Saturday, 23 August 2014

Bets 23/08/2014

After Glenard and Pale M rocked home in first two yesterday I was lined up for phat trebles, but nothing else obliged!

Segal has gone for:

York 2.40 - Connecticut 6/1, Adventure Seeker 12/1
York 3.15 - Accepted 8/1
Goodwood 3.30 - Chil The Kite 7/1

So much racing today.....

York 2.05 - Farraaj 7/4 in top form, loves York, top rated, worthy fave.

Goodwood 2.20 - Effloerscence 11/4 RPR 90 on debut is impressive

York 2.40 - Connecticut 6/1, loves York, ahead of mark, could be great day for Cumani. Adventure Seeker does have a good chance like Segal suggests and also so does Fun Mac 20/1 based on same formline.

Goodwood 2.55 - Magic City 7/1 and Instrgaient 12/1 last's year 1 and 2 could battle out again. American Hope 7/1 has strongest form.

York 3.05 - Hmm. Might be wrong, but on paper I think Muhaarar 7/1 is better than Baitha Alga through Ivawood formlines. Technically so is Jungle Cat, but MJs horses never do well at York and have not done so again last few days.

Newmarket 3.20 - Warrior of Light 3/1, beat elders last time pretty easily and can make all again today

Goodwood 3.30 - Captain Cat 2/1

York 3.50 - I always knew if Glenard won I would go heavy on Pallasator 9/2. I did, but having looked at the card, Ted Veale 20/1 has a huge e/w chance on last year's run and the claim gets today and Mutual Regard 22/1 has solid form behind Pale Mimosa.

Newmarket 3.55 - Tropics 4/1 looks huge based on last run. Intrinsic however 3/1 could also be class after an easy win last time.

Goodwood 4.05 - Exceedingly 4/1 very strong debut form

Newmarket 4.30 - Fyrecracker 4/1 and Charles Molson 8/1 has served me well and think these conditions will suit them both. Charles massive chance with the Eastern Impact form

York 5.00 - Cumani could land a big double with Ajman Bridge 5/1, but it's tough. Raskova 15/2 won ran a blinder behind Tasaday over C&D must have a solid chance. Maybe Queensbury Rules 12/1 but cheekpieces have to work

York 5.35 - Royal Mezyan 13/2 big chance. Lacked fitness last time, but ran well. Won by 6lenghts in maiden over C&D 3 races ago and on that alone is ahead of mark.

Windsor 5.45 - Swiss Kiss 6/1 based on turf maidens could be well handicapped.

Windsor 6.15 - Certificate 15/8 ahead of mark

Windsor 6.45 - Al Kazeem Evs








Friday, 22 August 2014

Bets 22/08/2014

Today Segal has picked:
1.55 – Chancery 12/1, Stomachion 8/1
3.05 – Gabriels Lad 9/1
3.40 – Astaire 28/1, Rangali 16/1

Right quick stab.

1.55 – Wigmore Hall C&D winner in very good nick with 7lb claim. Bloody hell so many C&D winners. Tough. Saptapadi is interesting based on last C&D form. It’s rock solid, but he ran on Tuesday and probably knackered. I backed Glenard 16/1 last time out when 3rd and the winner of that race is 4/1 fave for the Ebor, second place smashed King Fete, fourth place won a decent C2H so it’s damn strong form. The unknown is the track though. Tempted by Pearl Castle, Communicator and Lahaag, but will stick with Wigmore and Glenard. Argh too many.

2.30 – Pale Mimosa 7/2 has solid consistent form and can go one better. Weld had two flops yesterday so hoping not a bad omen. Cavalryman clealy best horse in race at the moment, but age/recovery time might go against him here.

3.05 – That is The Spirit 8/1 has solid C&D form. 3yr olds do well in this and I know they thought of this horse as a Group horse.

3.40 – Astaire 28/1 good choice Segal and I’d never heard of Rangali 16/1 but also a good pick. I nailed this race last year with Jwala 40/1 and 3 years ago with Margot Did 20/1. It’s tough this one. Sole Power and Shea Shea are always top of any list but Sole Power is not reported to be in top nick but I don’t think you will ever get a chance to back Shea Shea at 8/1 ever again and this could be his day to break his UK duck. Looks like has been drawn well too. I’ve ignored Take Cover 8/1 his last two runs but he looks up to the task too although I’d be slightly worried it’s not quick enough.

4.20 – Dissolution 7/2 looks well fancied. I like the look of Bright Flash 22/1. I had the winner of her maiden but I thought she ran well considering a horrendous start and poor draw. Loads of money for Foreign Diplomat but no experience to name. They are both drawn low which will probably kill me though…

4.55 – Short Squeeze cake walked this race last year as he did yesterday. I should take note of that. Probably not worth looking away from the top 3 in this. Mooharib has a chance and Extremity 5/1 is exiting but watch Munaaser’s 5/2 last race. Canter.


Newmarket 1.35 – Stay Silent 4/5 best of those with experience

Ffos Las 1.45 – Heartbreak Hero Evs best form on show

Newmarket 2.45 – Pasticcio 3/1

Newmarket 3.20 – I met someone at Ascot who knows the Meehan stable well and he text me this morning to Alkhayyam 7/2 is one of their best young ones so hopefully a decent one then!

