Saturday, 21 September 2024

Bets 21/09/2024

 Ayr 1.15 - Mr King 14/1ew. Form with the fave Mirsky can be turned around with the 6lb pull. Ignore lto race. That York race is the one to watch. Came from the back, switched couple times and found some extra gears twice to make up ground. Be very keen if price shortened to single figures.

Ayr 1.50 - Enfjaar 4/1. Varian @ Ayr 7f+ on GS or quicker is 10/20. Forget lto. Ran wide over too short. Should have one the Coral handicap. Is on the up and still unexposed. Varian won this before.

Ayr 2.25 - Tough. Lucky Man 30s on exchange. Won well lto, won of higher marks, trainer in good form and meets a bunch of trend. Its 14s with bookies so have to be very worried about this gap to the exchanges, but fook it. Spencer gone close twice with this race. Summerghand 7/1. Last time I do this :)

Ayr 3.35 - Rohaan 11/1ew. Massive chance. Solid run in the race lto. Lower in weights and comes into the race in better form. Good draw.

Ayr 4.40 - Abduction 6/1ew. Was a NR is the Silver Cup. Must think a good thing for this race if dropping out of that...? Ran well couple races back and now dropped to an attractive mark. C&D winner. Goldie in form. Fingers crossed

Ayr 5.15 - Kitsune Power 12/1ew. Consistent on turf. Easterby knocking on the door for a winner and gone close twice in this race. Back to good ground I think it's the best handicapped horse in race behind Eugen Glen who surely regressive now.


Newbury 1.30 - No Half Measures 8/1ew

Chester 4.15 - Radio Goo Goo 5/1ew

Newbury 5.35 - Retracement 5/1ew Chucked in

Sunday, 15 September 2024

Bets 15/09/2024

3 winners yesterday including a 16/1. 6 blanks.

Wanted to spend time on the cards today, but no chance. Half stakes.

Curragh 

1.50 - Strike Red 6/1

2.25 - Purple Lily 5/2 Strong form, still unexposed

3.00 - Red Letter 10/3

3.35 - She's Quality 25/1ew - New tactics worked last time out. Make all and win. Thanks. 

4.10 - Henni Mattisse Evs

4.45 - Kyprios 4/5

5.55 - Mashoor 18/1ew

Doncaster

2.05 - Brave Nation 9/2

2.40 - Parbous 9/2. Golden Mind 30/1

3.15 - Topango 12/1. Cell Sa Bella 40/1

3.45 - Hartswood 16/1ew

4.15 - Kings Lynn 15/2ew

4.50 - Young Fire 15/2ew

5.25 - Jump The Gun 40/1ew


Friday, 13 September 2024

Bets 14/09/2024

Donny

1.50 - Wolf of Badenoch 3/1 - Best horse on paper

2.25 - Aberama Gold 16/1ew. Solid course form. 9lb below last winning mark. Best handicapped horse on best form in race.Albasahaer 10/1. Not sure if this is the aim, but ran a massive race lto. Course winner. Shagraan was next on list.

3.00 - Poet Master 7/2. Assuming Kinross not the old force used to be, this is best horse in race. Lead Artist's rating is based of 1m, not 7f, so even though Poet Mast has a G2 penalty is the best on ratings. I am worried about Burke's current form, but hopefully class sees this C&D winner home.

3.40 - Sunway 5/1. Tough race. Aob running 3. No Ryan. JB surely too inexperienced? Illinois form with LA means Sunway is better value

4.15 - Dayofourlives 9/2


Bath

4.30 - Miss Show Down 10/1, Sabrimento 9/1 - Both well handicapped


Musselb

5.50 - Molten Sea 9/4 Probably chucked in if back to form




Saturday, 7 September 2024

Bets 08/09/2024

Man that was some nearly shizzle yesterday. Been keen on Kind of Blue for this race for a while and gutted to see Haggas in form. A lot of winners an places yesterday but no jackpot (again).

1.40 York - Windlord 13/8  - Form is decent

2.15 York - Grandlad 14/1ew. When Dorney Lake figures it out, is going to bolt up in a handicap. There seems to only be pace from Grandlad and Law of Average. Grandlad ran really well over C&D enough to show is well handicapped over C&D. My worry is Horton form, but has a 25% SR here.

3.25 York - MArkoon 10/3. Backed lto. I want redemption :) Is really well handicapped and Haggas is on fire again and won this last year.

