Oromulu 100% should have won yesterday. Conor has done the horse over twice now over C&D (as far as I'm concerned)
2.00 York Skybet Dash.
- Those that meet race trends applied are Elmonjed, Jubilee Walk, Aleezdancer and Indian Run.
- Over C&D on Friday those drawn low dominated (3,5,2,4 draw finishing positions). It may mean they all come over and gets crowded.
- I expect Jungle Drums to storm out from stall 1 and make all, setting up those drawn low even better.
Rousing Encore 14/1. I'm trying not to make this an emotive bet as should have won at Epsom earlier in the year and cost me a decent pot. A really good C&D win at the Ebor earlier this year. Defo got more improvement in him as showed at Epsom when should have hosed up.
Elmonjed looks an obvious pick as has strong stats all rounds and meets all the trends. As Angus Gold says, he is going to pop up and win a decent handicap. At 5/1 with first time cheekpieces it's enough for me to leave it.
Korker ties in with the RE formline and a massive danger if starts well, but given the draw happy to skip it.
3.00 Ascot International Stakes
- Those that meet race trends applied are Golden Mind, Akkadian Thunder, Oliver Show, Yorkshire,
- Typically stands side is fastest unless they screw around with watering. Going stick says it's faster so high will have an advantage
- I expect Noble Truth and Northern Express to be the pace and they are drawn 18 and 19 so further setting up those drawn high.
Akkadian Thunder 20/1 - For those who follow my blog based on formlines 20/1 was a joke. Market has found it now and it's not as appealing at 6/1, but has the drawn and meets all the trends. O'Meara does my head in thought and has 3 all drawn high. Lord Bertie may well be able to turn the tables with AT.
Billyjoh 10/1. Unlucky in the Bunbury Cup. Maybe should have beaten Akkadian at Doncaster. No chance at Ascot from the draw. Appleby going okay, and had Billy won any of those three races would meet all the trends.
Golden Mile - 35+ on Exchanges. Could have won the Chesham. Nearly won a big pot at Epsom. Can't find a massive excuse for lto, but if repeats Epsom form given C&D capabilty and that meets the trends is worth a pop
Oliver Show is well handicapped on that Bahrain form and surely is going to win big pot soon, but first time blinkers + current yard form is slightly off putting, but no surprise if went close.
Aalto has a chance on paper but looks too short especially if I'm right about the draw.
I don't think Yorkshire can turn the tables on Akkadian Thunder.
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2.40 Ascot - Bella Lyra - 7/1
3.35 Ascot - Bullet Point 9/2
4.25 York - Yasser 15/2
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