Newmarket 4.30 – Royal Flag’s Evs form with Elkaayed in debut is rock

Goodwood 5.40 – Best of Times 11/8 strong form


Goodwood 6.45 – Great chance back in handicap company; Phychometry 3/1

Thursday, 21 August 2014

Bets 21/08/2014

25 minutes card glancing earned me £3k yesterday. Blaine 22/1, Statuatory 12/1 placed, Postponed 4/1, Australia 4/6, Si Senor 2/1, Kibaar 20/1 placed. I doubt my luck will last and have even less time to look before work today and looks hard!!!

1.55 – Valley of Fire 10/1 is a decent C&D winner. Fast Act 6/1 represents Ryan who likes this horse. Ryan landed my Blaine yesterday and has won this race twice before in last 3 years. Segal has picked him and also picked Mubtaghaa 16/1 who has very good form behind Hootenanny. My pick is a massive outsider in Arthur Martinleake 40/1. That Loius DP form is working out well and I’ve taken lots of 10/1 placed on him. Silly race to bet on as even New Providence has a very good chance. ARGH.

2.30 – Cursory Glance 11/4

3.05 – Parbold 12/1 and Segal picked Passing Star 14/1

3.40 – Tag – Free Money

4.20 – Starlet 5/1 – Weld raider.

4.55 – Sparkle Factor 7/1 – Weld raider, Ticking Kate 18/1


5.15 Bath – Executrix 3/1

Wednesday, 20 August 2014

Bets 20/08/2014

Back to work and am struggling with punting time.

Segal has backed Jamaica 10/3 in 2.30, Postponed 6/1 in 3.05 and Telescope

1.55 - Segal has bailed out of this race. He is always first port of call, but I agree it's very hard. Not stopping me though. Blaine 20/1 looks a decent e/w bet. Would love York Glory 16/1 to bounce back but looks poor at the moment and I always have a dabble on Secret Witness 33/1 and Bogart 16/1 won this last year.

2.30 - Segal says Jamaica 10/3 as do Ladbrokes

3.05 - Segal says Postponed and I think has decent chance, but Kingston Hill 11/8 is surely the one who is leagues ahead on ratings? Problem is Varian and co are having a nightmare.

3.40 - Segal says Telescope 5/1 one close to my heart, but Australia 4/6 gets a massive weight allowance and is surely going to nail this. Ladbrokes say so

4.20 - Statutory 12/1 ran very well in Listed H here last time. Know goes the distance, step down in class and step up in trip, good chance. Totalize 12/1 step down is class and Bantam 8/1 progressive with good form look decent too.

4.55 - Shouldn't bet, but a 1 minute look points to Ternuntum Star 18/1, Kibaar 20/1 and Burtonwood 22/1

7.50 - Si Sinor 2/1

Sunday, 17 August 2014

Bets 17/08/2014

Pontefract 2.45 - Alex Vino 7/4 has plenty of lbs in hand on the face of it

Looking at Spinatrix, Imshivalla and Hesbaan, but not enough time to fully look.

Kingman should win in France.

Saturday, 16 August 2014

Bets 16/08/2014

No time today, so just very quickly:

3.05 Doncaster - Ya Latif 3/1
3.35 Newmarket - Winter Thunder Evs
3.50 Newbury - Gregorian 3/1

1pm update.. Also looking at Sir Guy Porteous 25/1, Eastern Impact 6/1, Seal of Approval 6/1, Doc Hay 14/1, Trader Jack 14/1

Friday, 15 August 2014

Bets 15/08/2014

3.00 Newcastle - Mukhayyam 11/10. Stoute has a 40% SR here so sure he knows what he is doing by sending this one a long way.

3.20 Newbury - I remember landing this race couple years ago with Lily In Pink off top weight and I think Novirak 8/1 could do the same. The favourite is a 3yr old who has been put up 10lb for race won 2 weeks ago and that looks harsh. He could well be decent but Novirak is decent. Look at the form; it is rock solid. Appreciate has been off for a while but Fanshawe knows how to ready a horse after time off.

3.35 Newcastle - Trinity Star 11/2 with Cheekpieces back on and could have done better last time with more luck.

3.50 Deauville - Evita Peron 9/1 is def capable of winning a G3 in these conditions.

3.55 Newbury - This comes down to which form is better. Anthem Alex, Osaila, Cotai Glory or Limato? Tiggy Wiggy represents Anthem Alex form and is rock solid but Limato is probably the strongest form. However looking at distances beaten, excuses and ground I am tentatively siding with Blue Aegean 4/1

4.10 Newcastle - Lobster Pot 15/8 finished a fair way behind Tea in Transvaal on debut and ought to improve with that experience. TIT finished a couple lengths behind Taghrooda so at this level this form will be decent

4.20 Nottingham - Who is further ahead of their mark Scallop or Cay Dancer? Cay won me a pot very easily last time and now up 6, although Cam gets rid 5 of those. And Scallop walloped a maiden field and looking through lines suggestion is wads ahead too. Hmm. I think Scallop 13/8 might be ahead by more as will also no doubt improve a wad too as only 3rd race. I got merked by two Stoute favourites the other day so hoping not another one!

4.30 Newbury - Munfallet 5/1 has now got head in front, is ahead of mark and can go on soft ground. He has been running well behind some well handicapped horses and can now take advantage.

5.00 Newbury - Too The Stars 6/1 cost £800G is so well bred that can't ignore.

6.30 Newmarket - Have notes saying "Applebly looking forward to running this one". Referring to Arabian Oasis 5/2. Has entry for Derby.