Friday, 15 February 2013

Bets 16/02/2013

I heart Meydan. 3 winners, 1 forecast, 2 places from 7 bets on Thursday and it's back tomorrow, albeit not overly exciting. Prices aren't up yet so will have to wait till tomorrow to tuck into them. I've had a punt on Ascot tonight because I am up and out early am tomorrow. Will update will Pricewise and rest of meets in the morning.

Ascot 1.30 – Using Many Clouds as a marker Up and Go should beat Aaim To Prosper. McCain won this last year and this crew are in good nick (Exc Peddlers!). Cooper Birch has form with At Fishers Cross although AFC cruised that. Sausalito Sunrise could easily improve. Argh. Okay staying away.

Ascot 2.05 – Rocky Creek looks a decent prospect and is clearly improving. Houblon arguably has stayed on a par last few races but has serious form in the book and with Harry Topper as a marker would be close to a dead heat. Real Milan got 13 lenghts closer to Brindinis Breeze than Rocky Creek did over hurdles and has done nothing wrong in first two chase starts. Tour Des Champs is not that bad either! Argh. Staying away from this too.

Ascot 2.40 – Vino Griego won at a big price last month and never saw that coming. 10lb higher in higher class. Can he do it again? Hmm, not convinced. I’m writing this on Friday eve so can’t tell what the ground will be like but there’s no rain forecast and I’m hoping moves towards good to soft. The reason is Tatenen 10/1. If it were too soft he may just struggle to finish off, but if not he has won a couple of decent handicaps here off similar weights and any rustiness should be oiled after Chelts.

Ascot 3.15 – Was desperately looking for a big price in this race and got as close as El Dancer 28/1, but he looks about half a stone too high now, but perhaps still e/w value. The one I have to be with is General Miller 13/2. Has been off for a while but you only have to glance at form to see he is best fresh, got to 5 lengths of Overturn in a handicap and is now 5lb lower and beat Menorah on level weights. All the Friday evening money is for The Bear Trap

Ascot 3.50 – Finian really doesn’t look comfortable with give in the ground. I can never call Cue Card or Captain Chris. OR says the latter, gut says Somersby who is at best at Ascot, but nagging worry about trip. It’s probably another to stay away from for me though!

Ascot 4.25 – Far West 4/5 has a huge 4yr old allowance and River Maigue would be a very very good horse if he was to overturn that. It’s a 4 horse race and so not really worth getting too heavily involved if at all. Maybe on the forecast.

Ascot has a lot of small trappy races today and if I was forced to pick on the ones I’ve not committed too I’d go Up and Go, Rocky Creek, Somersby, Far West, but I far prefer Tatenen and General Miller!

Haydock 2.20 – Probably not as easy as it initially looks as I think proven runners at Haydock are always ones to keep on side, so how then do you pick between Kentford Grey Lady and Trustan Times. On paper it really has to be the former using Reve De Sivola as a marker but I’m keen on betting on it, maybe the forecast for value

Haydock 2.55 – Monbeg won the Welsh National with ease. Anyone who saw that race couldn’t possibly think Teaforthree can beat him. MD was never asked a question until the last few furlongs. If you want to find one from that race surely Triggerman 14/1 has to be the one who is 15lb better of the MD this time round!

Haydock 4.05 – Cloudy Too 9/2 is down in class and in good form. Ohio Gold looks a tad flattered by form with Majala and Fago as they both won very easily against OG.

Haydock 4.40 – A chasing favourite of mine Hold On Julio 11/4 can exploit his low hurlding mark!

Wincanton 2.30 – I remember backing Coup Royale 20/1 couple of years ago and kept on smashing him and his price collapsed and he ran out and easy winner of a mark technically 6lb higher. Must be worth a punt again and looks like the price is collapsing again too.

Wincanton 4.15 – I half bet Jumps Road 10/1 a couple of weeks back and he just didn’t stay the trip and it turned out to be a decent race (I reckon). Chance back down in trip.

Gowran Park 3.10 – Zaidpour & Wincanton 3.35 – Zarkandar Double 6/4

7.25am update... Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped up the following today:

Ascot 2.40 - Vino Griego 5/1
Haydock 2.55 - Well Refreshed 8/1
Ascot 3.15 - Whitby Jack 8/1

Meydan has no prices up yet so will have to do it on the go....

Meydan 2.45 – Rubbish race but Petty Officer.

Meydan 4.30 – I’d give Mark To Market one last chance, but will need a clean break.

Meydan 5.05 – Dr Faustus has run two decent races and can continue progress!

Meydan 5.40 – Moonlight Dash

Total Staked £717.60, Total Returned £1084.01

£15.00 e/w Vino Griego 4/1 - WIN £90.00
£15.00 e/w El Dancer 28/1 - LOSE £0.00
£9.20 Far West 4/6 - WIN £16.87
£9.20 Rocky Creek Evs - WIN £18.40
£9.20 Up and Go 2/1 - WIN £27.60
£30.00 e/w Accumulators N/A - WIN £330.00
£30.00 Utopie Des Bordes 11/10 - WIN £63.00
£15.00 e/w Tatenen 7/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w General Miller 13/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Somersby 9/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Triggerman 12/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Cloudy Too 4/1 - WIN £102.00
£30.00 Hold on Julio 11/4 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Coup Royale 12/1 - NR £30.00
£15.00 e/w Jumps Road 6/1 - WIN £136.88
£15.00 e/w Petty Officer 6/1 - PLACED £40.50
£30.00 Mark to Market 5/6 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Dr Faustus 9/1 - PLACED £48.75
£15.00 e/w Moonlight Dash 17/2 - PLACED £46.88
£45.00 e/w Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Whitby Jack 13/2 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Well Refreshed 11/2 - WIN £133.13
£15.00 e/w Accs N/A - LOSE £0.00

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