Bets 22/08/2012 - Ebor Festival Day 1

There are some incredible line ups in store this week @ York. It's going to be mega exciting. I do however feel sceptical on the punting side. I've not kept as close to the form as I need to, but that can often be thrown out at York. The way I will do this is backing some with the form and some with the C&D form even if not in good form. Tom 'Pricewise' Segal from the Racingpost has tipped:

York 2.00 - Lexi's Hero 25/1, Rex Imperator 9/1
York 3.05 - Noble Mission 5/1

My thoughts after a strong caffeine kick...

8.00am update - I'm not as confident as I normally I going into a festival day, and I seemed to have picked a lot of the bottom of the market. Not sure how well today will play out, but will hopefully aid for the other days!

York 2.00 – Awesome. A 20 runner race to start the day! Feck a big short list and I don’t know where to go. Dickies Lad 28/1 is a York horse. First time headgear, Lee onboard and back on a decent mark. Fitz Flyer 28/1 has a visor back on and suited him well last time. I’ve backed the two bottom in the market. Hmm. I think I’ve done something wrong? I’m not sure how I feel about the 3yr olds although can’t argue with the formline of Rex Imperator 9/1.

York 2.30 – I’ve not called many 2yr old races, unless at the highest, highest level with a few races in the bag. There are horses who have won by 5, 9 and 12lenghts and form behind Ghurair. I’ll stay away.

York 3.05 – I said I’d back Main Sequence 9/4 next time out, so I will. Interestingly Thomas Chippendale has been backed in a few places for the St.Leger, so 9/2 might be a good each way price?

York 3.40 – Frankel, SNA, Farhh Tricast

York 4.15 – A number of these raced last time out at York in a race Herostatus won. If you watch the race clearly the one who will benefit with the weights if doesn’t go solo on a slower part of track again is Deauville Flyer 16/1. But, if you look through the form then actually the stand out horses are Very Good Day 20/1 and Reem Star 20/1. Problem is I’ve written off horses that have not run here before or had a bad run here before. If you look at last 3 winners of this race, then that is not a good omen. Ahh although just seen Dazinski 11/1. Won this last year, similar weight. Feck. What to do!

York 4.50 – There are so many in good form here it’s difficult to know where to start. Actually think this is the hardest race of the day. Kiwi Bay probably should not be 40/1. This horse has come run a few decent races here and each time has been crying out for a step up in trip. With a 7lb claimer has a better chance than 40/1. I think I like Ottoman Empire 20/1 and is weighted to go well if reproduces run in last C2Handicap. Sir John Hawkwood was a much bigger price yesterday so can’t back it now. 

A lot of thinks, maybes and mights...Hmmm

Midday update...Kiwi Bay NR. Replaced with Van Der Art 12/1

Total Staked £779.48, Total Returned £496.51

£15.00 e/w Dickie's Lad 28/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Deauville Flyer 16/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Thomas Chippendale 9/2 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Kiwi Bay 40/1 - NR £30.00

£15.00 e/w Very Good Day 20/1 - PLACED £82.50

£15.00 e/w Fitz Flyer 28/1 - PLACED £120.00

£15.00 e/w Very Good Day 20/1 - PLACED £82.50

£30.00 Main Sequence 9/4 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Rex Imperator 9/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Reem Star 33/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Ottoman Empire 20/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Dazinski 11/1 - PLACED £52.13

£15.00 e/w Lexi's Hero 25/1 - NR £30.00

£131.62 e/w Trebles, Accumulator N/A - LOSE £13.13

£36.25 Main Sequence 13/8 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Dundonnell 15/8 - WIN £86.25

£15.00 e/w Van Der Art 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 Frankel, SNA, Farrh Tricast 4/1 - LOSE £0.00