Bets 24/08/2012 - Ebor Festival Day 3

D-I-S-A-S-T-E-R. Couple of fancied non-runners in Blessington and Night Lily. Couple horses I've backed twice before but to no avail pop up in the winners enclosure in Hototo and Shareta. Three favourites turned over! Argh. I think I went down £400 in total. Ek. I hate York. I remember the day I went to York with Desai Jnr and lost £1200. Not a single winner or single place!

Right, enough moping, Tom 'Pricewise' Segal has tipped two today:

York 2.00 - Willie Wag Tail 10/1
York 2.30 - Lewisham 7/1

York 2.00 – Hmm. There are about 5 I like in this so need to be careful and so many have slipped to dangerous marksl! We’ve seen a number of horses get a good beating last time out at Goodwood before bouncing back from solid form at the Ebor, therefore Kirthill 14/1 is a solid price based on his Listed Handicap run behind Gatewood. Niggling doubt is his one run over York, but get impressive after a slow start the jockey gave up. Martin Chuzzlewit 12/1, first time headgear for an inform stable who have won this twice in last 5 years is of interest. I’m unwillingly putting a line through Tepmokea and go for Bridie Bell 20/1. I’ve also hesitantly drawn a line through Right Step and Silver Lime. I SHOULD NOT BE BETTING IN THIS! Ah Silvery Moon 20/1. Hmm

York 2.30 – The Alhebayeb form doesn’t stack up so rules out Lewisham and Heavy Metal. I’ve backed Cay Verde 14/1 a couple of times, but I have a feeling 6f on this ground may well be right up his street. Saying that the obvious choice is Morawij 5/2, who has form all over the place. Finding it hard to back after favourites burnt out yesterday.

York 3.05 – Dubai Prince let me down at Goodwood last time. He won’t again at 6/1. Dettori has a tremendous record in this race as well!

York 3.40 – The Nunthorpe Stakes – A much stronger renewal last year and I’m a bit annoyed about the rain (again). Was hoping for true speed. Now it’s even harder to pick. So hard in fact Segal has even bailed! I backed Bogart 50/1 antepost. You can get 66/1 now. It’s a tough ask though as the odds suggest. If the ground were firm I think you’d back a combination tricast with Ortensia, Sole Power, Bated Breath and Pearl Secret. It’s not though, so have to start crossing lines through some of them! I can’t see anything that lost to Ortensia last time out beating especially at the weights, unless gets caught in traffic. I’m very troubled with this, but I’ll pick 3. Pearl Secret 5/1 – Barron’s comments are very very very bullish. Nocturnal Affair 25/1 who is over priced and a wild random punt on Secret Witness 100/1. Decent draw, trainer record here solid and he busted out a treble yesterday, so his horses are firing.

York 4.15 – Hmm shouldn’t bet but Lord of The Garter 25/1

York 4.50 – Royal Aspiration 20/1

Total Staked £495.00, Total Returned £1,345.08

Antepost Bets:

£15.00 e/w Bogart 50/1 - LOSE £0.00

Today's Bets:

£15.00 e/w Dubai Prince 6/1 - WIN £142.50

£15.00 e/w Cay Verde 14/1 - PLACED £67.50

£15.00 e/w Kirthill 14/1 - WIN £292.50

£15.00 e/w Martin Chuzzlewit 12/1 - PLACED £60.00

£15.00 e/w Secret Witness 100/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Bridle Belle 20/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 e/w Brave Command 9/2 - LOSE £0.00 £15.00 e/w Nocturnal Affair 20/1 - LOSE £0.00 £15.00 e/w Pearl Secret 6/1 - LOSE £0.00 £15.00 e/w Lord of The Garter 28/1 - PLACED £120.00 £15.00 e/w Royal Aspiration 18/1 - LOSE £0.00 £67.50 e/w Trebles, Accumulator N/A - PLACED £662.58