Given the rain and no official update on the track playing half stakes. Means I'll hit my target of +30pts even if nothing returns today. I hope it does of course though!
Meydan 12.20 - The draw has worked turned out perfectly for Commissioner King here. Can make all to win. My concern is this is a race Seemar has not won and has 6 horses running in it and so am willing to take a risk on Banishing, who will love the pace that 4 or 5 of these will set. Has gone very close to winning a G1 when dead heating with Nysos. Expecting this one to come flying home late. Backing this now as if the track as slowed won't impact this one at all.
Banishing 10/1 10.5pt ew
Meydan 12.55 - Al Riffa the one to beat, clearly on numbers. I was going to take a chance on Dubai Future, but with the ground ease that doesn't make as much sense. The give also makes it harder for Al Nayyir. Sunway is good but not sure good enough. Caballo De Mar is a G1 winner and will assume the Prix Royal Oak came too soon. This one looks to have a live chance if Al Riffa doesn't show and no issues with change in ground.
Caballo De Mar 13/2 0.5pt ew
Meydan 1.30 - Pyromancer is probably a worthy fave, but Six Speed is best on numbers. I really like Salloom and backed this one Antepost. Tad takes the ride which is probably a big clue, but at the prices Wonder Dean looks the value, given how close finished to Pyro, who had a run under belt, on debut.
Wonder Dean 12/1 0.5pt ew
Meydan 2.20 - Lazzat is clear on numbers but I can't back at Evs. The ground will not be an issue for him. When is rains here high numbers can do better, so I'm taking a big risk here and hoping SDS does the right thing here and try to bag the stands side rail and win with Great Wish.
Great Wish 25/1 0.5pt ew
Meydan 2.55 - Tuz has been lightly campaigned on purpose and is surely going to be fired up for this and Tad has not let go of the ride, but Mufasa should have beaten El Nasseeb lto and Nakatomi could be a dual C&D winner. There is going to be so much pace that this surely has to go to a closer.
Nakatomi 18/1 0.5pt ew
Musafa 14/1 0.5pt ew
Meydan 3.35 - Ombudsman is so far clear on ratings not worth taking on, but Facteur Cheval should be an ew money back play, and if for whatever reason Ommy messes up is the one most liklely to take advantage as is the best on numbers on this ground, course and distance.
Factuer Cheval 7/1 0.5pt ew
Really struggle to beat Calandagan and Forever Young so no play in last two races.
Will play a small Tad/Seemar Yankke with Commissioner King, Salloom, Tuz, Imperial Emperor.
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