Saturday, 9 February 2013

Bets 09/02/2013

Just got in from a uber good night and it's 4am. Uh oh. Yesterday was nearly a solid 16/1 e/w placed acc, but Pete The Pete let the team down, but still did very well! Leopardstown is going to sort a lot of form lines out and will be have to tread carefully but there are a couple who I have my eye on.

For now Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racing Post has tipped 4 horses up:

Newbury 1.50 - Rangitoto 8/1
Leopardstown 2.15 - Buthelezi 8/1
Newbury 2.25 - Menorah 8/1
Newbury 3.35 - Claret Cloak 14/1

I may well still be passed out by the time racing starts, but I'll try and look at cards before midday. Really try...

Midday update...I've lost the plot and looked at nearly every race. Whoops...

Warwick 12.55 – The form of Open Day’s 4/1 last race has worked out very very well.

Warwick 1.30 – Official OR say Kelles Belle 7/1 as does trainer/jockey combo at track (5 wins out of 6)

Warwick 2.05 – Same trainer/jockey combo as last and even Nicholls reckons Molotof 3/1 is the one to beat

Warwick 2.40 – On paper Majala is the one to beat but Fago 10/11 is the one to step up

Warwick 3.15 – I should not have looked at this race. Duke of Monmouth 7/1 has a massive chance on form as does Faultless Feelings 8/1. Annoyingly Be My Light 10/1 is ringing in my head as the stat bet. I can’t back all 3 can I? Argh

Uttoexter 2.50 – Slighty random race to choose, maybe I’m still hungover, but chance taken on Victoria Rose 16/1 who has solid C&D next to name, but also one massive C&D flop. Hopefully fitter now and low enough in weights.

Newbury 1.15 – I’m still a bit peeved that Chatterbox 8/11 beat My Tent or Yours and still blame McCoy for that, but hopefully he’ll start the bandwagon for Henderson today

Newbury 1.50 – Segal’s has tipped Rangitoto. Nicholls says has decent each way chance. This is a really tough race and so many formlines on show and the one that stands out the most is Sivola De Sivola 9/1 and the one that is definitely worth chancing is Spirit River 33/1 who has huge jumping issues but on his day is top notch.

Newbury 2.25 – I know why Segal has tipped Menorah, but even though I’ve not really given Silviniaco Conti 8/11 enough credit he is freaking good and despite Nicholls saying he will come on for the run he is rock solid

Newbury 3.00 – Clearly disappointing Simonsig isn’t running, but Hendo can still win the race with French Opera 5/2

Newbury 3.35 – I’ve already backed Cotton Mill and Punjabi Antepost as per Segal’s tips. My feelings about My Tent Or Yours 5/1 is clear. Very good horse and must go very close in this insane race! At a long price Caid Du Berlais 28/1

Newbury 4.10 – this is Nicholls race and he saddles a mighty impressive Unioniste 4/5. Slightly concerning Nicholls puts a punters warning out on this though stating it’s a very competitive race and he’ll come on for the race

Newbury 4.40 – Vago Collonges 11/4 has some seriously strong French form. I might go big with this one, but we’ll see if market keeps speaking for him.

Leopardstown 1.15 – Blood Cotil 5/2 has been hugely talked up and Ruby said in his Irish Examiner column before Xmas that he was the best juvenile he'd sat on this year. Doesn’t mean there is not one better that he has not ridden because Diakali looks pretty decent too.

Leopardstown 1.45 – Lough Roe Lady 9/1 was given far too much to do last time out. Think is still on a winning mark

Leopardstown 2.15 – Martin pulled off a shock in this race last year and he could well do it again with Wingtips 18/1 who will benefit from extra couple of furlongs.

Leopardstown 2.45 – Last year’s Albert Barlett runner up Boston Bob 5/4 is just a horse I really like. Battered Lyreen Legend over hurdles when giving 10lb which essentially removes Texas Jack, Lord W and Star N if you work through form lines.

Leopardstown 3.20 – What a race this will be. I think I might finally concede that Flemenstar is the better horse, but on this ground does his stamina hold out? If Sir Des Champs fixes up on his jumping I think over C&D might well have Flemenstar. The fly is Bog Warrior. If he translates his form back over chase obstacles 12/1 does seem attractive. I’ve putting my money in my pocket and going to enjoy the spectacle.

Total Staked £1,075.00, Total Returned £940.14

Antepost:
£15.00 e/w Cotton Mill 16/1 - PLACED £75.00

Todays Bets
£15.00 e/w Kells Belle 7/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Faultless Feelings 8/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Be My Light 10/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Chatterbox 8/11 - WIN £67.50
£30.00 Silviniaco Conti 4/5 - WIN £54.00
£30.00 Unioniste 4/5 - WIN £54.00
£90.00 Vago Collonges 11/4 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Lough Roe Lady 9/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Wingtips 8/1 - PLACED £69.00
£15.00 e/w Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Forecast N/A - WIN £90.90
£15.00 e/w Victoria Rose 16/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Open Day 4/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Molotof 3/1 - WIN £120.00
£15.00 e/w Duke of Monmouth 7/1 - PLACED £41.25
£15.00 e/w Spirit River 33/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Sivola De Sivola 10/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 Silviniaco Conti 8/11 - WIN £25.91
£30.00 Blood Cotil 5/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Rangitoto 6/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Buthelezi 8/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Menorah 8/1 - PLACED £39.00
£30.00 Fago 10/11 - LOSE £0.00
£35.00 e/w Accumulators N/A - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Claret Cloak 14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 French Opera 5/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Caid Du Berlais 28/1 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 My Tent Or Yours 5/1 - WIN £180.00
£30.00 Boston Bob 6/4 - WIN £75.00
£45.00 e/w Accs N/A - PLACED £48.58

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