Love it when I land a 25/1 shot. I only backed it as AOB said was decent. Backed it last two times and flopped but just won this time. Annoyed about Ambivalent. If I would have known Segal backed it @ 4/1 I wouldn't have touched it as value would have disappered! Oh well.
Windsor 7.30 - I backed Perfect Cracker 3/1 £75 ew last night. It's drifted to 6/1. Can't be good news. I watched the video 3 times and I really don't think the favourite can turn this around with 1lb difference. The market thinks will though. Hmmm
Monday, 30 June 2014
Sunday, 29 June 2014
Bets 29/06/2014
Saved by the last yesterday. Just went all in. And as a result of Osborne's lot being in good nick I am really look forward to seeing Toast of New York win across the pond.
2.40 Salisbury - Secret Millionaire 5/2.
4.15 Salisbury - Sunny Future 2/1
4.20 Curragh - Ambivalent 15/8
Not going to get too involved at Curragh as don't have time. Might look at I am Beautiful 25/1 and Carlo Bugatti 4/1
2.40 Salisbury - Secret Millionaire 5/2.
4.15 Salisbury - Sunny Future 2/1
4.20 Curragh - Ambivalent 15/8
Not going to get too involved at Curragh as don't have time. Might look at I am Beautiful 25/1 and Carlo Bugatti 4/1
Saturday, 28 June 2014
Bets 28/06/2014
Decent winners yesterday. As predicted Johnston is starting his resurgence. Segal is obviously aware of the same and today he has picked:
4.50 Curragh - Cappella 11/8
5.45pm Update... Half time so a cheeky punt at Donny..
7.05 Donny - Amadeus Wolfe Tone 7/1 absolutely smashed that last race. Watch it. C&D winner and trainer bang in form...
7.40 Donny - Macs Superstar 8/1 knows round courses, his AW form is good. Worth ew
8.05 - High on Life 2/1 great chance...
3.15 Newcastle - Almargo 7/1
3.50 Newcastle - Oriental Fox 14/1
4.15 Curragh - Alban Star 10/1, Alkasser 11/1
Tough day off punting and I'm banking on the ground staying Good or quicker at Newmarket. Can't predict the weather, so could blow out….
2.20 Newmarket - Zen Un Nita 3/1. La Cuesta ran behind Littlemissblakeney got marked by this horse so ZUN could be very good. No surprise of Parsley wins based on Hannon record in this.
2.55 Newmarket - Battalion is one of my favourite horses in training mainly as I've won when he has and avoided when lost. I'm convinced needs soft ground, so will leave again. I like Sheikhzayedroad 7/2. Goes on this ground. Just want Martin to get a decent start. Think headgear has sharpened him up too.
3.30 Newmarket - Do I give up on Garwood 7/2. Hmm. Not sure about this. Givens Hannons record in this and how well Professor ran at Ascot, maybe Indignant 14/1 ew work a pop.
4.05 Newmarket - I know Wedding Ring beat Manderley 11/4, but Manderley has decent form in the book. The 1k is not as strong as the 2k, but Euro Charlene and Ithimal have hardly been disgraced.
4.40 Newmarket - Seagull 6/5 looks set to turn tables with Rosehill Artist and we know Seagull goes well at Newmarket.
5.15 Newmarket - TOUGH. If Urban Dance reverts back to 3yr old form over C&D will go well. I'm not sure why Llanarmoon Lad was withdrawn last time out. I had £1k on him to win. Tanseeb 13/2 has form written all over him after Sea Shanty ran a blinder at Ascot. Almany is ahead of handicapper based on last run at Newmarket, but not sure what happened last time. Regulation 22/1 has to be worth a punt on his Meydan form
5.45 Newmarket - Not sure what happened to Midnite Angel. If returned to best would romp this off this mark, but can't have it. I really want Waveguide 3/1 to win, more because I like Lewis Walsh. Reckon one to watch.
