Bets 05/08/2014

Nothing decent today...

4.00 Ffos Las - Swan Lake 5/2 form with Arabian Comet looks very strong

7.30 Kempton - Equitanus 3/1.

8.00 Kempton - Elbereth 2/1. Read somewhere the yard like this one

Bets 04/08/2014

Another solid day with 12/1, 11/2, 5/2 and 7/4 winners from 7 races. Up to 5 figure profits in the week! Booya....Fave backing today

3.15 Kempton - Only one horse looks well handicapped. Muradif Evs. Form with Guilty who won well off 72.

3.40 Naas - Bilderberg 15/8 def the best horse in the race

3.45 Kempton - Messila Star 7/4 strong form with Tenor

5.10 Nass - Chicago Girl 6/5

5.15 Kempton - Johara 2/1 beat Double Up over C&D when DU was well fancied. High on Life has also franked form.

6.00 Windsor - Tamarin 11/10. Horse who finished behind him came second to Royal Razlama who won me a massive pot at Goodwood at 16/1 so reckon Tamarins maiden is decent enough at this level

8.00 Windsor - Nancy from Nairobi is one I've followed painfully. I'm hoping Le Maitre Chat 5/2 who posted a decent maiden can improve past her.

Bets 03/08/2014

Intrinsic and Online Alexander rounded off a very glorious Goodwood for me. The key lesson for me was this festival is very similar to the Cheltenham festival in that horses who ran well in previous Goodwood festivals do so again. Happened all week and yesterday Ninjago and Flying Bear did again. Always knew course form was important and again that showed all week too. Think I pocketed close to £8k this week....

Chester 2.30 - Tick The Boxes 2/1 has decent form. I would have backed Roudee but Damscombe's horses look dead at the moment.

Chester 3.05 - Boomerang Bob 11/2 although Intranegent 12/1 might pop a suprise.

Newbury 3.15 - Power Play 5/2 big step down in class and should win

Chester 3.40 - Apostle 11/2 solid course runner and good draw.

Newbury 3.50 - Silk Sari finished close to Sultania at Haydock but then a lot further behind her in next race in same conditions, which might suggest slowing of progress. Cumani also rides Khione which is interesting as I can't see any speed in this race so if Khoine goes to the front and keeps the pace slow it may well suit Silk Sari. Either way I'm going to go with the progressive Wonderstruck 9/4 who has decent form and gets a decent 3yr old allowance. Lady Tyne 16/1 might surprise a few too.

Chester 4.45 - English Summer 7/4 - C&D winner and looks worthy favourite.

Newbury 4.55 - If you got back to Ascot form Bright Cecily 11/2 looks well handicapped.

Bets 02/08/2014 - Glorious Goodwood Day 5

The weather once again for at least the 4^th Saturday recently is going to bodge things up….although if you make money at Goodwood today then good stuff as looks tough. Right off to a wedding...

Goodwood 2.05 – Urgh, tough. I can’t back anything that ran earlier in the week here. Might go 1 from top, middle and bottom draw. Pandar 33/1, from the middle Baby Strange 33/1 and Confessional 20/1 who is my main pick. All of these have good each way chances based on C&D form. Tatlisu 7/1 did beat Muthmir though!!!

Goodwood 2.40 – Kings Fete 3/1 was 16/1 for the Leger last week so assume he must be rock solid today as in now 10/1. The form is decent, lightly raced and clearly one who will improve.

2.55 Newmarket – Enlace 2/1. Was 11/2 last night

Goodwood 3.15 – Amazing Maria 9/1 gets a hefty 3yr allowance, has won twice at the course and has now blown away cobwebs after seasonal debut in the Oaks. I agree is a doubt about trip but

3.30 Newmarket – Rastanora 11/4 ran on well once shaken up on debut and looks best of those with experience

Goodwood 3.50 – Horrendous. I’ve shortlisted to 15 horses! Ha. Wow. First pick from high draw has to go to Intrinsic 8/1. Solid C&D winner and the rain (if it comes) will help. That form has been franked so many times. Muthmir 7/1 absolutely romped home last race and only got a 5lb rise. Seems lenient by the handicapper. From looking at previous results this week looks like it’s low draw that’s the key, so Hoodna 22/1 may have a decent chance.

