Bets 14/08/2014

First four races yesterday were awful. Then I landed 6 in a row in the evening. Felt good. Not touching Salisbury after yesterday.

2.10 Newmarket - Luna Moon 9/4 has decent entries and those with experience look ropey.

3.15 Newmarket - Piceno 10/3 was beaten by a very heavily back Mime Dance. They were 5 lengths ahead of the rest and assuming has recovered can go well here. Is a course winner and Fallon will push him all the way from the front.

3.50 Newmarket - Long Cross 5/6 has best form in book

4.55 Newmarket - Zain Empire 2/1 has extremely good form which has been franked twice.

5.25 Newmarket - Random Success 6/4 looks well ahead of mark, but Apricot Sky worries me.

Bets 13/08/2014

Salisbury 2.20 - I'm sure I read something somewhere about maiden geldings outrunning price. I might be making this up but at 33/1 Awjab worth a chance.

Salisbury 2.50 - Darshini Evs won well last time out and is well handicapped on debut form.

Salisbury 3.25 - Tercel 6/4 on paper is seriously well handicapped. Beat an 84 rated horse by 3 lengths and opening mark today is 77. Stoute has won 3/5 of the last renewals too. The arguement may be that Potenate beat Hesbaan by more and at weights is better off today against Tercel. However, this is only Tercel's 3rd race and I would expect more improvement.

Salisbury 3.50 - Tearless 9/2 walked a C3H with top weight. I think is top rated in this race and will hopefully improve as well. C&D winner already to further cause.

Yarmouth 5.05 - Johnny Barnes 6/4

Yarmouth 5.40 - Lunarian 7/2 won for me last time and think can win again. Trainer likes this one

Yarmouth 6.10 - Rosslyn Castle 15/8

Yarmouth 6.40 - Authorised Too 7/4 ran on well in last race of last year. Cobwebs hopefully now blown away after seasonal debut.

Yarmouth 7.10 - Ski Lift 11/4

Kempton 7.50 - Fret 12/1 based on Candy's record in races like this at Kempton, although Sandy Cay 5/4 looks decent.

Kempton 8.20 - Muradif 6/4 ought to easily defy 6lb penalty

Bets 12/08/2014

5.05 Lingfield - Indianaughty 10/11 miles best of those with experience

5.15 Ffos Las - Curbyourenthuisiasm 3/1 ahead of mark on this ground and gets a good 3yr allowance and form is strong.

5.25 Notts - Had "will win maiden easily" in my notes against Thumper 9/1, but no date or source. Hmm.

6.35 Lingfield - If Artic Lynx bounces back to form is in with a shout but Al's Memory 5/1

7.25 Nottigham - At the weights Graphic Guest 9/2

7.35 Lingfield - Lola Montez 11/4. Langigan bashing them home and he had 37% record in 3yr+ handicaps at Lingfield.

Could be a decent day for Robert Cowell?

Bets 11/08/2014

Weather KO'd me again yesterday...

TAPTETA IS HERE! Meydan racing has long been my pot of gold, but typically they have now reverted to dirt. I am going to be watching every race at Wolves and next year will use this as power..... 

Mark J, Ewart and Goodlophin use Tapeta so be worth following them to see how they get on. (Crowdmania, Fajry, Torridon, Right of Appeal) 

Wolves 2.15 - Dolorous 9/4 to land first Tapeta race. I'm basing this on her maiden effort, nothing else as any of these might take to Tapeta better

Wolves 3.15 - Free Entry Evs good draw best form but any of these might take to Tapeta better

Wolves 4.45 - Orions Bow 7/2

Wolves 5.15 - Warrigal 3/1 well handicapped if takes to surface

Ayr 5.30 - Awake My Soul 7/2 will like ground, C&D winner, solid and consistent form and easier races than last few.

Thirsk 7.00 - Kommander Kirkup 5/1 well handicapped on Red Stargazer and Dazeno form. 

Bets 10/08/2014

DISASTER yesterday.....

Curragh
3.05 - Toogoodtobetrue 7/4
3.35 - Have a Nice Day 8/1
4.05 - Kool Company 2/1
4.35 - Maarek 6/4

Windsor
3.45 - Mia San Triple 7/4

Leicester
3.00 - Gothic 3/1

Bets 09/08/2014

Ouch. That was the BHA Gods shutting me down for cocky mouth chat about how much money I was making. Oddly the 3 horses I crossed off my list, but decided to put in a treble all won… would you believe it?! Still lost about £750, but would have been far worse.

Tom Pricewise Segal is not having a good time and I’ve ignored him a lot of late, but let’s see how he gets on today:

2.05 Ascot – Bantam 12/1

3.15 Ascot – Swivel 12/1

2.20 Haydock – Salutation 10/1, Lahaag 10/1

2.55 Haydock – Educate 7/1

Right, my turn…..