2.05 Newcastle - Muthmir is interesting. Not a lump job by any means, but a lot of money for him. In fact staying away because Barron could also nail this with either Tarooq or Mississippi and Lack Lee might cause them issues. Me leave be…
2.40 Newcastle - Not sure if should start back 3yr olds against elders just yet, but Saayerr 9/4 looks good.
3.15 Newcastle - Another tough handicap. I'm not fully convinced Almargo ran that well at Ascot. Happy to be proved wrong, as the form is very good, but I'm on Dream Walker 7/1. In good nick, has won over C&D and the Chil The Kite form is just as good in my book. Has the Osin too.
3.50 Newcastle - Very hard. The top of the market looks pretty much right. In that case I'm going other end. Ardlui 28/1 would have got close to winning this off this mark today last year. Is in absolutely dire form, but could bounce back. More realistically though Angel Gabriel 6/1 should not be out of the places.
5.00 Newcastle - Desert Colours 11/2 bumped into a decent one last time. Still reckon is improvement to come.
3.05 Windsor - Border Legend 11/2 strong form, god mark.
3.40 Windsor - I've never been an Ocean Tempest 10/3 fan, but looks decent if ground not quick. Horses have won this with a penalty before.
4.10 Windsor - Stevens really likes Gamesome. Ashman Sam has a decent chance. So does Morache Music. They are in top 3, can't decide so leaving be.
4.15 Curragh - Fly To The Moon 16/1. If you look at Focus on Venice as a marker then Alkasser has 10lb to find on FTTM. Now clearly if you watch all the races, Alkasser looks class and is only this short as Segal backed him. This is hard though. Barkston Ash and Greek Caynon maybe too. Allow this....
4.50 Curragh - Cappella 11/8
5.45pm Update... Half time so a cheeky punt at Donny..
7.05 Donny - Amadeus Wolfe Tone 7/1 absolutely smashed that last race. Watch it. C&D winner and trainer bang in form...
7.40 Donny - Macs Superstar 8/1 knows round courses, his AW form is good. Worth ew
8.05 - High on Life 2/1 great chance...
Friday, 27 June 2014
Bets 27/06/2014
A gloomy morning. Hope the rain does not scupper everything I am about to take on....
3.35 Doncaster - I was ready to back Moohaarib 7/1 because he romped his last race. Botti says he will become group class too. So am a bit annoyed that the person who tipped up the 8/1 yesterday said that there is a good word for Knavery 15/8. If he/she genuinely has inside info then Knavery it is, but I'll cover Moo too.
Doncaster 5.20 - Eagle Rock 15/8 ran very well behind Totalize who is fancied for the Northumberland plate.
Curragh 6.55 - Third Dimension 11/2
Newcastle 7.10 - Marsh Daisy beat Eastern Belle and Lily Rules beat Eastern Belle. In my book that means Lily Rules 7/2 beats Pelerin. Lily Rules also advantage of winning here before. If a 4yr old wins this with 12lb extra I'll be amazed and that horse will be good. Annoyingly again this person has said is a good word for Pelerin 6/4!
Chester 7.20 - If Cossetted 15/8 is not held up too much then can take this. Has best form in book. I am worried that the Johnston nag will bolt off and not be caught but lets hope jockey instructions are strong.
Newcastle 7.45 - Robot Boy 9/2 looks good enough to go in again over 5f. Last year the low draw was a massive advantage, but interestingly and not sure if it's coincidence, but everything drawn high has turned blue on oddschecker! Bookie trap? I've never heard of Georgia Cox but if she is worth her 7lb claim then Asian Trader 11/1 not out of it. Magical Macey won this last year but thinks needs softer ground.
Newcastle 8.20 - Anderiego 13/8 pulled really far clear of 3rd place last time and hoping no more Circumvents in the race.
Chester 9.00 - Take a chance on Crafted 15/8 to be as good on turf, make all from low draw and win.
Newmarket 9.10 - Holley Shiftwell 3/1 can return to form after first run back
Newcastle 9.20 - Noble Asset 4/1 down in class to resume winning ways
3.35 Doncaster - I was ready to back Moohaarib 7/1 because he romped his last race. Botti says he will become group class too. So am a bit annoyed that the person who tipped up the 8/1 yesterday said that there is a good word for Knavery 15/8. If he/she genuinely has inside info then Knavery it is, but I'll cover Moo too.
