard to get cover and is no pace drawn low. Draw aside with a decent 7lb is handicapped to win and can turn the tables with Big Gossey in last years race.


2.57 Newbury - Kind of Blue 13/2

I was a massive believer of Kind of Blue last year and glad got it's group 1. I don't think I've backed it this year, but the price is decent enough to chance it. Just assume didn't take to Tapeta. No G1 penalty. Fanshawe does well in this race. Best horse in field on day and if goes soft will have no issues. This is still very risky given current form....


3.30 Newbury - Ardsia 70s (exchanges)

Hurricane Havana obviously the one to beat but assuming starts okay I think can massively outrun price. Stable firing, good form in books, Palmer first time gelding is decent and strong on trends also. Pedigree for this C&D not great but at the prices not quibbling. 


Leaving it here. I think I'll regret looking for winners tomorrow with the pending rain and not knowing what it will do to the ground. Not worth it. Rain screwed me enough over the years. Finally learning my lesson :)

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