Newmarket 4.40 – Golden Town Evs a big win for me last time and can go in again

Goodwood 5.35 – Online Alexander 8/1 decent form and had a poor start in last race so good chance.

Bets 01/08/2014 - Glorious Goodwood Day 4

It better not rain today….

1.55 Goodwood - The return of Encke. Would be some training performance but we know does run well here. Songcraft runs well fresh but not convince about his performances at Goodwood. Quest for Peace was solid when winning this race two years ago but looks to have regressed now. That leaves Pethers Moon 7/4 who has rock solid form, noteably behind Cavalryman. Hughes can kick off Day3 in better fashion for his shot at the title with a solid C&D winner

2.30 Goodwood – I’m not fully convinced by the 1000k so cross of Lightning Thunder. Windfast has run well, What About Carlo is solid on fast ground and a C&D winner, Rapproachment could be anything and recorded a 96 RPR on debut which is phenomenal. Hors De Combat won a decent race at Ascot but has a lot to find with Bow Creek now who must have a decent chance. Wannabe Yours could be very good too, but I really think Hughes could double up with Shifting Power 15/8. This is a big step down in class and is definitely a Group horse already and it’ll take something decent to improve passed SP. I just hope Hughes has recaptured his form!

3.05 Goodwood – Not much luck for me in the big handicaps so far minus the blind MJ backing. Ignore Pastoral Player’s 25/1 last run as ground was not right. In previous race was a best of those drawn badly, which means he is back to his best. He is a G3 winner and has run very well at Goodwood before. Morrison is in decent nick and this claimer Charlie Bennett is decent and is one to keep an eye on. From a low draw must have a really good chance. Magic City 14/1 was well backed last time and after an unlucky race did very well to finish second and well clear of rest of field. He loves big handicaps here at Goodwood and Hughes has a really good chance to bring up a treble in the first 3 races. I know I said I’d back Horsted Keynes till he won again, but was so poor on Saturday.

3.40 Goodwood – Fast ground rules out Tropics for me. Kingsgate might struggle to turn tables on Extortionist. I watched Moviesta 7/1 win this last year on course and although was not blown away he is decent on quick ground. Ladies Are Forever could get close but has work to do based on last years race. Stepper Point 12/1 a solid C&D winner looks a danger

4.15 Goodwood – Looks like I’m relying on H/H combo again. Sunset Sail 9/2 looks ahead of mark and can make all today. Son of Africa 12/1 is interesting based on debut.

4.50 Goodwood – Now I’m pushing my luck, but if Manderley 9/1 reproduces her Guineas effort has a huge chance and can bring up the H/H quad? Surely not!. The Gold C 16/1 and J Wonder 8/1 are on my list too and will probably have a nibble, but MJ has said Muteela 5/2 is his best chance of the week.

5.25 Goodwood – Just for consistency another H/H; Cameo Tiara 9/1. Close enough behind Arabian Comet who nearly beat Misunited yesterday suggests CT is ahead of mark.

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5.20 Newmarket – Autumns Blush 15/8

5.50 Newmarket – Day Dreamer 13/8

7.00 Newmarket – Zephuros 13/8

8.00 Newmarket – Cloud Nine 4/5

Bets 31/07/2014 - Glorious Goodwood Day 3

What a week so far. On Friday, I hit 6 out of 7 in a 7 fold. The last leg failed, but the 6folds and 5folds paid out about £2.5k. Yesterday I nailed two 16/1 winners and 4 others and took another £5.2k….

Gutted about Principle Equation but Kingman and Highland Reel were very good. Hoping I don’t get stripped today….

