Bets 20/07/2025

 Best decision not to touch racing yesterday. Just couple small bets tomorrow. Nothing strong. Nothing till Ascot after today and then all focus on Goodwood

Curragh 1.15 - Dawn Spirit 10/1, Presence 18/1

Curragh 4.15 - Billie Be Quick 10/1

Bets 19/07/2025

Not bad from Northern Ticker yesterday at a big price.

Tread carefully with the rain....Part of me is thinking DO NOT BET.

2.00 Curragh - Greek Flower 16/1

Big Gossey is a decent place prospect. At 8 I just don't know if can eek out more improvement to win. It's also putting a few of these out the handicap including Greek Flower. Greek Flower's draw is annoying to me as hard to get cover and is no pace drawn low. Draw aside with a decent 7lb is handicapped to win and can turn the tables with Big Gossey in last years race.

2.57 Newbury - Kind of Blue 13/2

I was a massive believer of Kind of Blue last year and glad got it's group 1. I don't think I've backed it this year, but the price is decent enough to chance it. Just assume didn't take to Tapeta. No G1 penalty. Fanshawe does well in this race. Best horse in field on day and if goes soft will have no issues. This is still very risky given current form....

3.30 Newbury - Ardsia 70s (exchanges)

Hurricane Havana obviously the one to beat but assuming starts okay I think can massively outrun price. Stable firing, good form in books, Palmer first time gelding is decent and strong on trends also. Pedigree for this C&D not great but at the prices not quibbling. 

Leaving it here. I think I'll regret looking for winners tomorrow with the pending rain and not knowing what it will do to the ground. Not worth it. Rain screwed me enough over the years. Finally learning my lesson :)

Bets 18/07/2025

 Lunar should have won yesterday. Travelling today so not going to look at cards whish is shame as looks decent.

6.35 Hamilton - I backed Northern Ticker 16s, but I wanted a closer look at Strike Red, Venture Capital (who backed lto) and Bererac. Not sure will get a chance though :(

Bets 17/07/2025

 Oasis won yesterday, but for some reason didn't back the 10/3 single just the double. Anyhow, poor racing again today.

3.22 Hamilton - Sallaal Evs - Best horse in race. Stats and form good. Still hold a G2 entry Hopefully English Oak doesn't revive to form.

3.55 Hamilton - Lunar Eclipse 11/2. In good form and if doesn't hang this time can go very close. Down in class, stats good enough.

5.10 Leicester - Qaaedd 4.8.

Bets 16/07/2025

 3.20 Bath - Sisters in the Sky 8.1

Openish race, but solid C&D win couple runs back. Stumbled out stalls lto, so ignore it. Harris runs 3 in the race, but assume Ray chosen this one.

Might be worth a small double with her runner in the last at Bath Oasis Dream 30/1 double

Bets 15/07/2025

Racing so bad atm, made me look forward.

International Handicap 26th July - Akkadian Thunder 20/1

Big over reaction pushing this out to 20s. Billyjoh 3rd in the Bunbury Cup and Never So Brave winning a G2 all franking the form of the Buckingham Palace. Draw, ground, jockey choice, trainer form, can all play a major part in the race and are right now all unknown, but if this turns up to the race can see it being single figure price. Be interesting if English Oak lined up...

Bets 12/07/2025

War Hawk drifted like lost a leg. Ormolulu drifted like lost a leg and was given a highly suspect ride. Was cruising, could have won, but was purposely put behind horses several times in the home straight. Spicy Marg was a daft bet knowing was going to be hard to beat the fave. Darkness, well typically the other O'Meara horse was looking at wrong. Castan was sooooo close. Anyhow....

Dain Me Nut In bolted in so all good yesterday. 

2.22 Ascot - Never So Brave 9/4 

Solid winner at the festival for me. Looks difficult to beat. Hope Quddwah doesn't decide to bounce back to form

2.35 York - Rosy Affair 22/1

Looks to be improving still and have this down as 100+ rated at least. As went to hit bet slip went from 25 to 22. Annoying.

