Bets 12/01/2013

I knew My Tent Or Yours was solid. Good lump job. He’s now been battered for the Betfair Hurdle. Should have got on at close to 10/1. Foolish. I do have him at 20/1 for the Supreme however. Looks like a mental day of racing today and I hope I can pull something out the bag and not take another Saturday battering. Two horses that keep flying up the handicap racing today ; Pete The Feat and Loose Chips. Can they go in again?

Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped:

Kempton 2.40 – Buck Magic 12/1

Warwick 3.35 – Quentin Collonges 14/1

Hoping that Tetlami and The New One are bankers, but either way a lot good racing to enjoy.

Kempton 12.55 – Shouldn’t bet in small fields I know, but should be an easy win for Tetlami 4/7. Chief threat Kie ran a shocker here last time at Kempton and Escort’Men doesn’t look like has the class

Kempton 2.05 – Cruchain 8/1 won this last year and bounced back from average from to do that. 8lb lower this time so great chance to go in again.

Kempton 2.40 – Wow. Will be a good race. Loose Chips is up 12lb which will surely holt his progress even though he beat some decent horses. Jockey switch now might not be ideal either so will cross off. Oscar Dara doesn’t look that well treated and either does Bear’s Affair. I’m left with Lamb or Cod, Topolski and Araldur. I backed Araldur 14/1 couple days agao. Hope he still has some to give with chase mark being higher. The one the sponsors are keeping short is Lamb or Cod 16/1. Willhill are 9/1. I’ve tried to capitalise on that from line and it’s been hit and miss but generally pretty strong. Fats called out Secret Edge 40/1 who might be so low in weights now that could pop up, but faith is required and other one I like at a big price is Topolski 40/1. Also back down the weights and might be one for a place, but massively tentative.

Kempton 3.15 – Baile Anrai 10/1 is the one that interests me. Poor show last time, but if the talent he showed last year finds it’s way back, he is definitely the one to beat, but has to bounce bounce bounce.

Kempton 3.50 – Starluck 12/1 is a solid C&D performer and if you take his penultimate race and lower him 7lb he would have got pretty close to winning that race which was won by Petit Robin. Trainer close to winning 1/3 horses he sends here and is in decent enough form.

Warwick 1.15 – Kapga De Cerisy 5/1 has a few jumping issues, but 2m3f always seemed to far to step back will help curb tiredness and hopefully sharpen up jumping in back end of race. The form with Handrian’s Approach has worked out very very well.

Warwick 2.25 – Have been wanting to back The Package 4/1 all day yesterday but I didn’t realise it meant a switch back to hurdles. I still think the Hennessey form is by far the best form on show here and previous attempts were very far enough, so still stacks up in my mind. The other one with a chance is Holywell 6/1. Trustan Times form is decent for this level and the claim will help.

Warwick 3.00 – The New One 11/10 has been in my notebook for a while. Decent form with My Tent Or Yours on NHF and mighty impressive jumping performances too.

Warwick 3.35 – Segal has tipped up Quentin Collonges and not for the first time, I cannot see why. With it likely to be soft he has no noteworthy form of soft to take heed off. I’m going to be brave and not back it because clearly we have Pete The Fete, but has he beaten anything of worth? I think more importantly we have Bradley 13/2 who was just beaten by Monbeg Dude who we all know beat Teaforthree in the Welsh National and we also have Rigadin De Beauchene 7/1 whose form with Well Refreshed cannot be ignored.

Warwick 4.05 – This is surely one for a market check, but I followed Hobbs over NHF’s so Calusa Storm 10/1 is the one I’m backing blindly.

Total Staked £923.64, Total Returned £967.64

£30.00 The New One Evs - WIN £60.00

£15.00 e/w Kapga De Cerisy 9/2 - PLACED £28.50

£15.00 e/w Crunchain 11/2 - NR £30.00

£32.50 The New One 10/11 - WIN £62.05

£100.00 The New One 8/11 - WIN £172.73

£45.00 e/w Doubles, Trebles and Accs N/A - PLACED £116.35

£30.00 e/w The Package 4/1 - LOSE £30.00 (Paddy Power money back)

£15.00 e/w Starluck 9/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Secret Edge 33/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Topolski 50/1 - LOSE £0.00 £15.00 e/w Bradley 13/2 - LOSE £0.00 £30.00 The Package 7/2 - LOSE £0.00 £1.50 e/w Lamb or Cod 16/1 - LOSE £0.00 £98.14 Tetlami 4/9 - WIN £141.76 £15.00 e/w Baile Anrai 10/1 - LOSE £0.00 £15.00 e/w Holywell 6/1 - PLACED £37.50 £15.00 e/w Calusa Storm 10/1 - LOSE £0.00 £15.00 e/w Buck Magic 12/1 - PLACED £60.00 £15.00 e/w Rigadin De Beauchene 7/1 - WIN £161.25 £15.00 e/w Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00 £45.00 e/w Doubles, Trebles and Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00

Antepost Bets: £15.00 e/w Araldur 14/1 - PLACED £67.50