Doncaster 5.20 - Eagle Rock 15/8 ran very well behind Totalize who is fancied for the Northumberland plate.
Curragh 6.55 - Third Dimension 11/2
Newcastle 7.10 - Marsh Daisy beat Eastern Belle and Lily Rules beat Eastern Belle. In my book that means Lily Rules 7/2 beats Pelerin. Lily Rules also advantage of winning here before. If a 4yr old wins this with 12lb extra I'll be amazed and that horse will be good. Annoyingly again this person has said is a good word for Pelerin 6/4!
Chester 7.20 - If Cossetted 15/8 is not held up too much then can take this. Has best form in book. I am worried that the Johnston nag will bolt off and not be caught but lets hope jockey instructions are strong.
Newcastle 7.45 - Robot Boy 9/2 looks good enough to go in again over 5f. Last year the low draw was a massive advantage, but interestingly and not sure if it's coincidence, but everything drawn high has turned blue on oddschecker! Bookie trap? I've never heard of Georgia Cox but if she is worth her 7lb claim then Asian Trader 11/1 not out of it. Magical Macey won this last year but thinks needs softer ground.
Newcastle 8.20 - Anderiego 13/8 pulled really far clear of 3rd place last time and hoping no more Circumvents in the race.
Chester 9.00 - Take a chance on Crafted 15/8 to be as good on turf, make all from low draw and win.
Newmarket 9.10 - Holley Shiftwell 3/1 can return to form after first run back
Newcastle 9.20 - Noble Asset 4/1 down in class to resume winning ways
Thursday, 26 June 2014
Bets 26/06/2014
Terrible yesterday. I have an exam at midday, so can't punt until 3pm (ish). Until then...
2.10 Carlisle - Sunraider 5/2
Be back later
2.30pm update... Exam passed, horse lost. Urgh. Got a tip from a new person am following. 3.00pm Newcastle Great Park 8/1. Let's see what happens...
3.05pm update..Well FML! This guy is now my god. Boom....
3.30 Newcastle - Dubai Dynamo 6/1, but Dance and Dance has to win one day soon!
4.00 Newcastle - Probably the whiskey talking but Crackentorp 22/1
2.10 Carlisle - Sunraider 5/2
Be back later
2.30pm update... Exam passed, horse lost. Urgh. Got a tip from a new person am following. 3.00pm Newcastle Great Park 8/1. Let's see what happens...
3.05pm update..Well FML! This guy is now my god. Boom....
3.30 Newcastle - Dubai Dynamo 6/1, but Dance and Dance has to win one day soon!
4.00 Newcastle - Probably the whiskey talking but Crackentorp 22/1
Wednesday, 25 June 2014
Bets 25/06/2014
Agonisingly close to a treble yesterday. Always a good feeling to get a Johnston nag right as between him and AOB I must have lost thousands (excluding the £7k I won for Hurricane Higgins/Sir Graham Wade double two Glourious Goodwoods ago!)
Carlisle is very hard today, so will chuck some pennies at it....
Carlisle 3.00 - I've read a few "good words" about Bondi Beach Boy 10/3 and that's where all the money is going. It was 6/1 last night!!! If this was 6f I'd been keen on Hadaj, but think too short. Would love for old boy Tax Free to win, but would be heart betting. The two I like are Avon Breeze and Silvanus. Avon Breeze won this last year and would have won more easily if had not fluffed the start. Why it's more complicated is Hadaj beat AB over 5f and are now on similar marks. Hmmm. I think I'm tentatively on Silvanus 13/2 ew
Carlisle 4.10 - Not any easier. Sound Advice 12/1 good formlines and Toto Skyllachy 16/1 a decent C&D winner on this mark.