2.50 Newmarket - Run Boy Run 11.5, Akkadian Thunder 7.0 cover only

Won the far side race at Ascot when drawn wrong. Was first run of season when just beaten by More Thunder. C&D winner. Wish Spencer was in better form, but think still better value than MT.

Given the formlines I also did a Never So Brave/Akkadian Thunder 18/1 double

3.10 York - Naqeeb 11.5, Fox Legacy 11.5 cover only

Tough race for a 3year old. Naqeeb is strong on trends and form for me. Camacho flying. Only thing bugging me is draw, but think good enough o win this. Fox Legacy fits trends and won very easily in penultimate race. Ran well enough at Ascot drawn wrong and might be drawn badly again, but okay with it.

York 4.15 - Dacres Cross 9/1

Ryan 3/4 in the race. Has been short price every one of it's 3 runs. Looked pretty good fto. 

4.35 Newmarket - Flora of Bermuda 7.6, Symbol of Honour 11.6

Can't split them so did 45/1 rfc also

4.45 York - Terrorise 8.5

Looks  much improved horse after spell over hurdles. Ran in a c2 flat handicap and a g1 hurdles. surely must be showing something? Anyhow was staying on well lto in a realistic race. Wish Ellison was in better form but this looks the value in the race

4.50 Ascot - Redorange 5/1

Only draw beats this. Solid form. Cox in form and won the race before. Holkham the fave was an unlucky 33/1 for me at the festival but over further. Think needs the distance.

5.25 York - Fiscal Policy 16/1

I was going to back Juan Les Pins who should have won for me lto. Didn't back when was 11/2 and now 3/1. So want to get it beat now :) I looked at Good Earth, Iris Dancer and Fiscal Policy all have chances. Think the draw makes it harder for Good Earth and Iris Dancer, so in on Fiscal Policy

7.00 Hamilton - Infinity Blue 8/1

Camacho flying and is 30% first headgear. Stiff track 6f looks a good placement

Bets 11/07/2025

Hmm. Crest was backed into fave as was Wheres Freddy. Got the value with both but not the results. We keep going. Played my stakes so that 1 winner from the below gives me profit. 2 and laughing. 

2.10 York - Ormolulu 11/1

Down in class up, up in trip which will suit and posted career best lto so in decent nick. 

2.45 York - Arabian Dusk 10/1

Best horse in race. Nearly won the Sandy Lanes. Back in G3. I was hoping to see this one in the July festival having won the DoC last year at the festival.

3.55 York - Dain My Nut In 14/1

Back to form. Should be a c2 handicap winner. Back to good ground. I think will stay fine. 

5.07 York - Castan 10/1

Very consistent, down in grade, can go close.

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1.50 Newmarket - Warn Hawk 11/2

Still improving

2.25 Newmarket - Spicy Marg 12/1

Tough to beat the fave but her debut was very good and apaz was in season at Ascot.

3.00 Newmarket Real Dream 9/1

Endless Victory should win this, but when Real Dream runs it's race it's solid. Well handicapped.

4.45 Newmarket - Darkness 16/1

I struggle with O'Meara horses but at this price willing to gamble. Decent C&D winner, won very easily two races ago and generally runs poorly at Epsom like lto. Time to bounce back please :)

Bets 10/07/2025

Been back to the office this week after 6 weeks off. Two whitewashes on the horses this week. Coincidence? Or maybe this is a sign I need to stay at home focus on the racing and be a professional gambler instead :) Imagine.

1.50 Newmarket -

Watched the Vase back couple of times and Scandy comes out on but AOB doesn't have a strong record with 3year olds at the track. I'm just leaving the race.

2.25 Newmarket - 

Can't pick between Maximised and Brussels. At the prices no stress for me not to play this race either.

3.00 Newmarket - Crestofdistinction 12/1 Antepost Main bet. Realign small cover

Rossa will try to make all. I backed this couple days back but can still get 9/1. It's 10lb well in! It's good to have a lightweight in these races. Many dangers in here and maybe Realign is biggest threat.