Ascot – I have backed the best horse in this meeting in so many races, but I make the critical jockey error so will remember this, this year…Just want one big price winner from Ascot today and I’ll be happy as this is a team competition so imagine tactics will play out….

Ascot 12.55 – Move In Time 5/1 has won on softer ground, is a course winner and in seriously hot form.

Ascot 1.30 – I’m hoping the ground is soft enough, but it’s a big hope. If it is Earth Amber 9/1 has a decent chance based on last run looks well handicapped

Ascot 2.05 - Don’t have a strong opinion on this so stick with Segal on Bantam 12/1 who has decent chance for the price.

Ascot 2.40 – Two for Two 10/1 has come into form and ran very well at Goodwood last time and Dark Emerald’s 7/1 form is very very good.

Ascot 3.15 – Segal has gone for Swivel 12/1 and I’ll go for Trip To Paris 6/1

Ascot 3.50 – Golden Steps 6/1 has been running well in decent races.

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Newmarket has turned soft….

Newmarket 2.30 – Tinghir 5/1 will love the ground and Lanigan landed me shed loads yesterday. Enobled might be danger if handles ground

Newmarket 3.05 – Englishman 7/2 solid course form and form. Might be worth a double with Dark Emerald if that form stands up

Newmarket 3.35 – Winters Moon 7/2 to continue Goodophin domination although Arabian Queen is a G2 winner at the course already!

Newmarket 5.15 – Purple Spectrum 7/4 has won on soft so no ground fears and looks ahead of mark

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Haydock 1.50 – Squats 4/1 has solid form. P.Alexander is the best horse yes but tough ask off this mark.

Haydock 2.20 – I would have picked Salutation 10/1 as Segal has done and Rye House 8/1 is one I always back even though I know needs soft ground.

Haydock 2.55 – Hillstar 10/3 vs True Story 9/2 for me.

Haydock 3.25 – Wee Jean 10/1 decent form and Psychometry 8/1 potential improver and better than last race

Haydock 4.00 – Provenance 7/4 just over Championship

Haydock 5.05 – Satellite 3/1 looks well ahead of mark

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Redcar 2.50 – Glorious Sun 13/8 form franked

Bets 08/08/2014

Yesterday I hit a 410/1 quad and made another £4k with 10/1, 6/1, 11/4 and 5/2 winners. I'm seriously wondering whether I should bother going back to work. Shades of Silk 4/1 was nabbed on the line which would have brought in 2000/1 five fold....

I have changed things in the last two weeks is I've reverted back to consistent staking (£250 on every selection), sacking off each way bets and used betfair to lay off at low odds. So the fact I've landed half a dozen bets over 10/1 at £250 on the nose has really paid off. I've not lost £1000 on any odds on horses like I have over the year and I've not lost any bets where I've been beaten by a head as they have traded out on betfair. I have to keep this up and if I can make another £15k this fortnight maybe I won't go back to work.....

3.40 Brighton - As long as the ground stays quick am keen on Muhawalah 3/1. Looks on a decent mark. Gutted there is an MJ horse in the race as his horses do me over but he looks a softer ground type horse though expect headgear will help him after hanging last time.

4.10 Brighton - Ronald Harris owes me about £2.5k after his 20/1 Fantasy Justifier nabbed Shades of Silk on the line yesterday. Noverre To Go 4/1 who won this last year of top weight can win it again. Panther Patrol is clearly the best handicapped horse in race but a lot of horses flop here so worth risking he does too. Steve Drowne better keep an eye on Ginzan this time though as he gave him first run last time and also hope he does not get trapped in on the rail.

4.00 Mussleburgh - Alex My Boy 6/4. "he’s a progressive type against some exposed horses we would be pretty disappointed if he couldn’t take care of these", says MJ. Has already been back very heavily.

5.00 Musselbourgh - A very cagey bet on Golden Future 9/1 who won this race last year of 3lb higher pretty easily.

5.40 Newmarket - Guilty 7/4 looks decent, with a course win and solid form.

6.05 Tipperary - Russian Soul 9/4

6.55 Haydock - I thought Alpine Affair 4/1 was really unlucky at Ascot last time. Once he got going he was flying and then Jamie Spencer, suprisingly didn't know which way to go. I have a huge nagging worry about the ground, but looking at his RPR ratings on GS and GF in early season they were similar so hopefully ground wont' be an issue and the blinkers will work magic again.

7.05 Tipperary - Love backing a 2nd string OAB nag. Cocoon 20/1

8.20 Newmarket - That Fast Track form is decent and I'd think Our Queenie 5/1 has every chance, but it does not look an easy race to pick and pehaps some of the older sprinters might do better. Of them Secret Witness 12/1 another Harris horse could be the one after a decent run behind Justineo

8.30 Haydock - Special Fighter is on a double penalty and looks better on fast. The Varian yard has coughing horses and his last 5 faves have been turned over. So have to take the front two on with Emerahldz 11/2 who ran very well against a very progressive Maid In Rio over C&D two races ago.