Not the greatest of cards today so lowered stakes and hedged in a few races.
2.50 - Could easily be a 1-2 for for Dylan today, but there are some horses lurking that if bounce back to form will be a big price shock. Tricky to work out how this race will unfold. I think Rebatt will go to the front and Breakdancer will try to come and join from stall 10. They both have a capability of this mark to win, so would hope they can draw clear together. San Sebastian is a horse have backed twice this festival and I hope gets trapped behind held up horses today else could easily come home quickly to give these two a fright.
Breakdancer 5/1 0.5pt ew 5p
Rebaatt 9/1 0.5pt ew 5p
3.25 - I have both Estmrar and War Hawk tracked. Moonblade will try to make all, and War Hawk who likes to be held up I assume will tag to the rail, and chances will depend on the passage through. Estmaras is drawn wide, but I've seen many horses win from wide draws on the dirt this year and this time can't get trapped on the rail. At the price I think I'd rather play Estmras
Estrmrar 9/1 0.5pt ew 4p
4.00 - Majestic Pride back to turf just screams back me. Not sure why has been running on dirt given last turf race was the Meydan in a G2, 1.5l behind Mysterious Night. These Wathan horses annoy me :) and Arhichvist is probably a worth fave. Regheeb can make up the 123
Majestic Pride 10/1 0.5pt ew 4p
Regheeb 6/1 0.5pts ew 4p
4.35 - Another tricky one, but I expect Stobe to win, worst case place.
Strobe 9/2 0.5pt ew 3p
5.10 - I've back Green Triangle a twice this year. Was never going to back ahead of Dividend lto, but this extended trip gives the chance to finally reach leaders and win! I think / hope will stay. Asgard is a huge danger if returns to form. Yard are bullish
Green Triangle 7/1 0.5pt ew 4p
Asgards Captain 11/2 0.5pt ew 4p
5.45 - I could back half the field in this, so staying out. Backed Shaq Diesel lto, thinking was well ahead of mark. Not putting it up but at 20s might have a few coins on
No bet
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