3.35 Newmarket - 

Another small race and see little value again. I was really keen on Ghostwriter at Ascot and probably the one I like most. Might put in an acca, but no singles for me.

4.45 Newmarket - Royal Playwright 6/1

I don't have a big angle on this race, but I do think if RP doesn't hang this time can go close. Took a big step fwd last time against elders in a g3. Balding is doing pretty well in the big races this year.

5.20 Newmarket - Waiting All Night 14/1 main bet. Where's Freddy 12/1 small cover

Both have solid C&D form. You see many horse flop on the undulations here. Not these two.

Doncaster 4.55  Scatter Penny 16/1 running again. Message from Easterby says "all been well!!!!!!!!!!!!' Not seen a text from to the syndicate like this before...followed by a "let's do it" Hmm.... Anyway put some money on at 16/1 let's wait for his verbal update tomorrow before anymore goes on it. He seems confident.

Bets 09/07/2025

Another Portman 2year old ensured up for the day on singles. Of course had an acca an so lost a small bit overall. I can't crack O'Meara. Always been a challenge. I knew shouldn't have backed Rousing. Stable form should have ruled over chasing a previous loss. 

Pretty poor racing again today, but Island Hopping does seem big at 10s. Much better racing tomorrow

2.20 Catterick - Langholm 4/1

Sort of conditions needs to win. Back in form, good claim, solid consistent course form and Dods winning a few.

3.50 Catterick - Lunar Force 14/1

Very speculative here. Think the step up in trip is going to suit and on some of 2 year old form at the course could outrun odds.

6.00 Fairyhouse - Island Hopping 10/1

3 year olds have a good record in this as does AOB. With the weight allowance is top rated. It was fave to beat Garden of Eden prior to Ascot and Wootton Bassett has the best ped for this C&D/going against the field.

7.20 Kempton - Molten Sea 7/2

Should have won lto. Front two miles clear of rest. Decent stats. Kingdom of Stars the obvious danger.

8.55 Kempton - Kurios George 6/1

This is interesting as Tate is 27% with 4year olds here. Horse does not look good, but Tate is in decent form and the other trainers are all a bit flaky at the moment. I normally wouldn't bet a horse without some sort of form on show, but let's see what happens.

Played a 10/1 placed treble with Langholm, Island Hopping and Molten Sea

Bets 08/07/2025

As I expected the ground didn't help We Still Believe. Came full of running but doesn't like it soft. I thought Red Mirage was getting there but emptied quickly and those that came off the pace did much better then those who chased it. Baba missed the break but not sure would have won. Will wait for Chelmsford for Baba. Anyway I said I shouldn't bet yesterday but I did and had a total whitewash. Fool.

2.10 Pontefract - Sparkling Pink 10/3

Looks on a good mark. Portman 2year olds always interesting

3.10 Pontefract - Julia Augusta 12/1

Ran better than most realise at Ascot. O'Meara 21% with first time tongue tie so knows what he is doing. Decent record in the race also. Charlotte's Web the main danger.

Charlotte Web / Julia Augusta rfc 40/1

3.40 Pontefract - Rousing Encore 4/1

Was a big screw up for me last time out on Derby Day Busted a huge treble and should have won. Unfortunately stable has dropped out of form so it's a risky play for me.

Bets 07/07/2025

I backed We Still Believe last night on assumption ground will be good, but latest update is that it's good to soft, soft in places (esp up home straight). I don't think that's good for it's chances, but seems to have been backed into 12/1 overnight, so who knows.

Annoying Saturday. Ews acca saved me but all singles lost.

Not a day to be betting and throwing your money away. Got the July meeting and a massive Saturday ahead so spare your coins...