4.00 York - Significantly 8/1ew back from small injury, down in class, solid C&D runner, trainer on fire.





Bets 07/09/2024

Ascot 

1.35 - Run Boy Run 10/1ew - Won on soft lto. Granger Bay has well and truly franked the form today. Spencer had 2/2 winners today. Turner is a positive booking as the pair are 29% win together.

Wizard of Eye looks like such an obvious bet, but worried about the ground being too soft? Maybe have a small cover on it


2.10 - The Reverend 4/1. Looks chucked in on paper. Haggas is 34% in 3year old handicaps in Aug/Sept within some other conditions which this meets.


3.20 - Rhetorical 3/1. Exactly same write up as above :) Hosaam the danger.


3.55 - Fresh 9/4 (TBC). Backed this AP for the 1.35 @ 8/1. Annoying running in this much weaker race. Should just win. Went very close in the International. New Image franked from. Won over C&D on soft. Big chance, but the problem is Rohaan. 5/5 over C&D when G3 or lower. Hmmm. Maybe the 10/1 Fresh / Rohaan rfc is safer play?

   

4.30 - Rowayeh 3/1 - Redemption day. Blocked last two times on turf including over C&D at RA.


5.05 - Badri 9/1ew. A solid C&D runner, in good form as is the trainer.


Haydock 

1.50 - Master Builder 5/2 - The York form is decent.

3.35 - Kind of Blue 20/1ew - Backed this Antepost. Not sure can win as didn't improve s much as hoped lto. 4 or 5 could back in this, so no leaving it.


Thirsk

6.10 - Oso Rapido 20/1ew. Loves this race and can win off this mark. Ignore last race. Was running from 14lb out the handicap. Very odd. Race before wasn't great but C&D horses can always bounce back. Trainer in good nick









Saturday, 31 August 2024

Bets 31/08/2024

Time constraints today. See how far get....

2.10 Chester - Marchogion 9/1ew

2.40 Chester

Boardman 12/1ew earlier in the week. Winner in waiting.

Under Siege 5/1

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4.35 Curragh

Shayzann 11/1ew meets a bunch of trends and is defo well handicapped based on lto

Narmar 50/1ew Drifted to bottom of the market as if has no chance. In it's last 3 non-handicap runs horses around it suggest is defo well handicapped off 85. Could have won the premier handicap at Leopardstown, but started slowly and got blocked a number of times. Ran poorly lto on yielding ground and ran badly on soft/yielding on only other run on slow ground. Good ground tomorrow. Bookie the Seff. Why is it drifting like this? Maybe cos' Brommers who is in top form rn, is 0-50 at Curragh?

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1.30 Beverley - Walter Hartright 9/4

2.05 Beverley - Democracy Dilemma 9/2ew

4.55 Beverley - Zapphire 11/2ew


Saturday, 24 August 2024

Bets 24/08/2024

Could have, should have with Canoodled. Had Vauban, Shadow Dance and Al Noud in a trixie. If only put Canoodled (who of course wasn't held up in, instead of Al Noud!

Ground will be a massive unknown now with all the rain so going half stakes.


1.50 - Phantom Flight 8/1ew to make all and be gone. Decent current form. Best run probably at this festival couple year back when bolted in by 5 lengths in a handicap. Scott in decent nick. If you exclude the 3 year olds who historically struggle in this race, doesn't have that much to find on ratings.


2.25 - Equator 9/1ew. Don't like this race, but this is dropping in class from the Queens Vase and is ahead of mark. Jock is the worry.


3.00 - Audience 13/8. Is pretty much one stone better than anything in this field.


3.35 - Hipop De Loire 15/2 ew, Relentless Voyager 14/1ew both well handicapped for in form trainers. Burdett Road, My Mate Mozzie and Wise Eagle all on the shortlist but two is enough!


4.10 - Summerghand 9/1ew. Dark Thirty 28/1ew. Summerghand ran a blinder lto and now going for a hatrick in this race of a much lower mark. Dark Thirty is well handicapped and drawn near the only pace in the race.


4.45 - Ardennes 28/1ew, Fuji Mountain 33/1ew. Darts for fun only. Stupid race.


5.10 - Chasing Aphrodite 18/1ew won like a well handicapped horse at Sandown. A good 5lb claim and will try to make all. Andaleep 16/1ew is going to win soon. I don't think draw works today but not taking the risk :)