Carlisle 4.45 - Someone needs to help me with this. I can't understand why Dance King is 12/1. The form of the last race is littered with winners including Aryal yesterday. The front 3 in the market are all being backed and shortening so maybe they know something I don't....Cousin Knee also tempting and on that form Eltheeb could go close.
Shouldn't really bet on these two...
2.10 Salisbury - One Moment 3/1 has a comment in my tracker "will get black type". Hmm wish I had more notes than that....
3.45 Salisbury - Lead a Merry Dance 12/1 got merked by Sunrise Star. Want to see how good Sunrise is.
These three surely must win???
4.20 Salisbury - Be disappointing if Hymenaios 9/4 didn't frank form of last race
6.50 Kempton - Disegno 8/11 has solid form and can use experience to win
9.10 Bath - Approaching Star's 8/11 maiden is one of the strongest maidens this year
5.00 update - shocking day. I'm chasing. 6.20 Kempton Messila Star 14/1 ew can cause an upset. Was flying home last time and the extra 1f will suit. I hope :)
Carlisle is very hard today, so will chuck some pennies at it....
Carlisle 3.00 - I've read a few "good words" about Bondi Beach Boy 10/3 and that's where all the money is going. It was 6/1 last night!!! If this was 6f I'd been keen on Hadaj, but think too short. Would love for old boy Tax Free to win, but would be heart betting. The two I like are Avon Breeze and Silvanus. Avon Breeze won this last year and would have won more easily if had not fluffed the start. Why it's more complicated is Hadaj beat AB over 5f and are now on similar marks. Hmmm. I think I'm tentatively on Silvanus 13/2 ew
Carlisle 4.10 - Not any easier. Sound Advice 12/1 good formlines and Toto Skyllachy 16/1 a decent C&D winner on this mark.
Carlisle 4.45 - Someone needs to help me with this. I can't understand why Dance King is 12/1. The form of the last race is littered with winners including Aryal yesterday. The front 3 in the market are all being backed and shortening so maybe they know something I don't....Cousin Knee also tempting and on that form Eltheeb could go close.
Shouldn't really bet on these two...
2.10 Salisbury - One Moment 3/1 has a comment in my tracker "will get black type". Hmm wish I had more notes than that....
3.45 Salisbury - Lead a Merry Dance 12/1 got merked by Sunrise Star. Want to see how good Sunrise is.
These three surely must win???
4.20 Salisbury - Be disappointing if Hymenaios 9/4 didn't frank form of last race
6.50 Kempton - Disegno 8/11 has solid form and can use experience to win
9.10 Bath - Approaching Star's 8/11 maiden is one of the strongest maidens this year
5.00 update - shocking day. I'm chasing. 6.20 Kempton Messila Star 14/1 ew can cause an upset. Was flying home last time and the extra 1f will suit. I hope :)
Tuesday, 24 June 2014
Bets 24/06/2014
I am probably going to stop betting in races C4 and below soon. Fairly obvious why....
2.30 Brighton - I want to be a Secret Millionaire 13/8. Fair Value was cruising for longer, but if he couldn't win under Hughes there I think SM must be better.
2.45 Beverley - Over the next 4 weeks in the run up to Goodwood MJ's horses are going to start coming into form. Aryal 5/1 ran a good race last time out and is now on a lower mark than has won over C&D before so let's hope can do the business today.
8.35 Newbury - My Spirit 15/8 won very easily last time and might go in again despite new mark. Moore rode Asyad last time so should know what to watch out for. Wahgah is tempting but on form with Wall of Sound, My Spirit wins.
2.30 Brighton - I want to be a Secret Millionaire 13/8. Fair Value was cruising for longer, but if he couldn't win under Hughes there I think SM must be better.
2.45 Beverley - Over the next 4 weeks in the run up to Goodwood MJ's horses are going to start coming into form. Aryal 5/1 ran a good race last time out and is now on a lower mark than has won over C&D before so let's hope can do the business today.
8.35 Newbury - My Spirit 15/8 won very easily last time and might go in again despite new mark. Moore rode Asyad last time so should know what to watch out for. Wahgah is tempting but on form with Wall of Sound, My Spirit wins.
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