2.00 Ayr - We Still Believe 20/1

Not sure why last year's winner is 20/1. Same mark same draw, same form coming into the race, other than lto on soft ground, screwed the start and couldn't get involved. I'm drawing a line through it. I'm not convinced can win as two big dangers, but if they flop and the ground is good tomorrow, well, you never know.

2.30 Ayr- Red Mirage 11/2 

Another highly competitive race and another I'll draw a line through on last race. Stall 12 Chester, not worth trying sometimes. Ran well on seasonal debut and all those who finished ahead had runs this season. Mark is dropping and it's going to win one day soon. Hopefully today.

3.00 Ayr - Baba Reza 18/1

Highly speccy. Was waiting for this one to pop up at Chelmsford, but I think this was making good headway from back lto at Chester before massively hampered. I think is on a winnable mark, the softer ground should help considering previous comments from trainer. 

7.30 Ripon - Sea Regal 11/2

Back to form lto, course winner, and well handicapped on best form. O'Meara started hitting winners and won this race 3 times before.

Bets 05/07/2025

Well, Pearl of Windsor was not a gift and was too good to be true. Head carriage was all over the shot, so I might give it another go esp if pops up at Epsom. Stupidly played 3pts. Haven't done that in a while a big slap to the face as a reminder why not! Also a reminder yesterday of why I don't back too many favourites....

1.50 Sandown - Shagraan 11/1

Looks overpriced to me. Should have won the C&D Bet365 handicap last year. Back to very best form and MA's horses are coming into form. I think Sha is more like a 105 horse and if still improving can go close. Draw okay as long as doesn't try to run through field....

2.25 Sandown - Treasure Time 7/2

Was looking for a big price winner. Can't make a case for one. Both Greek Order and Treasure Time meet trends but given Haggas won this twice before going with TT.

3.15 Haydock - Stressfree 10/1

Decent win for me lto over C&D. Won with a lot more in the tank. Last of the bridle coming pretty much last to first. Obviously more competitive this time round and needs to make sure Box to Box doesn't get too far ahead to reel in.

3.50 Haydock - Juan Les Pins 15/2

Back to form lto, albeit not a clear run. Well backed also. Best handicapped horse on best form is this one

4.55 Haydock - Sea Baaeed 10/1

If you use El Matador as a marker is well handicapped. Hughes is 23% with first time geldings an also 2/2 in this race.

Bets 04/07/2025

Up on singles yesterday but of course punted accas, so ended day down :)

Sick with myself here backing so many faves. Pearl of Windsor looks like a Xmas gift.

3.00 Sandown - Staya 11/8

 

Best horse in race, best form, and Scott is 1/1 in the race.

3.35 Sandown - Peal of Windsor 7.8

C&D winner. Look at last race over CD. Handicapper cannot have screwed up the ratings of 6 horses in the same race. Looks thrown in here of 84. Ran a blinder in the race but was stuck behind horses so the result was no fluke. Conrad last 3 runner 15/2 15/2 11/2 winners..... Surely this is too good to be true?

It's being well backed now which is annoying as looking for a solid double. Hoping it drifts tomorrow, but I can't see why it would based on my view above

6.05 Haydock - Kingmaker 13/8

Down in class, up in trip. The right favourite.

6.40 Haydock - Romantic Spirit 11/4

Improving. Mensiuer some good stats here with horses who won lto. Rest of field doesn't look great to me. 

8.00 Beverley - Tara Iti - 11/4

Owen is 4/4 with horse 4year+ here

Bets 03/07/2025

 Some Saturday and so close to a 3000/1 treble. Really shouldn't be betting average racing as doesn't fair as well but let's go anyway.

Haydock 4.10 - Artic Fox 7.00

Previous winner of this race. Back to form.

Kempton 4.37 - Satavia 3.35

Haydock 5.17 - Captain Harry 6.00

Handicapped to win over C&D on 2 year old form. Back to form lto and form franked. No standouts from a stats perspective in the race and drawn well enough.

Newbury 7.50 - Imperial Trooper 15.00

Back in trip. Can make all. Needs to find 2year old form, but it does can win