Tom Pricewise Segal has gone for a few big priced ones today. Hope one comes in:
Haydock 1.50 - Hollow Tree 25/1
Haydock 3.30 - Barizan 20/1
Ascot 3.50 - Cape Classic 16/1, Bertiewhittle 16/1
I've gone for a few based on old form(hasn't worked out well for me this year), based purely on stats(just feel like it today) and the usual based on current formlines (which is all I really should punt on as has worked out well this year):
Ascot 1.30 – On stats
only. Channon has run 3 horses in this and won with all 3. He runs Finflash 8/1
today.
Ascot 2.05 – I know
I went a bit mental at Chester looking for outsiders and it went tits up, but Tinshu
22/1 looks overpriced. I know why though. Doubts about stamina and also the top
3 look solid enough in the betting and Scatter Dice 5/1 looks the best of the 3.
Nottingham 2.15 –
On stats only. Duke Cosimo 6/4. Stoute 37% SR and teams up with Eaves with a SR
of 30%
Lingfield 2.20 – Secret
Gesture 4/5 has money for it. Interesting because Miss You Too does look solid
behind Havana Gold and Just The Judge. I’ll follow the hype though.
Haydock 2.25 –
Hanseatic 5/4 looked very green last time out. Hopefully learned a lot and will
step up.
Ascot 2.40 – Main
Sequence 11/10
Lingfield 2.55 –
Greatwood 8/13
Ascot 3.25 –
Westwiththewind 7/4
Lingfield 3.25 – Sheikhzayedroad
7/4
Haydock 3.30 –
Now the ground is fast have no choice but to go Forgotten Voice 6/1
Ascot 3.50 – Wow.
There are front runners drawn low, in the middle and high. I made a shortlist,
it has 14 horses on it! Ha. I have to decide which formline is better. Jack Dexter,
Tartiflette, Move in Time or Haaf a Sixpence. Feck. Lightening Cloud 14/1 looks
to have chances based on his last two runs. I’ll also give Tartiflette 14/1
another go despite the 6lb rise but one I really like the look off is Jamesie
14/1. That Leopardstown race is seriously strong form!
Lingfield 4.00 – For
some reason I backed Ultrasonic last night. Hunch maybe, who knows. Looking at
the card now I would have gone Lily’s Angel but I’ve already bet
Ascot 4.25 – Now I’m
going mental, but some formlines I like in both of these, albeit old time form.
Clear Spring 33/1 and Lunar Deity 28/1
Haydock 4.40 –
Fry has won with 3 of his last 4 horses. King of The Night 10/1 has been
dropped 15lb which I can’t understand. I must be missing something, because I
thought Theatrical Star was massively underrated. Looks like a cheeky find!?
Sure the market will dig this one out at some point
Warwick 6.35 – On
stats only. Kopkap 7/1. Ed McMahon 43% SR and 25% at the track. In the last 5
years his 2yr old SR is 19% (+£38.77)
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