Saturday, 19 January 2013

Bets 19/01/2013

Next week’s racing is now going to be a BIG race weekend as it’s likely most who were due to run today will postpone their Cheltenham prep race till then. Thursday was a good day from an ego perspective but not fully financially. Couldn’t decide whether Master of the Sea was well handicapped but had an ink, and turned out he was but didn’t back it, had a sneaky suspicion Quito would bounce back at 16/1. He did but didn't back it. And at Meydan had two 2nd places and 2 wins despite pretty big fields so was a happy boy.  Had a lie in today as knew was no need to get onto any pricewise tips. There’s no major punting today which is fine. I can finally write up my end of year review! Well, maybe. Might smash COD all day!

Naas 2.10 – Aupcharlie 1/2 has the form in the book and is 6lb clear of OR with Tofino Bay surely the biggest danger but will look to double with something.

Naas 2.45 – Un Atout 2/5 has been backed for Chelts all morning which is usually a sign that he’ll oblige today. Think this means a double with Aupcharlie @ Evs, but no singles betting.

Meydan does not look as exciting as Thursday, in fact there is a lot of averageness floating about which is always a dangerous punting game as unknown quantities pop up left, right and centre. However I can’t help but have a punt and I can watch all previous videos on YouTube J

Meydan 2.30 – Earl of Carrick 7/4 has okay C&D form, is best on OR and just need to hope gets a good start. Cosgrave – sort him out.

Meydan 3.05 – Count Paris 12/1 got stuck in traffic drifted wide and was flashing home last time out. Decent chance with a better passage. Mark to Market 8/1 and a very bad start last time and that may have cost him the race. Runs of same mark. R f/c? Surely not!

Meydan 3.40 – Stalking Shadow is on an extremely dangerous mark but has been off the track a long time and hope Khor Dubai is not well in and fully on the decline. Instead Sand Stamp 5/1 has the best form over C&D here and he was flying home so the extra furlong should help

Meydan 4.15 – Really struggling with this one. Firestreak, Mutheeb and Noor Zabeel all big prices and catch my eye, but it’s the latter 16/1 who I’d hope can step back up to previous levels back over this C&D.

Meydan 4.50 – That Busker form is available again here so may as well stick with it and get on Habda 11/2. The step back up in distance is definitely in favour.

Meydan 5.25 - The last race is too hard to pick between the SBS horses. It really is. However, either someone has tipped up Flag Officer 11/4 or there is genuinely huge confidence behind him. Was 5/1 this morning. The market is not always right though, however the Sea Moon form ought to be the best on offer even though was a 6lb difference. Sea Moon got pretty close to Danedream and trashed Dunaden so hopefully the market is right today.

I have a free bet in the Kempton 1.45 race for picking the winner of last C4 live race so will have a look:

Kempton 1.45 – Ha what a rubbish race to have a free bet on. No point back a favourite. The long shot Dancing Welcome 16/1 has decent C&D form and is on a uber low mark so might, might be the one.

Total Staked £490.00, Total Returned £187.50
£30.00 Earl of Carrick 7/4 - WIN £82.50
£15.00 e/w Sand Stamp 4/1 - PLACED £30.00
£15.00 e/w Hadba 11/2 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Flag Officer 5/2 - LOSE £0.00
£95.00 e/w Doubles, Trebles and Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Count Paris 12/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Mark to Market 8/1 - PLACED £45.00
£15.00 e/w Noor Zabeel 16/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Dancing Welcome 20/1 - LOSE £30.00 (Money back with b365)
£30.00 e/w Doubles, Trebles and Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00

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