Bets 02/08/2012 - Glorious Goodwood Day 3

JAY DESAI! £8k profit yesterday. Am yet to update the pennies, but one account shows £7.912.50 and another £895.00. I can’t take all the credit, well actually, yes I can, but Segal handed me Sir Graham Wade and his bullishness about Hurricane Higgins added fuel to my fire about the Hurricane so I submitted at £15 e/w double on the pair. Alleluia. Shame I didn’t treble it with My Queenie who pulled through for me this time, but I won't complain. The next best thing about yesterday was the 4^th race. I picked out 1^st, 2^nd and 4^th, but annoyingly I unwilling let 3^rd go off my shortlist. I’ve not seen any of the races from yesterday yet but am duly informed I have another Frankel demolition job to watch. Before I delve into the cards…

Tom ‘Pricewise’ Segal from the Racing post has tipped:

Goodwood 2.15 – Prussian 10/1, Asatir 8/1

Goodwood 3.45 – Hazel Lavery 9/1

Galway 4.50 – Drive Time 8/1

My thoughts shortly...

Goodwood 2.15 – Segal has gone for Prussian and Asatir. Tough one to call for me as can’t see too many form lines I like. The closest I get is Blue Surf 14/1, but tentatively as Cecils’ Wrotham Heath could be dangerous as could Johnston’s Switzerland who is running of a feather weight and could bounce back. Not backing either though.

Goodwood 2.45 – Ahern 2/1

Goodwood 3.15 – I can’t choose between Saddlers Rock and Colour Vision, so I’ll go for the value in Nehaam 16/1. Back over 2m, good ground, we could see an improved performance, but not sure is good enough to win.

Goodwood 3.45 – Segal has gone with Hazel Lavery 9/1. I’ve heard such good things about Hawaafez 7/2. I’ve also seen it. I do fear Estimate with the age allowance so will go Hawaafez 2/1 without Estimate.

Goodwood 4.20 – After yesterday’s win I’m going to take a punt on a name. Not looking at stable, jockey, form, anything, just the name. After watching Olympic Glory win yesterday, let’s go Olympic Jule 33/1. Bound to be popular on track.

Goodwood 4.55 – All week I’ve been waiting to back Shamaal Nibras 5/1. However looking at the card not so sure it’s that clear cut anymore. Amazing Storm 14/1 is 9lb better off with SN now after being beat by 1 length, but can’t argue the SN has not improved after run behind Trade Commissioner and ahead of Vainglory and Uppercut who won at 20/1 couple days ago! So this absolutely has to be the formline to follow? The Chil The Kite formline is not bad though which would put Arnold Lane and Jake’s Destiny in contention, and there’s also the Riot Of Colour form line represented by Stirring Ballad who has won me a nice race last week. Feck. I’m sticking with Shamaal Nibras and Amazing Storm as best formline. In fact going to reverse forecast.

Galway 1.50 – Weld = Force of Habit 9/2 (very aptly named. I missed a Weld horse yesterday and it bloody won!)

Galway 3.00 – Weld = Font of Wisdom 5/2

Galway 3.35 – Weld = Yellow Rosebud 5/4

Galway 4.50 – No Weld horse, but Segal has tipped Drive Time 8/1. I’ve bought into Blazing Tempo 10/1 as called out by Rob ‘Gamblor’ Kanfer. Won at the festival last year and does look a good price. Problem is it’s a big race, lots returning from breaks and so no season form lines. Now that I’ve been sucked into this race I’ll also back Moon Dice 25/1 or Fosters Cross 25/1. Not sure which but both weighted like could end up like last year’s 1 and 2. Problem is ground. Not sure former likes it. Right off to work…

FECK: Total Staked £795.00, Total Returned £120.32

£35.00 Hawaafez (w/o Estimate) 2/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Amazing Storm (w/o Shamaal Nibras) 8/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Moon Dice 25/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Fosters Cross 25/1 - LOSE £0.00

£35.00 Ahern 2/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Asatir 8/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Hazel Lavery 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Blue Surf 14/1 - PLACED £78.75

£17.50 e/w Nehaam 16/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Olympic Jule 33/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Shamaal Nibras 5/1 - PLACED £41.57

£17.50 e/w Shamaal Nibras/Amazing Storm r f/c 65/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Force of Habit 4/1 - LOSE £0.00

£35.00 Font of Wisdom 11/4 - LOSE £0.00

£35.00 Yellow Rosebud 5/4 - PLACED £0.00

£17.50 e/w Prussian 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Drive Time 8/1 - LOSE £0.00

£100.00 e/w Doubles, Trebles, Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00

P&L @ 02/08/12:
£11,990.28
AntePost P&L @ 02/08/12:
£1,745.92
Total P&L @ 02/08/12:
£13,736.20