2.05 Goodwood – Tough start today. MJ has 3 runners; Rainbow Rock 7/1, Lyn Valley 20/1, Insaany 20/1. Rainbow Rock has the right profile for this, Lyn Valley ran to a very high mark when winning at Goodwood so could easily bounce back and Insaany ran well two races ago. No idea who to back. Also Roseburg 5/1 could be a class apart in this, Madeed 8/1 holds the strongest form by a long way and Donny Rover 25/1 has an e/w shout on last run over distance and Arabian Comet from that race is running in the Lille Langtry later. I can’t commit to any of these as far too open, but if I did I’d back Roseburg who might just outclass the MJ crew

2.20 Galway – Alelchi Inois 4/7

2.25 Nottingham – Sulaalaat 4/9

2.35 Goodwood – Can’t see passed Ivawood 4/7

3.10 Goodwood – I know Brown Panther is my Achilles Heel and won this last year but Estimate 2/1 has to be the one to be on

3.40 Galway – Tested 10/11 is Group class. I worry about Sparrow 20/1 on betfair (will cover)

3.45 Goodwood – After Gwafa won by 19 lenghts, Stella Bellissima 7/1 went into the notebook as SB easily beat Gwafa in first race. Gosden has done his a few times this year too. Putting maiden winners straight into pattern class. I’m not fully sure Misunited is a write off though. The favourites could do well today.

4.15 Galway – Pink Hat 3/1

4.20 Goodwood – No clear formline like yesterday so shots in the dark. Hills in good form and Kodiva 14/1 has a G1 Entry and Nelsons Trick 25/1 could outrun price as on paper only slightly behind Thunder in Myheart based on Arethusa as a marker.

4.50 Goodwood – Not sure about this. Ifwecan great chance from draw and Velox form. Almargo, Royal Seal chances on form, Nakuti is well handicapped, as is Championship and Secret Hint, so staying away….

4.55 Galway – Darwins Fox 12/1, Purple Bay 16/1, Fergall 33/1

5.25 Goodwood – George Cinq 15/2

Bets 30/07/2014 - Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Tough day for me yesterday rounded off by my 16/1 Piri being done in final part of race a Galway. MJ said Sennockian Star was best chance of race, Balding said Van Percy was his best chance of week, Hugo said Extremity was group class, Cotai Glory was second to Limato (a wonder horse), Misleading was the only debutant with a Group Entry and Es Que Love had solid form for a trainer who has been so close to winning this race many times. Also EQL was an ex-MJ horse, so all the clues were there!!!

1.55 Goodwood - MJ says Maid In Rio 6/4 is one of strongest challengers this week. A Group horse, clearly, with 10lb in hand. Walked last race and expect the same today. I think Ray Ward is rightly next in betting. Badly hampered then eased in last race. 6/1 with SkyBet who are offering refunds if MIR win, although is only £25....Lieu Miller and Brockwell have chances, but I'll stick with Maid in Rio. Maybe tricast material this race.

2.30 Goodwood - Just can't work out whether Somewhat 4/1 is decent or whether he ran a blinder in the Eclipse. Money suggests he is a good bet. Snow Sky 5/1 might be the danger.

3.05 Goodwood - Kingman 4/7. 3yr allowance wins this.

3.40 Goodwood - Highland Reel 11/10 won last race by 12lenghts. Could be decent.

4.15 Goodwood - Royal Razalma 16/1 has good form if follow the Fine Prince line through

4.25 Redcar - Brown Eyed Honey 5/2

4.50 Goodwood - will be so annoyed if Principle Equation 6/1 wins this. Had this one down in my tracker as back in first handicap. It was 16/1 last night!!! Looks so well handicapped based on other horses in all her races.

5.25 Goodwood - Liberty Jack 10/1 ahead of mark, Little Shamble 14/1 MJ

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Galway 3.00 - Tandem 10/11
Galway 3.35 - Ballychorus 9/2
Galway 4.10 - Grey Monk 20/1
Galway 5.30 - Road To Riches 16/1, Golden Wonder 12/1